Tipps San Lorenzo Newells Old Boys Liga Profesional 27/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

San Lorenzo de Almagro wins the match.

1. San Lorenzo de Almagro’s home match history: In the last 5 home matches, San Lorenzo de Almagro has won 40% of the matches and drawn in 20% of the cases. They have also shown offensive capability by scoring 7 goals.

2. Newells Old Boys’ offensive and defensive capabilities away: Away from home, Newells Old Boys have only won in 40% of cases with a relatively weak offensive potential of scoring only 0.4 goals per match.

3. Success probabilities: According to probability data, San Lorenzo de Almagro has a success probability of 43.59% for this match, which is higher compared to Newells Old Boys’ probability of winning, which is 27.69%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. San Lorenzo de Almagro and Newell’s Old Boys have relatively low offensive potential, with an average of 1.2 and 0.4 goals scored per match, respectively. This means there is a low probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.
2. Newell’s Old Boys’ recent away matches show a trend of not scoring many goals, with the majority of matches ending with less than 2.5 goals.
3. Statistics indicate a higher probability (56.92%) of both teams not scoring. Based on these numbers, it is more likely that the total number of goals in the match will be under 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Low scoring potential for both teams: San Lorenzo de Almagro at home has an average of 1.2 goals per match and Newells Old Boys away score an average of 0.4 goals per match. This could mean that one of the teams might not score in this match given their low goal-scoring averages.
2. Solid defensive stats: San Lorenzo de Almagro at home have a defensive potential of 29% and concede only an average of 0.8 goals per match. On the other hand, Newells Old Boys have a 36% defensive potential away from home and concede only one goal per match on average. It is likely that one of the teams will keep a clean sheet.
3. Newells Old Boys’ previous away matches: in their last 5 away matches, Newells Old Boys have only scored twice. This poor offensive performance could indicate that they might not score in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

San Lorenzo de Almagro wins the match – 43.59% success probability: 2.25

Bet on the exact result

San Lorenzo de Almagro 1-0 Newells Old Boys

1. San Lorenzo de Almagro’s home performance: Over the last five matches, they have won 40% of their home games, demonstrating some strength. They have also scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, approaching the expected score of 1-0.

2. Newell’s Old Boys’ away performance: They have shown a lack of offensive power in their last 5 away matches, only scoring 2 goals in total. Additionally, they concede an average of 1 goal per match, reinforcing the possibility of a 1-0 scoreline.

3. Overall statistics: The probabilities favor San Lorenzo de Almagro to win the match, and there is a high likelihood (82.05%) of the match having fewer than 3.5 goals, which could mean a low-scoring game like the predicted 1-0. Also, both teams not scoring stands at 56.92%, aligning well with a 1-0 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

San Lorenzo de Almagro has had a mixed record at home recently, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 9. Their offensive potential stands at 43% and defensive at 29%.

Newells Old Boys is not in better shape away, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 3. Their offensive potential is low at 14%, but their defensive potential is stronger at 36%.

The probability of San Lorenzo winning is at 43.59%, higher than that of Newells Old Boys at 27.69%. The probability of a draw is at 28.72%.

As for the number of goals, there is a 63.59% chance of the match having over 1.5 goals and a 44.62% chance for over 2.5 goals.

Considering the recent performances of both teams where often a single goal has made the difference, a bet on a match with fewer than 2.5 goals could be wise.

Taking all these factors into account, a result in favor of San Lorenzo de Almagro is slightly more probable, but the match could still be tight.

The potential number of goals

San Lorenzo has won 40% of their last 5 home matches, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match. The club has conceded 9 goals, indicating a defensive weakness.

Newells Old Boys have a similar away performance, also with a 40% win rate. However, they are a low-scoring team with only 2 goals scored in their last 5 away games.

The match appears to be evenly poised, with a higher probability of San Lorenzo winning (43.59% vs 27.69%). The “Draw or San Lorenzo win” option seems to be a safe betting choice, with a 72.31% probability of success and odds of 1.28.

The data suggests a low-scoring game: consider betting on under 1.5 goals for higher returns, or over 1.5 goals for added security (63.59% probability of success).

There is also a higher probability of both teams not scoring, with a 56.92% success rate at odds of 1.65.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on recent statistics and team performances, San Lorenzo de Almagro seems to be slightly favored to win this match against Newells Old Boys. However, the weak offensive tendencies of each team suggest a low-scoring match, probably with less than 2.5 goals. Another potentially interesting bet, based on these analyses, is that both teams will not score in this match. Finally, a bet on an exact score of 1-0 in favor of San Lorenzo de Almagro could also be an interesting betting option. Nevertheless, despite these analyses, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves a certain level of risk and it is necessary to bet responsibly.