Tipps Santa Fe La Equidad Primera A 28/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Santa Fe Bogota wins the match.

1. Santa Fe Bogota’s performance history: With a 80% win rate and a 57% offensive potential at home in its last 5 matches, Santa Fe Bogota shows a strong winning profile.

2. Poor performance of La Equidad Bogota away: La Equidad Bogota not only has a low 20% win rate away, but also a mere 21% offensive potential and an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match.

3. Statistical probabilities: Statistical probabilities also prove that it is more likely for Santa Fe Bogota to win the match, with a probability of 50.36%, compared to 17.27% for a victory of La Equidad Bogota.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The average number of goals scored per match by both teams is relatively low. Santa Fe Bogota at home scores an average of 1.6 goals per match, and La Equidad Bogota away scores an average of 0.6 goals per match. This indicates a trend towards low-scoring matches.

2. La Equidad Bogota’s offensive potential is particularly low away from home, at only 21%. This suggests that the team struggles to score away from home, which may contribute to a total of goals under 2.5.

3. La Equidad Bogota’s recent away matches have resulted in several low scores, including defeats with 0 goals scored against Envigado FC, Santa Fe Bogota, Deportes Tolima, and Once Caldas. This apparent lack of offensive efficiency away from home supports the prediction of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. At home, Santa Fe Bogota has a rather high defensive potential at 36%, while away, La Equidad Bogota shows a particularly low offensive potential at 21%. This inequality could mean that La Equidad Bogota will struggle to score.

2. Both teams scoring has only a 37.41% probability of success according to statistics, thus giving a higher probability (62.59%) that both teams will not score during the match.

3. Looking at La Equidad Bogota’s recent away matches, it is noticeable that they generally struggle to score, with 3 losses in 5 where they failed to score a goal. This further strengthens the argument that La Equidad may not be able to score during this match against Santa Fe Bogota.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Santa Fe Bogota 2 – 0 La Equidad Bogota

1. Recent History: In the recent past, Santa Fe has shown a strong home performance with an 80% winning rate. It is also important to note that in recent head-to-head matches between these two teams, Santa Fe defeated La Equidad 2-0 at home, which strengthens the prediction of the same score for this match.

2. Performance Comparison: Santa Fe has a 57% offensive potential at home, averaging 1.6 goals per match, while La Equidad has a weak away offensive potential of only 21%, averaging 0.6 goals per match. Additionally, Santa Fe has a superior defensive potential to La Equidad, conceding only an average of 1 goal per match compared to La Equidad’s 1.8.

3. Offered Odds: The statistics of the odds offered also support this prediction. Santa Fe has a win probability of 50.36% against La Equidad’s 17.27%. Furthermore, the probability of both teams not scoring is high at 62.59%, suggesting a high likelihood that La Equidad may not score in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Santa Fe Bogota is strong at home, with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 9 goals but conceded 10. Recent scores have been quite high, indicating a defense that can be vulnerable.

On the other hand, La Equidad Bogota struggles away from home, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 away games. They have scored only 4 goals and conceded 6.

Santa Fe Bogota averages 1.6 goals per home game and concedes 1 goal. Their offensive potential is at 57% compared to 36% defensively. They seem to handle their home matches better.

Away from home, La Equidad Bogota only scores 0.6 goals per game and concedes 1.8 goals, with a low offensive potential of 21% and a better defensive potential of 64%.

The odds suggest that Santa Fe Bogota is more likely to win with a 50.36% probability. However, the possibility of a draw is also high at 32.37%. There is an 82.73% chance that the match will either end in a draw or a victory for Santa Fe Bogota.

There is a 57.55% chance of more than 1.5 goals in the match and only a 37.41% chance of both teams scoring.

Based on past performances, Santa Fe Bogota seems to have the advantage at home. However, the head-to-head history shows a victory for La Equidad Bogota away. Caution is advised.

The potential number of goals

Let’s analyze these data point by point.

At home, Santa Fe Bogota is strong with a recent 80% win rate. However, they have conceded 10 goals, more than they have scored (9).

La Equidad Bogota, on the other hand, has a less impressive record away from home with only a 20% win rate. They seem to struggle offensively, with only 4 goals scored compared to 6 conceded.

In terms of average goals, Santa Fe Bogota is more successful at home with 1.6 goals per match, while La Equidad Bogota only scores 0.6 goals per away match.

Therefore, Santa Fe Bogota has a significantly higher offensive potential (57% vs. 21%) even though their defensive potential is slightly lower (36% vs. 64%).

For the match result, the probabilities favor Santa Fe Bogota at 50.36%. A draw is also possible with a probability of 32.37%, while a victory for La Equidad Bogota seems less likely (17.27%).

Regarding goals, this match should be relatively tight. The probabilities suggest more than 1.5 goals (57.55%) but less than 2.5 goals (35.25%).

Finally, statistics indicate that both teams will not score (62.59%), likely due to La Equidad Bogota’s weak offense.

In conclusion, it would be reasonable to bet on a win for Santa Fe Bogota with a total of under 2.5 goals. A 2-0 scoreline in favor of Santa Fe Bogota seems likely and is supported by the numbers.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the historical performances as well as the current statistics, it is prudent to suggest that Santa Fe Bogota could emerge as the winner of this match. With an 80% home win rate and a strong offensive potential, they appear to be clear favorites over La Equidad Bogota, who have shown disappointing performances away from home. Betting on a exact score of Santa Fe Bogota 2 – 0 La Equidad Bogota is thus an attractive bet, as well as betting on under 2.5 goals in the match. It is also evident that La Equidad Bogota may struggle to score in this match. However, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves a level of risk and that fans and bettors should always gamble responsibly.