Tipps Santos Laguna Toluca Liga MX 23/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Toluca wins the match

1. Toluca has a better offensive and defensive performance: With an average of 2.2 goals scored per match and 1.2 goals conceded on average per match in their last 5 away games, Toluca has an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 43%. This compares to Santos Laguna, which has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 64%.

2. The odds indicate a Toluca victory: Toluca has a 61.88% chance of winning the match according to the odds, which is much higher than Santos Laguna’s chances, which stand at 13.13%.

3. Toluca’s history is favorable: Referring to Toluca’s latest away matches, they have managed to secure decent results with draws or wins, showcasing their ability to stand up to their opponents on their own turf.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Toluca, even when playing away, has a high offensive potential of 79% with an average of 2.2 goals per match.
2. Santos Laguna, at home, has relatively weak defensive performances with a defensive potential of only 64% and an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match.
3. Previous match statistics show a trend of high-scoring matches, such as Santos Laguna 3 – 2 Necaxa or Pachuca 2 – 2 Toluca.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Team Form: Both teams have a high likelihood of scoring based on their recent matches. Santos Laguna scores an average of 1.2 goals per home game, while Toluca scores 2.2 goals per away game. Despite not always winning, both teams have shown their attacking capabilities.

2. Defensive Statistics: It’s worth noting that both teams have been conceding goals in their recent games. Santos Laguna concedes an average of 1.8 goals per home game, while Toluca concedes 1.2 goals on average away from home. This suggests that both teams are likely to let in goals, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. Recent Team Performances: The recent home and away performances of Santos Laguna and Toluca indicate their ability to find the back of the net. Toluca, in particular, has scored in their last 4 away games, showcasing their offensive potential even on the road. Similarly, despite disappointing results in their last 5 home games, Santos Laguna managed to score in one of those matches, demonstrating their ability to break down opposing defenses.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Toluca wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Santos Laguna 1-2 Toluca

1. Toluca’s Away Team Performance: Among its last 5 away games played, Toluca has managed to score goals, even against strong opposing teams. Their average goals scored per match is 2.2, which reinforces the validity of the forecast.

2. Toluca’s Winning Rate: Compared to Santos Laguna, Toluca has a higher likelihood of winning the match, set at 61.88%. This is a strong indication that Toluca has a good chance of winning the game, so a score of 1-2 in favor of Toluca is plausible.

3. Toluca’s Strong Defense: Despite playing away, Toluca has a solid defensive potential of 43%, coinciding with the fact that they have conceded a total of 6 goals in their last 5 away matches. Therefore, Santos Laguna will likely be limited to just one goal during the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Santos Laguna struggles at home with only one win in five matches. Toluca, on the other hand, doesn’t do much better away with the same record.

Santos Laguna has an average of 1.2 goals scored per home match, while conceding 1.8 goals. Meanwhile, Toluca has an average of 2.2 goals scored away, while conceding 1.2 goals.

The probability of Santos Laguna winning is 13.13%, a draw is at 25%, and Toluca has a probability of winning at 61.88%.

The probability of the match having less than 1.5 goals is 18.75%, while it is 81.25% for more than 1.5 goals.

The recent home matches for Santos Laguna have been tough with three losses and a draw. Toluca, on the other hand, has a streak of draws and a win away.

In summary, recent performance favors Toluca. The number of goals scored and conceded shows that Toluca is more effective. The probabilities indicate a win for Toluca with more than 1.5 goals in the match. Consider Toluca, it’s a good choice!

The potential number of goals

Santos Laguna has only won 20% of their last 5 home matches, scoring 4 goals. Their defense is lacking, having conceded 5 goals. Their offensive and defensive potentials are 43% and 64% respectively. Toluca, playing away, has similar statistics: 20% win rate and 5 goals scored. Their offensive potential is higher at 79%, and defensive at 43%.

In terms of odds, Toluca comes out on top with a 61.88% chance of winning. A draw is possible at 25%. Over 1.5 goals in the match seems likely with an 81.25% chance.

Looking at previous matches, Santos Laguna has suffered several home defeats, such as against Monterrey or Tigres UANL. Toluca’s away games have often ended in draws or narrow victories.

Taking all these factors into account, a plausible prediction would be a Toluca win, with over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering factors such as recent performances, match history, probabilities, and offensive and defensive statistics of each team, Toluca emerges as the favorite for this match against Santos Laguna. The odds indicate high chances of victory for Toluca, and the stats highlight their superior offensive and defensive performance, even in away games. Moreover, recent matches involving these teams have often seen over 2.5 goals, and the likelihood of both teams scoring also appears to be high. Therefore, for bettors, a Toluca win, with over 2.5 total goals and both teams scoring, seems to be the safest bet. However, it is important to remember that in sports betting, nothing is ever guaranteed.