Tipps Santos Laguna Tigres UANL Liga MX 21/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Tigres UANL wins the match

1. Tigres UANL has a higher probability of success (49.14%) compared to Santos Laguna (25.14%).
2. Tigres UANL has a higher offensive potential (36%) when compared to Santos Laguna (7%) over the last 5 matches.
3. Even though Tigres UANL hasn’t won any of their last 5 away matches, they have managed to draw in 80% of those matches, while Santos Laguna has only won 20% of their home matches in the last 5 games.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Recent goal-scoring performances: In their respective last 5 matches, Santos Laguna has scored 5 goals and conceded 5 goals at home, while Tigres UANL has scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals on the road. These statistics indicate an average of fewer than 2.5 goals per match for both teams.

2. Goal averages: At home, Santos Laguna averages 0.2 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match. Away from home, Tigres UANL averages 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. The combined average for both teams clearly falls below 2.5 goals per match.

3. Previous results of both teams: Recent matches of both teams have seen a low number of goals, with several draws or victories with a small goal difference. For instance, Santos Laguna’s home matches against Pumas UNAM, Atletico San Luis, Pachuca, and America all resulted in fewer than 2.5 goals. Similarly, Tigres UANL’s away matches against Atlas, America, and Monterrey also produced fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Santos Laguna and Tigres UANL both have an average of goals scored per match in their last 5 respective games. This indicates that both teams are capable of scoring goals, increasing the chances of both teams scoring during the match.
2. Statistics show that Santos Laguna concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match at home while Tigres UANL scores an average of 1 goal per match away. This suggests that Santos Laguna is likely to concede goals while Tigres UANL is capable of scoring away from home.
3. By observing the recent matches of both teams, a pattern emerges where both teams tend to score. For Santos Laguna at home: 4 out of the last 5 matches have seen the team score. For Tigres UANL away: the team has scored in each of its last 5 matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Santos Laguna 1-1 Tigres UANL

1. Tigres UANL has a strong draw rate away from home with 80% of its last 5 matches ending in a draw, making another draw against Santos Laguna plausible.
2. In their last five home matches, Santos Laguna has only won one match but managed to secure a draw in two matches. This validates a trend towards draws, in line with Tigres UANL’s behavior away from home.
3. Both teams tend to score and concede goals quite regularly, with an average of 1 goal per match for Tigres UANL and 0.2 goals for Santos Laguna at home, reinforcing the possibility of a 1-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Santos Laguna struggles at home with only a 20% win rate. They rarely score, with a low offensive potential of 7%. Home games are tight with a 40% draw rate.
Tigres UANL is strong away from home. They do not lose, with an 80% draw rate. They score and concede regularly.
Santos Laguna has a 25.14% probability of winning this match, while Tigres’s probability of winning stands at 49.14%.
Expect a close match, with an 80.57% probability for over 1.5 goals.
Both teams often score, with a probability of 64.57%.
Considering these data, it appears that Tigres UANL has a high chance of winning or drawing the match.

The potential number of goals

Santos Laguna has shown a modest performance at home, with only a 20% win rate in its last 5 matches. Their offensive capability at home doesn’t seem very high, averaging only 0.2 goals per match.

On the contrary, Tigres UANL has struggled away from home, without a win in its last 5 matches. However, they have scored more consistently than Santos, with an average of 1 goal per match on the road.

It is noteworthy that both teams have similar defensive rates, each conceding more than one goal per match on average, indicating frail defenses.

Probability analysis suggests some prevalence for Tigres UANL with a 49.14% chance of winning the match, contrasting with Santos Laguna’s 25.14%.

Considering the total goals, it is more likely to have over 1.5 goals in the match with an 80.57% success rate. Statistics also point to a high likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

Looking at previous matches, draws seem common for both teams, perhaps another angle to consider for betting.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this prediction demonstrates that the match between Santos Laguna and Tigres UANL is likely to be closely contested, with Tigres UANL slightly favored. However, considering the recent performances of both teams, particularly Santos Laguna’s struggles to win at home and Tigres UANL’s tendency to draw away games, betting on a draw could offer good value.

As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw appears to be the most plausible given the modest attacking abilities and vulnerable defenses of both teams. Additionally, both teams have shown a tendency to score in their previous matches, making a wager on both teams to score a good choice.

In terms of the total number of goals, under 2.5 goals in the match seems most likely based on the offensive and defensive statistics of both teams. Bettors should also consider that games involving these teams often result in tight and relatively low-scoring affairs.