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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Sao Paulo Bahia
Tipps Sao Paulo Bahia Serie A 30/06/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Sao Paulo SP wins the match.
1. Sao Paulo SP has a strong home record, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. These performances increase the likelihood of them winning or drawing against Bahia BA.
2. Bahia BA’s away statistics show a relatively weak defense with a potential of only 43%, having conceded 9 goals in total in their last 5 matches. Sao Paulo SP could therefore exploit this defensive frailty.
3. The forecast “Draw or Sao Paulo SP wins the match” has a high success probability of 73.8%, the highest among all betting options. Therefore, this seems to be the safest bet to place for this match.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match.
1. The home record of Sao Paulo SP shows a trend towards low-scoring matches, with 3 out of the last 5 matches not exceeding a total of 2.5 goals.
2. Statistics indicate that both sides, Sao Paulo SP and Bahia BA, score an average of less than 2 goals per match, suggesting relatively low offensive production.
3. Probabilities suggest that the most likely scenario is “Under 3.5 goals in the match” with a success probability of 81.28%. Although this is higher than 2.5, it is still probable that the number of goals will be fewer than 2.5, particularly considering the first two points.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. The statistics show that Sao Paulo tends to score (averaging 1 goal per match) and concede (averaging 1.4 goals per match) at home. Similarly, Bahia tends to score (averaging 1.8 goals per match) and concede (averaging 1.2 goals per match) away. These numbers suggest a high probability of both teams scoring during the match.
2. Looking at the teams’ recent matches, Sao Paulo has scored in three of its last five home games, and Bahia has scored in all five of its last away games. Therefore, it is plausible to predict that both teams will score in this match.
3. The offensive and defensive potential of the teams demonstrate that both have a strong ability to create goal-scoring opportunities (offensive potential of 36% for Sao Paulo and 64% for Bahia) and deal with opposition chances (defensive potential of 50% for Sao Paulo and 43% for Bahia). These statistics reinforce the argument that both teams are likely to score during the match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
“Bahia BA wins the match”
1. The offensive potential of Bahia BA is significantly higher than that of Sao Paulo SP, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match compared to 1 goal on average for Sao Paulo SP.
2. Bahia BA has a better performance away from home with 40% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches, while Sao Paulo SP has only won in 60% of their home matches and drawn in 20% of matches.
3. Despite a lower calculated success probability at 26.2%, the odds offered for a Bahia BA win are 3.6, indicating potential value in this bet.
Bet on the exact result
Sao Paulo SP 1-1 Bahia BA
1. Previous match statistics show that Sao Paulo SP and Bahia BA tend to score and concede a similar number of goals, leading to a high likelihood of a draw. Specifically, Sao Paulo SP has a 20% draw rate at home and Bahia BA has a 40% draw rate away.
2. Both teams have displayed a fairly balanced offensive and defensive capability, with Sao Paulo SP having a 36% offensive potential and 50% defensive potential, and Bahia BA having a 64% offensive potential and 43% defensive potential.
3. The probabilities provided by the betting site indicate that the most likely scenario is either a Sao Paulo SP win (43.85% probability) or a draw (29.95% probability). Combined with the fact that both teams tend to have a similar number of goals, this suggests that the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Sao Paulo SP has a balanced performance at home with a goals scored/conceded ratio of 1:1. On the other hand, Bahia BA scores more than they concede with 1.8 goals per match compared to 1.2 away from home. Sao Paulo SP wins 60% of the time at home, while Bahia BA wins 40% of the time on the road.
The chances of Sao Paulo winning are 43.85% with odds of 2.00. The probability of a draw is 29.95% with odds of 3.50. Bahia BA’s chances of winning are 26.2% with odds of 3.60.
A match with over 1.5 goals has a success probability of 70.05% with odds of 1.38, while less than 3.5 goals in the match have an 81.28% chance of occurring, with odds of 1.22.
Analyzing their recent matches, São Paulo has a mixed record with two losses, two wins, and one draw. Bahia has a more positive record away from home with two wins, two draws, and one loss.
Based on this data, a possible outcome would be a low-scoring match, with chances leaning towards Sao Paulo SP.
