Tipps Santos Laguna Mazatlán Liga MX 26/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

According to the data provided, it appears that the most likely prediction would be “Draw or Mazatlán wins the match”, as it is the option with the highest probability of success (66.17%) and the option with the lowest odds (1.38), indicating that bookmakers also see this outcome as the most probable.

1. Past Performances: Based on previous performances, Santos Laguna has a weak offensive efficiency with only 0.6 goals per home match. Additionally, they have conceded an average of 2 goals per match. The defensive potential is also low with a 71% rate. Mazatlán, even though they haven’t won away, have held their ground with a 60% draw rate and have conceded only 0.6 goals on average per match.

2. Probability and Odds: The probability rates indicate a high chance that the match will either be a draw or a victory for Mazatlán (66.17%), which is also reflected in the bookmakers’ odds (1.38). Probabilities and odds play a crucial role in predicting match outcomes, as they provide an objective assessment based on statistics and mathematical models.

3. Head-To-Head Encounters: By analyzing Santos Laguna’s recent home matches and Mazatlán’s away matches, it can be observed that both teams have struggled to score, with Mazatlán even failing to score in some matches. This reinforces the idea that a draw or a narrow victory for Mazatlán is possible.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5.

1. The statistics from the last five home matches for Santos Laguna and away matches for Mazatlán show that they have a relatively low number of goals. On average, Santos Laguna scores 0.6 goals per match and Mazatlán scores 0.4 goals per match, resulting in an average total of 1 goal per match.

2. Both teams have a higher defensive performance than offensive performance. Santos Laguna has a defensive potential of 71% and Mazatlán has a defensive potential of 21%. Therefore, it is likely that the number of goals in this match will be low.

3. The calculated probability for the prediction “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is 2.10. This means that the statistical calculations predict a number of goals less than 2.5 with a reasonably high probability.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The teams’ goal statistics: Mazatlán has a low offensive potential with an average of 0.4 goals per match away from home. Santos Laguna also shows a low goal average at home with 0.6 goals per match. These statistics suggest that it is likely that one or both teams will end the game without scoring.

2. Teams’ defensive performances: Mazatlán has a strong defense in away games, having conceded only 2 goals in their last 5 away matches. This would increase the likelihood of Santos Laguna not scoring. Additionally, Santos Laguna, despite a weak offensive performance at home, has a relatively high defensive potential of 71%.

3. Teams’ recent matches: There have been matches where Santos Laguna or Mazatlán have failed to score. For example, in Mazatlán’s last 5 away matches, they failed to score in 4 matches. Similarly, in Santos Laguna’s last 5 home matches, they did not score in 2 matches. There is therefore a real possibility that either team may not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Santos Laguna 1-1 Mazatlán

1. Both teams have a high draw rate in their last 5 matches, with Santos Laguna at 60% and Mazatlán also at 60%. This indicates a trend towards close scores in their encounters.
2. Similar offensive and defensive performances are observed for both teams. Santos Laguna scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and concedes an average of 2 goals per match, while Mazatlán scores an average of 0.4 goals per match and concedes an average of 0.6 goals per match. This closeness in averages favors a draw.
3. The betting success probabilities also support this prediction. There is a 58.65% success rate for both teams to score in the match, corresponding to the prediction of a 1-1 score, and a high probability (72.93%) for under 3.5 goals in the match, which also aligns with our prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Santos Laguna have a mixed home form, with 1 win in 5 matches and 3 losses. Mazatlán, on the other hand, have not been winning away but have often managed draws.

Per match, Santos Laguna score fewer goals (0.6) but concede more (2) than Mazatlán (0.4 scored, 0.6 conceded). Santos have a higher offensive potential (21%) but their defense is more vulnerable (71%).

The odds favor a Mazatlán win (2.30), despite their poor away performance. However, a draw or a Santos victory is also possible (1.62).

In terms of goals, over 1.5 goals in the match is highly likely (79.7%) while under 4.5 goals is almost certain (91.73%).

In conclusion, a close match is expected, with probably few goals scored. Betting on a draw or a Santos win seems to be a wise choice.

The potential number of goals

Santos Laguna struggles at home, with only a 40% win rate and conceding more goals (8) than scoring (5).

Mazatlán, on the other hand, has never won in their last five away games. Nevertheless, their defensive efficiency is notable with only 2 goals conceded.

Looking at the statistics, Santos is weak offensively (0.6 goals per game) despite having a decent defense (2 goals per game). Mazatlán also seems not dangerous in attack (0.4 goals per game) but defends well away from home (0.6 goals per game).

Interestingly, the highest probability is for Mazatlán to win at 39.1% (odds of 2.30) and the combination “draw or Mazatlán wins the match” has a 66.17% chance of success (odds of 1.38). The low number of goals per game could also suggest a match with less than 2.5 goals, with attractive odds at 2.10.

Finally, both teams have a 58.65% chance of scoring in the match (odds of 1.57). This could indicate a close match with goals on both sides. It will be interesting to see how this encounter unfolds.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, several factors should be considered for this bet between Santos Laguna and Mazatlán. With a relatively weak attacking potential on both sides, it is unlikely that we will see a high-scoring match. Therefore, the “Under 2.5” bet seems to be an interesting option to consider.

Mazatlán’s defensive performance away from home, combined with Santos Laguna’s offensive inefficiency, also suggests that both teams may struggle to score, so the “Both teams to score: No” bet should be explored.

In terms of the match result, the most likely prediction would be “Draw or Mazatlán wins the match,” with a relatively high success probability of 66.17%.

By betting on the “exact score,” 1-1 seems to be the most logical prediction based on recent trends and offensive and defensive statistics.

This objective analysis based on statistics gives us an overview of the match and the various possible bets. It is always important to remember that despite all the analysis and statistics, there is always an element of uncertainty in sports betting – after all, that’s what makes sports so exciting.

Happy betting to all!