Tipps San Jose Earthquakes Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer 14/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Sporting KC wins the match.

1. Sporting KC has a higher offensive potential, scoring on average 1.8 goals per game away from home, compared to SJ Earthquakes’ average of 0.8 goals at home. This gives Sporting KC a clear advantage in attack.
2. Although Sporting KC’s recent away results have been disappointing, the probability of them winning or the match ending in a draw is calculated at 60.53%, slightly higher than the calculated probability for SJ Earthquakes (57.89%).
3. SJ Earthquakes have a weak performance at home, winning only 20% of the time and drawing 60% of the time in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they concede on average more goals (2.6) than they score (0.8). This defensive inconsistency could provide opportunities for Sporting KC.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The success rate of the ‘Over 2.5 goals in the match’ option is high, with a probability of 65.79%. This indicates a general trend towards high-scoring matches for these two teams.
2. Statistics show that both teams have significant offensive potential. SJ Earthquakes and Sporting KC score an average of 0.8 and 1.8 goals per match respectively. By adding these averages, we get a prediction of 2.6 goals per match, which exceeds the 2.5 goal threshold.
3. The defensive performances of both teams are relatively weak, with SJ Earthquakes and Sporting KC conceding an average of 2.6 and 2.4 goals per match respectively. This defensive weakness increases the probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of both teams show a high offensive and defensive potential, with SJ Earthquakes scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match and Sporting KC scoring 1.8 goals per match. Additionally, both teams have a weak defensive performance, conceding on average 2.6 and 2.4 goals per match respectively, indicating a high likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. Looking at the last 5 home matches of SJ Earthquakes and the last 5 away matches of Sporting KC, it is noticeable that in the majority of the matches, both teams have managed to score, further supporting the argument that both teams are likely to score in their encounter.

3. Lastly, with a 68.42% probability for “Both teams to score”, it is an option to strongly consider, especially when comparing this option to the one where both teams do not score, which has a much lower probability of 31.58%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Sporting KC wins the match

Bet on the exact result

SJ Earthquakes 1-1 Sporting KC

1. Draw Trends: By analyzing the recent performances of both teams, we can see that SJ Earthquakes draw in 60% of their home matches, while Sporting KC, despite a poor away record, could potentially draw against a SJ Earthquakes team that only wins 20% of their home games.

2. Goal Averages: The goal averages scored and conceded by both teams also support a level score. SJ Earthquakes average 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded per home match, while Sporting KC averages 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded per away match. These averages suggest a balanced score like 1-1.

3. Success Percentage: Based on the given success percentages, a draw has less probability compared to a win for either team. However, considering the trends and goal averages discussed above, a 1-1 scoreline could be a very plausible outcome for this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The SJ Earthquakes are unstable at home with only one win in 5 matches. The defense is leaky, conceding 6 goals. However, there is a resurgence in offense with 5 goals scored.

Sporting KC is not shining away from home, with no wins or draws in 5 matches. The team concedes a lot, with 7 goals against, but manages to score, with 5 goals on the board.

Statistically, SJ Earthquakes have a weak offensive potential at 29% and a struggling defense at 93%. Sporting KC is better in attack at 64% but their defense is also concerning at 86%.

The probabilities suggest a close match. The victory for SJ Earthquakes is estimated at 39.47%, for Sporting KC at 42.11%. A draw is the least likely at 18.42%.

Goals are expected. There is a 92.11% probability of more than 1.5 goals and 65.79% for more than 2.5 goals. Both teams are expected to score with a probability of 68.42%.

Overall, these statistics suggest an animated match, possibly in favor of Sporting KC. But the potential for goals from both sides is there. The risk of seeing less than 4.5 goals is evaluated at 84.21%, which could be an interesting bet to consider.

The potential number of goals

SJ Earthquakes have shown some stability at home with 60% of draws in their last 5 matches and only 6 goals conceded. Their defensive potential at home is estimated at 93%. However, their low score of 0.8 goals per match and a win rate of only 20% indicate a lack of offensive efficiency.

Sporting KC, on the other hand, has not inspired confidence in their recent outings with 0% wins and 0% draws. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away games. While the team averages 1.8 goals per match, their ability to concede goals is also high with an average of 2.4 goals per match. Their defensive and offensive potentials away from home are thus rated at 86% and 64% respectively.

Regarding the probability of victory, it slightly favors Sporting KC with 42.11% compared to 39.47% for SJ Earthquakes. However, a draw or a win for the Earthquakes is more likely with 57.89% against 60.53% for a draw or a Sporting KC win.

An analysis of the goals indicates a high probability (92.11%) that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.18. Furthermore, the probability that both teams score is quite strong, estimated at 68.42% with odds of 1.48.

Based on these statistics and probabilities, a prediction of more than 1.5 goals in the match where both teams will score is suggested. This implies a rather close and offensive match. This is a plausible scenario given the recent performances of both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, this match between SJ Earthquakes and Sporting KC could prove to be tight and offensive, with a slight favor towards Sporting KC. The defensive shortcomings of SJ Earthquakes at home and the offensive signs of Sporting KC despite recent struggles away from home indicate that there are good chances of seeing a match with over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, the probabilities suggest that both teams are likely to find the back of the net. As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw appears as a plausible outcome based on the trends and average goals of both teams. Ultimately, the most interesting bets to consider would be Sporting KC for the win, over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams to score. The risk is present, but statistically, these betting options provide an excellent probability/reward ratio. As always, it is advisable to bet responsibly.