Tipps Santos Laguna Atletico San Luis Liga MX 29/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Santos Laguna wins the match”

1. Santos Laguna has shown a stronger performance at home, with victories in 40% of its last 5 matches, while Atlético San Luis has not won any of its recent away matches.
2. Santos Laguna has a stronger defensive potential at home, with a score of 64% compared to Atlético San Luis’s very weak defensive potential away of 93%.
3. Statistically, Santos Laguna has a higher probability of winning the match at 47.69% compared to Atlético San Luis at only 19.49%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Overall attacking performance: The last ten games respectively at home and away for Santos Laguna and Atlético San Luis have produced an average of 2.6 goals per game (Santos Laguna: 0.8 goals per match and Atlético San Luis: 1.4 goals per match). Both teams have shown an ability to score, and the stats clearly indicate a potentially fruitful attack.

2. Defensive performance: Both teams regularly allow their opponents to score, particularly Atlético San Luis, which has conceded an average of 2.6 goals. This trend of conceding goals could lead to a score of at least 3 goals in the match.

3. Head-to-head history: Recent home scores for Santos Laguna and away scores for Atlético San Luis have produced more than 2.5 goals in most cases. This indicates that when these two teams meet, there is usually a high number of goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Santos Laguna and Atlético San Luis have respective offensive potentials of 29% and 50%, indicating that they have the ability to score goals. Similarly, they have defensive potentials of 64% and 93% respectively, meaning they can also concede goals.

2. Santos Laguna has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match while Atlético San Luis has scored an average of 1.4 goals in their last 5 matches. This shows that both teams have frequently managed to score in their recent matches.

3. The last five home matches of Santos Laguna and away matches of Atlético San Luis indicate that they have conceded goals. For example, Santos Laguna has conceded 8 goals in 5 matches and Atlético San Luis has conceded 5 in 5 matches. This trend suggests a high likelihood that each team will concede at least one goal in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Santos Laguna wins the match – 80.51% probability of success: 1.28

Bet on the exact result

Santos Laguna 1-1 Atlético San Luis

1. Defensive performance: Santos Laguna has shown strength in defense at home, only conceding 8 goals in their last 5 matches. Similarly, Atlético San Luis has conceded 5 goals in their recent outings, suggesting they can also be solid defensively. These statistics point to a higher probability of a low-scoring game, with a 1-1 scoreline seeming plausible.

2. Offensive performance: On average, Santos Laguna scores 0.8 goals per home match, while Atlético San Luis scores 1.4 goals per away match. These stats indicate both teams are capable of scoring but lack strong offensive efficiency. A 1-1 scoreline appears consistent with these statistics.

3. Probability of a draw: Based on the probabilities provided, a draw between the two teams has a success probability of 32.82%. This relatively high probability suggests the match could end in a balanced 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Santos Laguna shows an average performance at home, winning and drawing in 40% of cases. They score an average of 0.8 goals per match but concede more at 1.8 goals per match.
Atlético San Luis, away from home, struggles to find its footing, with no wins or draws in its last 5 matches and conceding more goals than it scores on average with 2.6 goals against 1.4.
Statistically, there is a 47.69% probability that Santos Laguna will win the match, with odds of 1.90, while Atlético San Luis is less favored with only a 19.49% chance of winning and odds of 3.75.
The match seems to favor more than 1.5 goals with an 83.08% probability, but less than 4.5 goals (88.72% probability), with potential scores leaning more towards Santos Laguna.
Analyzing previous matches, Santos Laguna struggled against Pachuca and Tigres UANL, but Atlético San Luis has suffered repeated losses away from home.
Overall, there is an 80.51% chance favoring Santos Laguna or a draw. The match could have twists and turns but seems to lean towards a victory for Santos Laguna.

The potential number of goals

The statistics reveal an uneven performance from both teams. Santos Laguna, the home team, has shown a defensive strength of 64% and an offensive capability of 29% in their last five home matches, with an average of 0.8 goals per match. However, they win or draw 80% of the time at home.

On the other hand, Atlético San Luis, playing away, has not won or drawn in their last five matches, a worrying situation for the team. They have conceded more goals (2.6 per match) than they have scored (1.4 per match).

In terms of success probability, Santos Laguna has a distinct advantage with a 47.69% chance of winning the match compared to only 19.49% for Atlético San Luis.

Regarding goals, there is a higher probability (83.08%) that the match will have over 1.5 goals. However, the chances decrease (57.44%) for there to be over 2.5 goals.

An interesting probability to note is the likelihood of both teams scoring, estimated at 64.1%.

Overall, these indicators could be useful for making predictions, although football remains an unpredictable game.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the detailed analysis of recent performances, offensive and defensive statistics, and predictions highlight that Santos Laguna seems to have a significant advantage in the upcoming match against Atlético San Luis. They have shown a stronger performance at home and have managed to avoid defeat in 80% of their recent matches, while Atlético San Luis has struggled to achieve good results away. Furthermore, the number of goals could exceed 2.5 considering their offensive performances and both teams could score. However, one should always consider the inherent uncertainty in any sport, especially in football where the outcome of a match can be influenced by many unpredictable factors. Therefore, even though statistics and trends point in a certain direction, the final bet should always incorporate a degree of caution and personal judgment.