Tipps Sampdoria Sudtirol Serie B 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Sampdoria wins the match

1. Sampdoria has a stronger offensive performance at home with an average of 2.4 goals per match, compared to just 1 goal for Sudtirol away. This offensive superiority could make the difference in the upcoming match.
2. Statistics show that Sampdoria has a higher likelihood of winning this match with a probability of 43.94%, compared to Sudtirol with a lower win probability at 34.85%.
3. Sampdoria has shown a strong performance in their recent home matches with convincing wins against Ternana and Ascoli, demonstrating good team momentum.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The average number of goals scored and conceded by Sampdoria at home (2.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match) and Sudtirol away (1 goal scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match) suggests a high probability of a match with over 2.5 goals.
2. The offensive potential of Sampdoria at home (86%) and Sudtirol away (36%) indicates a strong potential for a large number of goals scored in the match.
3. Analysis of recent matches: Three of Sampdoria’s last five home matches have had over 2.5 goals. Similarly, three of Sudtirol’s last five away matches have also had over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for both teams to participate in high-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that in their last matches, both teams, Sampdoria and Sudtirol, have consistently scored and conceded goals. For instance, Sampdoria has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home matches and conceded 12, while Sudtirol away has scored 6 goals and conceded 7.

2. Analysing the average goals scored and conceded by each team in their last 5 matches reinforces the idea that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding goals. Sampdoria at home averages 2.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match, while Sudtirol away averages 1 goal scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match.

3. The prognosis of “both teams to score” has a success probability of 58.59%, higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (41.41%). This figure demonstrates that in this particular match, it is more likely that both teams will find the back of the net.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

South Tyrol wins the game

Bet on the exact result

Sampdoria 2-1 Sudtirol

1. Sampdoria, in their last 5 home matches, has shown a strong offensive performance with an average of 2.4 goals per game. Their offensive potential stands at 86%, making a 2-goal score likely for them.

2. Sudtirol’s defense in their away matches is of relatively lower quality on average. They have conceded an average of 0.8 goals away from home, which almost aligns with the goal we predict for them in this match.

3. Recent statistics demonstrate that Sudtirol has generally managed to score a goal in their away matches. In fact, they have scored in each of their last 5 away matches, supporting the forecast of a goal for Sudtirol.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sampdoria, in good form at home. Wins 40% of recent matches. Goals scored: 10. Goals conceded: 12.
Sudtirol, less successful away. Victory in only 20% of cases. Goals scored: 6. Goals conceded: 7.
Goals analysis: Sampdoria scores an average of 2.4 goals per match. Sudtirol averages 1 goal per away match.
Offensive potential: Sampdoria 86%. Sudtirol 36%. Sampdoria seems more aggressive.
Defensive potential: Sampdoria 36%. Sudtirol 29%. Sudtirol’s defense is more vulnerable.
Probability of victory: Sampdoria 43.94% – Sudtirol 34.85%. Sampdoria has a slight advantage.
Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81.31%. Potentially a high-scoring match.
Recent matches: Sampdoria solid at home. Sudtirol often struggles away.
Conclusion: Match potentially in favor of Sampdoria with expected goals.

The potential number of goals

In summary, Sampdoria has achieved a victory in 40% of their last home matches. They have also scored a total of 10 goals, averaging 2.4 goals per match. This gives them a strong offensive potential of 86%. However, they have also conceded 12 goals, indicating a weaker defensive record of 36%.

As for Sudtirol, they have secured a victory in 20% of their recent away matches. They have scored 6 goals, averaging 1 goal per match, resulting in an offensive potential of 36%. Defensively, they have conceded 7 goals, giving them a defensive potential of 29%.

Based on these figures, there is a 43.94% chance of Sampdoria winning the match with odds of 2.00. The probability of a draw stands at 21.21% with odds of 3.30, while Sudtirol has a 34.85% chance of winning with odds of 3.75.

Regarding the number of goals, there is an 81.31% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.45. The potential for more than 2.5 goals is also high, with a probability of 62.63%.

According to the statistics, the probability of both teams scoring is 58.59%, with odds of 2.10. However, there is a 41.41% chance that both teams will not score, with odds of 1.70.

The last five home matches of Sampdoria against Ternana, Ascoli, Cremonese, Brescia, and Modena, as well as Sudtirol’s away matches against Como, Spezia, Reggiana, Catanzaro, and Ascoli, confirm these trends. Taking all this data into consideration, my prediction leans towards a victory for Sampdoria with more than 2.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistics and recent performances of both teams, the most promising prediction leans towards a Sampdoria victory. Due to their impressive offensive power at home and Sudtirol’s weaker performance away, it is likely that the match will end with a higher score than usual, with more than 2.5 goals scored. By betting on “both teams to score,” one can expect a good return due to the high likelihood of success in this bet.

On the other hand, an interesting value bet lies on the “Sudtirol to win the match” bet. Despite less favorable statistics, possible defensive weaknesses in Sampdoria could allow Sudtirol to surprise by scoring in this away match.

Lastly, a bet on the exact score “Sampdoria 2 – 1 Sudtirol” seems plausible given Sampdoria’s strong average of goals scored at home and Sudtirol’s ability to score away.

However, as always in sports betting, it is important to remember that past performances do not guarantee future results. Therefore, it is recommended to bet cautiously.