Tipps Santos Laguna Monterrey Liga MX 15/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Monterrey wins the match.”

1. Monterrey has significantly better performances away from home with a 80% win rate in their last 5 matches, compared to Santos Laguna’s mere 20% home win rate.

2. Statistics reveal a higher offensive potential for Monterrey, having scored 8 goals in 5 away matches, as opposed to Santos Laguna’s 4 goals in 5 home matches.

3. The probability of Monterrey winning is estimated at 59.59%, much higher than Santos Laguna’s 16.58%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics from the latest matches show that both teams have an average of goals per match higher than 1, indicating a strong offensive potential and increasing the possibility of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match.
2. Analysis of defensive performances reveals that Santos Laguna and Monterrey concede an average of 1.4 and 1.6 goals per match respectively. This suggests a certain defensive vulnerability that could lead to the match ending with more than 2.5 goals.
3. In previous matches, both teams have shown an ability to score and concede goals. Looking at Santos Laguna’s last 5 home matches and Monterrey’s away matches, several of them had more than 2.5 goals (Santos Laguna 3 – 2 Necaxa, Tijuana 2 – 2 Monterrey, Puebla 1 – 2 Monterrey, Cruz Azul 1 – 2 Monterrey). These past results could indicate a higher probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the upcoming match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Over their last 5 respective home and away matches, Santos Laguna and Monterrey have shown an ability to score and concede goals with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match for both teams. This increases the probability of both teams scoring.

2. Recent match history shows a trend where both teams have scored at least once in their encounters, as illustrated by previous match scores such as Tijuana 2 – 2 Monterrey, Santos Laguna 3 – 2 Necaxa.

3. The offensive and defensive potential statistics of both teams indicate a high likelihood of scoring and conceding goals. The offensive potential of Santos Laguna and Monterrey is 43% and their defensive potential is 50% and 57% respectively. These numbers suggest that both teams are likely to score in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Santos Laguna 1-2 Monterrey

1. Recent performance statistics: Monterrey has a high success rate away from home with 80% of victories in their last 5 matches, while Santos Laguna has struggled to win at home. This gives Monterrey an advantage.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Santos Laguna and Monterrey have the same average offensive potential of 1.2 goals per match, but Monterrey has a better defense with a 57% defensive potential compared to Santos Laguna’s 50%, indicating they have a better chance of limiting Santos’ goals and scoring more themselves.
3. Match win probabilities: Monterrey has a success probability of 59.59%, which is significantly higher than Santos Laguna’s 16.58% success probability. Additionally, the “Over 1.5 goals in the match” event has a success probability of 79.79%, suggesting the match will be reasonably high-scoring. A scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Monterrey aligns with these statistics.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Santos Laguna at home is currently not in good form, with only 20% of wins and 60% of draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals but conceded 7, showing a vulnerable defense.

Monterrey away is impressive, winning 80% of their matches and only drawing 20%. With 8 goals scored and 9 conceded, their defense is less solid.

On average, Santos Laguna scores 1.2 goals per match at home and concedes 1.4, indicating an offensive potential of 43% and defensive of 50%. On the other hand, Monterrey scores 1.2 goals on average away and concedes 1.6, with offensive and defensive potentials of 43% and 57% respectively.

The betting probabilities indicate an advantage for Monterrey, with a probability of winning of 59.59%. A draw has a probability of 23.83% and a Santos Laguna victory of 16.58%.

As a result, a bet on a match with over 1.5 goals has a high probability of success (79.79%), while a bet on both teams scoring has a success probability of 55.96%.

Looking at the recent matches, Santos Laguna has lost three times at home with a score of 3-0. Monterrey has won their last four away matches.

In conclusion, the most likely scenario seems to be a Monterrey win with over 1.5 goals scored.

The potential number of goals

Santos Laguna has only won one of their last five home matches, scoring 4 goals but conceding 7. With just one win and a negative goal difference, it is clear that their home performance is declining.

On the other hand, Monterrey has been showing strong performances in their away matches. They have won four of their last five games on the road, scoring 8 goals but conceding 9.

Santos Laguna and Monterrey have a similar offensive potential, with an average of 1.2 goals per match. However, Monterrey has a slight defensive advantage with a 57% defensive potential compared to Santos Laguna’s 50%.

The match outcome seems to favor Monterrey, who have a 59.59% chance of winning, while Santos Laguna has only a 16.58% probability of winning the match.

As for the number of goals, it is more likely that the match will have over 1.5 goals with a probability of 79.79%, and a 55.96% probability for over 2.5 goals.

Based on the analysis of recent matches, it seems probable that both teams will score with a probability of 55.96%.

In conclusion, based on current data and recent performances, Monterrey appears to be the favorite to win, with a high chance of seeing over 2.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Ultimately, in this Liga MX match between Santos Laguna and Monterrey, the various statistics and analyses lead us to predict a victory for Monterrey, a team with a more impressive away performance. Furthermore, the offensive potential of both teams, combined with their somewhat vulnerable defense, suggests a match that should see over 2.5 goals.

It also seems probable that both teams will score during the match, given their average goals per game and the fact that they have scored in their previous matches. Additionally, an exact score of 2-1 in favor of Monterrey appears to be a realistic possibility, based on the recent performances of both teams.

In terms of betting value, the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” seems to be the most interesting option to consider, with a probability of success of 55.96% and odds of 1.75.

It is important to note that sports betting always carries a risk, so it is essential to bet responsibly. Remember that these predictions are based on statistics and analyses, but football being an unpredictable sport, anything can happen during the match. Good luck!