Tipps Salernitana Verona Serie A 20/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Hellas Verona wins the match”

1. In their last 5 away matches, Hellas Verona has outperformed Salernitana at home. Despite winning only one match, Verona has managed to draw in 40% of cases, while Salernitana has not won a single time at home and has drawn in 80% of cases.

2. Hellas Verona has a higher offensive potential in their away matches compared to Salernitana at home. Indeed, Verona scores on average 1.2 goals per match compared to 0.6 for Salernitana. Additionally, their defensive potential is also superior with 43% compared to 21% for Salernitana.

3. Finally, based on success probabilities, Hellas Verona has a higher chance of winning the match (52.58%) compared to Salernitana (25.77%). Therefore, it seems more logical to bet on a victory for Hellas Verona.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The home offensive potential of Salernitana is only 21%, indicating that they have struggled to score in their recent matches. In fact, in their last 5 home matches, they have only scored 3 goals.
2. Hellas Verona also has a low offensive potential in their away matches, with a rate of only 43%, resulting in 4 goals scored in their last 5 away matches.
3. Overall statistics suggest that the success probability for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is at 1.92. This value indicates that the teams in question have often had matches with fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Salernitana has a low offensive potential at home – they have only scored 3 goals in 5 matches and have an average of 0.6 goals per match. This suggests they may struggle to score in this match against Hellas Verona.
2. Hellas Verona has a strong defense away from home – they have conceded only 6 goals in 5 matches and have an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match, indicating they could be capable of keeping Salernitana off the scoresheet.
3. The recent match statistics of each team also point towards a “Both teams to score – No” prediction. Salernitana has failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches, while Hellas Verona has kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5 away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Salernitana 1-1 Hellas Verona

1. The statistics showing that Salernitana draws in 80% of their recent home matches and Hellas Verona draws in 40% of their away matches clearly indicate a strong tendency towards a draw.

2. Based on recent average performances, Salernitana scores 0.6 goals per home match and Hellas Verona scores 1.2 goals per away match. A 1-1 exact score seems plausible considering these offensive potentials.

3. Both teams have similar defensive records. Salernitana, on average, concedes 2.4 goals per home match, while Verona concedes 1.2 goals per away match. This suggests that both teams are likely to concede at least one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Salernitana, in delicate form at home, has not won in five games with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. Their offensive potential is low, at only 21%, and their defense is lacking at 86%.

Verona performs better away from home with a 20% win rate and a 40% draw rate. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6. Their offensive potential is twice that of Salernitana, at 43%, and their defense is also at 43%.

Based on previous matches, the probability of Verona winning is the highest, at 52.58%. This justifies Verona’s winning odds at 1.78. A draw has a 21.65% chance of happening.

The match could be low-scoring. There is a 73.71% probability of there being less than 1.5 goals, hence the odds at 3.60. The chances of both teams scoring are less than 50%.

In conclusion, caution is advised for this match. Hellas Verona seems to have the advantage, but the low goal rate makes the match difficult to predict.

The potential number of goals

In their last 5 home matches, Salernitana has not won once, drawing 80% of the time. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 5, averaging 0.6 goals per match. Their offensive potential of 21% is low, while their defensive potential of 86% is very good.

Hellas Verona has won 20% of their last 5 away matches, with 40% draws. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6, averaging 1.2 goals per match. With an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 43%, they are more balanced.

The bookmaker gives Verona a 52.58% chance of winning, with odds of 1.78. For Salernitana, the probability is 25.77% with odds of 4.75.

There is a 73.71% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, and a 48.45% chance of more than 2.5 goals. Both teams have a 45.88% chance of scoring.

In their recent matches, Salernitana has lost four times at home while Verona has won once and drawn twice away.

In conclusion, based on the numbers, Hellas Verona seems to have a better offensive and defensive performance than Salernitana. This could point to a Verona victory with more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of previous match statistics between Salernitana and Hellas Verona clearly shows that the situation favors Verona’s team more. Despite the rather defensive behavior of both teams, the numbers reveal a higher offensive and defensive potential for Verona, thus increasing their chances of winning this match. However, the number of goals is likely to be lower, with statistics suggesting that there could be less than 2.5 goals during the match. Ultimately, the probability of both teams scoring is low, which reinforces the idea of an away win. Nevertheless, football remains an unpredictable sport and the outcome of a match is not solely determined by its statistics. Bettors are therefore advised to consider these predictions as decision-making aids, rather than a guarantee of winnings.