Tipps Sanfrecce Hiroshima Avispa Fukuoka J1 League 14/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for the match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka would be: “Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins the match.”

1. Sanfrecce Hiroshima has shown a strong home performance with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, also scoring an impressive total of 20 goals in these games, indicating a high offensive potential.

2. Compared to Sanfrecce Hiroshima, Avispa Fukuoka has conceded more goals (8) in their away matches while also winning 60% of the time. This suggests a potentially weaker defense compared to the offensive strength of Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

3. The probabilities, based on the provided statistical data, heavily favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima with a win probability of 59.46% compared to only 13.51% for Avispa Fukuoka. This, combined with an 86.49% success rate for a draw or a win by Sanfrecce Hiroshima, makes this option a very likely prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics of both teams in their last 5 matches show an average of goals that remains below 2.5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores an average of 1.2 goals per match, as well as Avispa Fukuoka. This results in a static average sum of 2.4 goals per match, which is below 2.5.

2. The defenses of both teams seem to be strong, especially Avispa Fukuoka, which has an average of 0.6 goals conceded per away match. This decreases the likelihood of a high-scoring match.

3. The overall trend from the last matches of Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home and Avispa Fukuoka away suggests a low-scoring game. Only two out of the ten listed matches had more than 2.5 goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 – 1 Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 11 – 2 Baleine Shimonoseki), indicating that matches involving these teams generally end with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. At home, Sanfrecce Hiroshima concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match, more than their opponent and even has received more goals than they have scored in their last 5 matches. This trend implies that the team struggles to keep a clean sheet, decreasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. Away from home, Avispa Fukuoka has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, but they also have a low average of goals conceded (0.6 goals per match). This indicates a strong defensive strategy that could prevent the opposing team from scoring.

3. Both teams have an equal offensive potential of 43%, but Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a higher defensive potential at 57% compared to 21% for Avispa Fukuoka. This suggests that Sanfrecce Hiroshima may be able to control the game and limit the opponent’s scoring chances. Furthermore, the probability of both teams not scoring is higher at 60%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka

1. Average goals scored and conceded: In their last 5 home matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match. Additionally, Avispa Fukuoka scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match and concedes an average of 0.6 goals per match. These statistics indicate a high probability of a 1-1 score.

2. Draw percentage: Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka have a 20% draw percentage in their last 5 matches, meaning they tend to have drawn games.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Both teams have a 43% offensive potential, with Sanfrecce Hiroshima having a 57% defensive potential and Avispa Fukuoka having a 21% defensive potential. These statistics show that both teams have the ability to score goals and defend well, which could lead to a fairly balanced match and a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing an interesting form with a 60% home win rate. They have scored a total of 20 goals. However, their defense has conceded 21 goals.

Avispa Fukuoka also performs well away from home, winning 60% of their matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded only 8.

Hiroshima averages 1.2 goals per home match but concedes an average of 1.6 goals. Their defense is lacking compared to their strong attack.

Avispa Fukuoka also averages 1.2 goals per away match but their solid defense only concedes 0.6 goals.

In terms of predictions, Hiroshima is the favorite at 59.46% with odds of 1.53. The chances of a draw are 27.03% at 3.75. Avispa Fukuoka has lower chances at 13.51% with odds of 6.50.

Both teams might not score with a 60% chance.

Regarding goals, there is a 70.27% chance of over 1.5 goals in the match with odds of 1.36.

Previous home matches for Hiroshima have shown a variety of results. Avispa Fukuoka has shown good form away from home, only losing once.

In conclusion, the match is likely to be close, with a slight edge towards Hiroshima. It is recommended to bet on over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a 60% home win rate. On average, they score 1.2 goals and concede 1.6 goals per match. Their offensive potential is at 43%, with a defensive rate of 57%.

Avispa Fukuoka generally scores 1.2 goals and concedes 0.6 goals away from home. They have the same offensive potential as Hiroshima, at 43%. Their defense appears stronger with a potential of 21%.

In terms of probability, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a 59.46% chance of winning. A draw is less likely at 27.03%. Avispa Fukuoka only has a 13.51% chance of winning.

There is a 70.27% chance of more than 1.5 goals occurring in the match. However, there is a lower chance, at 45.95%, of more than 2.5 goals.

Finally, in 60% of cases, only one team scores during the match.

In conclusion, despite Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s notable offensive performances at home, Avispa Fukuoka’s strong defense could neutralize their advantage. The match is more likely to have fewer than 2.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into consideration all the information collected and analyzed, it is reasonable to conclude that the match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka is likely to be a close game with Sanfrecce Hiroshima being slightly favored due to their home performance. The prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match seems consistent with the available data on the offensive and defensive performances of both teams.

Betting on “both teams not to score” also seems interesting given Avispa Fukuoka’s evident defensive strengths. By betting on an exact score of 1-1, we are taking into account the balance between the teams as well as their ability to score and defend.

However, as is always advised in sports betting, it is important to consider these predictions only as indications based on statistics and past performances. The actual results of sports matches are influenced by a multitude of variable and unpredictable factors. Therefore, it is wise to always bet with caution and responsibility.