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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Santa Fe Independiente Medellin
Tipps Santa Fe Independiente Medellin Primera A 19/10/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
The prediction for this match is “Draw or Santa Fe Bogota wins the match”.
1. Past statistics strongly favor Santa Fe Bogota when playing at home. They have won 40% of their last 5 home matches and drawn in 20% of cases. This shows they have a home advantage.
2. Independiente Medellin struggles to win when playing away. They have only won 20% of their last 5 away matches and drawn in 40% of cases. Their away performance has been poor recently.
3. The combined probability of Santa Fe Bogota winning or a draw is 81.38%. The likelihood of success is therefore strongly in favor of “Draw or Santa Fe Bogota wins the match”.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. The offensive potential of Santa Fe Bogota at home and Independiente Medellin away is moderate, averaging 1.2 and 0.8 goals per match respectively. This suggests a low goal-scoring presence.
2. Recent performances of both teams show a generally low number of goals. In their respective last 5 matches, Santa Fe Bogota scored 6 goals and conceded 7, while Independiente Medellin scored 3 goals and conceded 4.
3. The probability for less than 2.5 goals in the match is 1.60, indicating that bookmakers also anticipate a low-scoring match.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. The Santa Fe Bogota statistics at home show that they fail to score in 40% of their recent matches. Additionally, they have a low average of 1.2 goals per game.
2. Independiente Medellin displays a poor offensive performance in their away matches, scoring only an average of 0.8 goals per game. They have only scored in 60% of their recent away matches.
3. The probability of both teams not scoring is 54.48%. The odds also support this prediction with odds of 1.72. The previous match trends for both teams also highlight this scenario.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw or Independiente Medellin wins the match – 1.95
1. The statistics of the last 5 matches show that Independiente Medellin, even away from home, has a better defense than Santa Fe Bogota at home, having conceded fewer goals (0.6 per match compared to 1.4 for Santa Fe Bogota). This improved defensive potential gives Independiente Medellin a reasonable probability of resisting Santa Fe Bogota.
2. Independiente Medellin has achieved a result (win or draw) in 60% of its recent away games, showing some solidity on the road. In contrast, Santa Fe Bogota has only managed to get a result (win or draw) in 60% of its last home matches.
3. The odds of 1.95 offered for a draw or a win for Independiente Medellin are more interesting than those offered for a victory for Santa Fe Bogota (1.87), while the calculated success probability for the former bet is 53.1%, slightly higher than the 46.9% probability associated with a Santa Fe Bogota win. This makes betting on Independiente Medellin or the draw more advantageous for bettors in terms of risk/gain ratio.
Bet on the exact result
Santa Fe Bogota 1-1 Independiente Medellin
1. Match history: Recent home results for Santa Fe Bogota and away results for Independiente Medellin show a trend towards low scores and draws. For instance, in two out of Santa Fe Bogota’s last five home games, there was a 1-1 or 0-0 draw. Similarly, past results show a similar trend for Independiente Medellin in their away matches.
2. Goal statistics: On average, Santa Fe Bogota scores 1.2 goals per home game and Independiente Medellin scores 0.8 goals per away game. These stats support the idea of a potential 1-1 draw. Additionally, both teams have low conceding rates (0.6 for both), confirming the possibility of a low total number of goals in the match.
3. Match result probabilities: The probabilities indicate a higher chance of a draw (34.48%) or a Santa Fe Bogota win (46.9%) than an Independiente Medellin win (18.62%). This reinforces the idea that both teams could score a goal each contributing to a 1-1 draw.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
In their last 5 matches, Santa Fe Bogota won 40% of their home games, while Independiente Medellin only managed to win 20% of their away matches. Santa Fe’s offensive seems stronger with 1.2 goals per game compared to Medellin’s 0.8.
Santa Fe has also conceded fewer goals than Medellin, strengthening their defensive advantage. This results in higher win probabilities for Santa Fe Bogota (46.9%) than for Independiente Medellin (18.62%).
Despite Medellin’s solid defense, the probability of a match ending with both teams not scoring is 54.48%.
Regarding goals, there is a 66.9% chance of the match having over 1.5 goals, but only a 42.76% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Based on recent performances, with a 0-2 win against Once Caldas, Independiente Medellin could come out on top. However, Santa Fe Bogota’s 3-1 victory over Boyaca Chico suggests they also have a chance.
