Tipps Sanfrecce Hiroshima Kawasaki Frontale J1 League 28/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins the match.

1. Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a higher home win percentage (60%) compared to Kawasaki Frontale’s away win percentage (40%), showing a significant strength at home.
2. Sanfrecce Hiroshima has displayed a stronger offensive prowess with an average of 1.4 goals per home match, as opposed to Kawasaki Frontale’s average of 0.8 goals per away match.
3. The odds also suggest a strong likelihood of Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning the match, with a success probability of 57.51%, compared to just 14.51% for Kawasaki Frontale.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The performance statistics of Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale show that both teams have a low average of goals scored per match (1.4 and 0.8 respectively), indicating that they are not particularly offensive.
2. Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a very low average of goals conceded at home (0.8 goals per match), suggesting a strong defense in home games.
3. Recent away matches of Kawasaki Frontale indicate a tendency to score few goals (not more than 2 goals per match), which enhances the probability of a match with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Defensive statistics: Both teams have shown good defensive ability by conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 games, with Kawasaki Frontale conceding 4 goals away and Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceding 12 goals at home.

2. Recent offensive performances: Kawasaki Frontale has only scored 4 goals in their last 5 away matches, half as much as Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home (10 goals in 5 matches). This indicates they may struggle to score in this match.

3. Head-to-head history: Analyzing the teams’ recent matches, it’s observed that in 2 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s last 5 home matches, the opponents did not score, and in 3 of Kawasaki Frontale’s last 5 away matches, they failed to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale

1. Sanfrecce Hiroshima has favorable home statistics with a 60% win rate and an average of 1.4 goals scored per match, explaining the probability of two goals being scored.
2. Kawasaki Frontale tends to score away from home (with an average of 0.8 goals per match) and lose their matches (40% win rate), giving Sanfrecce Hiroshima an advantage but also showing a possibility for Kawasaki to score.
3. The probability of both teams scoring is 49.22% and that of the total score exceeding 2.5 goals is 44.04%, supporting the prediction of a 2-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is in good form at home, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 12, averaging 2 goals per game.

Kawasaki Frontale, on the other hand, is less successful away from home with only 2 wins. They have scored 4 goals and conceded the same.

Statistics suggest that Sanfrecce Hiroshima could win the match with a probability of 57.51%. The odds are 1.75. A draw is less likely, at 27.98% with odds of 3.60.

There is a high probability, 72.54%, of over 1.5 goals in the match, with odds at 1.30. Less than 3.5 goals could be a safe option at 80.31% probability and odds of 1.28.

As for both teams to score, it’s almost a 50/50 situation. The odds are 1.87, no matter which side you choose.

In conclusion, prioritizing a victory for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and/or over 1.5 goals in the match could be a good option.

The potential number of goals

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 60% of their last 5 home matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 12. On average, they score 1.4 goals per home match. Their excellent offensive stance is reflected in an offensive ratio of 50%.

Kawasaki Frontale, on the other hand, has won 40% of their last 5 away matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 4. On average, they score 0.8 goals per away match. They balance attack and defense with a ratio of 29% for both.

According to the statistics, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the clear favorite for the match with a winning probability of 57.51%. The probability of a draw is 27.98% and Kawasaki Frontale has only a 14.51% chance of winning.

Everything points to a match with over 1.5 goals (72.54% probability), but less than 3.5 goals (80.31% probability). However, both teams are almost evenly matched when it comes to scoring in the match with a slight preference for the option of both teams not scoring (50.78%).

In this context, an interesting prediction could be a match with less than 3.5 goals where Sanfrecce Hiroshima either wins or it ends in a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, all data and statistics point towards a victory for Sanfrecce Hiroshima against Kawasaki Frontale. The defensive and offensive tendencies of both teams also suggest a low-scoring match, probably fewer than 2.5 goals. The likelihood of both teams scoring appears low, which further supports the idea of a low-scoring game.

A victory for Sanfrecce Hiroshima with a total of fewer than 2.5 goals is a possibly strong scenario based on recent trends and the performances of both teams. The “under 2.5 goals” option also represents an interesting value bet. However, as always in sports betting, while statistics and analysis can indicate trends and provide guidance, nothing is ever 100% certain. It is therefore crucial to bet responsibly.