My prediction would lean towards a draw or a win for Santa Fe Bogota, with an 81.38% success rate. It’s a safe bet, but less profitable with odds of 1.20.
The potential number of goals
Santa Fe Bogota has shown a decent performance at home with a 40% win rate. They have scored 6 goals but also conceded 7 goals, suggesting a somewhat fragile defense.
Independiente Medellin, on the other hand, has been weak away from home, winning only 20% of their matches and scoring just 3 goals. They have been cautious, conceding 4 goals.
Statistically, Santa Fe Bogota is favored to win at 46.9%. The draw is at 34.48%, while an Independiente Medellin victory is less likely at 18.62%.
Low scores are expected, with odds of 2.80 for under 1.5 goals and 1.60 for under 2.5 goals. Also, there is a 54.48% chance that both teams will not score.
Based on previous matches, defenses seem to have the upper hand over attacks, resulting in low-scoring games.
Overall, the indicators suggest a low-scoring match where Santa Fe Bogota has the best chances of winning.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
Based on the various analyses and statistics gathered, we would be inclined to bet on a draw or a victory for Santa Fe Bogota. This conclusion is based on Santa Fe Bogota’s success rate at home, coupled with Independiente Medellin’s difficulties in away matches.
However, it should be noted that the offensive potential of each team is moderate, suggesting a low-scoring match. The most sensible bet would be to wager on a total of under 2.5 goals in the match, supported by the fact that the last two matches of each team have produced low scores.
Lastly, from the bookmakers’ perspective, the bet offering the highest value would be a draw or a victory for Independiente Medellin. Nonetheless, it is important to always remember that despite all statistics and analyses, football remains an unpredictable sport. Therefore, it is advisable to always bet responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Santa Fe against Independiente Medellin on 19/10/2024
1. Past statistics strongly favor Santa Fe Bogota when playing at home. They have won 40% of their last 5 home matches and drawn in 20% of cases. This shows they have a home advantage.
2. Independiente Medellin struggles to win when playing away. They have only won 20% of their last 5 away matches and drawn in 40% of cases. Their away performance has been poor recently.
3. The combined probability of Santa Fe Bogota winning or a draw is 81.38%. The likelihood of success is therefore strongly in favor of “Draw or Santa Fe Bogota wins the match”.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin match!
To not miss anything from the Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 19/10/2024 in the Primera A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin
Lineups Santa Fe
Lineups Independiente Medellin
Match Highlights Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin on 19/10/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin match on 19/10/2024 at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin
All statistics for the match between Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Santa Fe against Independiente Medellin!
Form state of Santa Fe in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Santa Fe has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Santa Fe has a form rating of %.
Form state of Independiente Medellin in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Independiente Medellin has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Independiente Medellin has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Santa Fe against Independiente Medellin!
Average goals scored by Santa Fe in the current season.
Goals scored by Santa Fe in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Santa Fe
Santa Fe has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Santa Fe in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Santa Fe
Santa Fe has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the current season
Goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The offensive potential of Santa Fe Bogota at home and Independiente Medellin away is moderate, averaging 1.2 and 0.8 goals per match respectively. This suggests a low goal-scoring presence.
2. Recent performances of both teams show a generally low number of goals. In their respective last 5 matches, Santa Fe Bogota scored 6 goals and conceded 7, while Independiente Medellin scored 3 goals and conceded 4.
3. The probability for less than 2.5 goals in the match is 1.60, indicating that bookmakers also anticipate a low-scoring match.
Forecast results from winflix for Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin!
The last 5 winning predictions für Santa Fe
The last 5 winning predictions für Independiente Medellin
How do I find the best forecast for Santa Fe Independiente Medellin?
Finding a forecast for the Santa Fe Independiente Medellin match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Santa Fe Independiente Medellin on 19/10/2024 in Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín are the team's past performance in the Primera A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Santa Fe at home and Independiente Medellin away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 19/10/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin on 19/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Primera A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Santa Fe could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Santa Fe and the away win rate of Independiente Medellin, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 19/10/2024!
The individual performances of players from Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 19/10/2024 at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Santa Fe or Independiente Medellin on 19/10/2024.
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