The potential number of goals
Sao Paulo SP has a mixed home performance, with a 60% win rate but 20% draws. The defense and offense are balanced, with 6 goals scored and conceded.
Bahia BA, when playing away, has a low win rate of 40% but a draw tendency of 40%. They have scored more than Sao Paulo SP, with 8 goals, but have conceded 9.
In terms of averages, Sao Paulo SP scores 1 goal per home match and concedes 1.4. Their offensive potential is at 36% and defensive at 50%.
Bahia BA, on the road, is more prolific, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.2. Their offensive potential is high at 64% and defensive at 43%.
For the prediction, Sao Paulo SP has a 43.85% chance of victory, while Bahia BA is at 26.2%. A draw is less likely, at 29.95%. A result of fewer than 1.5 goals is also plausible.
Moreover, the match should not exceed 3.5 goals, with a probability of 81.28%.
Considering these data, a close match is expected. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, promising an intense duel. Caution is advised for this bet.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In this forecast for the match between Sao Paulo SP and Bahia BA, several factors need to be taken into account. Sao Paulo SP has shown its strength at home, winning 60% of its recent matches, while Bahia BA has a more mixed record away from home but a superior offensive performance. While Sao Paulo is the favorite to win, considering a draw or a Bahia victory may offer good value for bettors seeking higher-risk opportunities.
It is more likely that the total goal score will be under 2.5. The offensive potential of each team is not high, and combined with the recent history of both teams’ matches, it is reasonable to think there won’t be a large number of goals scored.
This match is expected to be very tight and intense, with both teams having fairly similar offensive and defensive capabilities based on statistics. In this context, the most likely exact score would be 1-1.
Overall, this match represents an interesting opportunity for bettors. Despite Sao Paulo SP’s favorable trend at home, Bahia BA’s superior offensive performance offers potentially profitable betting scenarios to consider. However, a more in-depth analysis and some caution are still necessary given the closeness of the two teams in terms of skills and performances.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Sao Paulo against Bahia on 30/06/2024
1. Sao Paulo SP has a strong home record, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. These performances increase the likelihood of them winning or drawing against Bahia BA.
2. Bahia BA’s away statistics show a relatively weak defense with a potential of only 43%, having conceded 9 goals in total in their last 5 matches. Sao Paulo SP could therefore exploit this defensive frailty.
3. The forecast “Draw or Sao Paulo SP wins the match” has a high success probability of 73.8%, the highest among all betting options. Therefore, this seems to be the safest bet to place for this match.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Sao Paulo vs Bahia match!
To not miss anything from the Sao Paulo vs Bahia match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 30/06/2024 in the Serie A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Sao Paulo vs Bahia
Lineups Sao Paulo
Lineups Bahia
Match Highlights Sao Paulo vs Bahia on 30/06/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Sao Paulo vs Bahia match on 30/06/2024 at MorumBIS stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Sao Paulo and Bahia
All statistics for the match between Sao Paulo and Bahia will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Sao Paulo against Bahia!
Form state of Sao Paulo in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Sao Paulo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Sao Paulo has a form rating of %.
Form state of Bahia in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Bahia has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Bahia has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Sao Paulo against Bahia!
Average goals scored by Sao Paulo in the current season.
Goals scored by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Bahia in the current season
Goals scored by Bahia in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Bahia
Bahia has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Bahia in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Bahia
Bahia has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Sao Paulo and Bahia, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Sao Paulo vs Bahia: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The home record of Sao Paulo SP shows a trend towards low-scoring matches, with 3 out of the last 5 matches not exceeding a total of 2.5 goals.
2. Statistics indicate that both sides, Sao Paulo SP and Bahia BA, score an average of less than 2 goals per match, suggesting relatively low offensive production.
3. Probabilities suggest that the most likely scenario is “Under 3.5 goals in the match” with a success probability of 81.28%. Although this is higher than 2.5, it is still probable that the number of goals will be fewer than 2.5, particularly considering the first two points.
Forecast results from winflix for Sao Paulo and Bahia!
The last 5 winning predictions für Sao Paulo
The last 5 winning predictions für Bahia
How do I find the best forecast for Sao Paulo Bahia?
Finding a forecast for the Sao Paulo Bahia match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Sao Paulo Bahia on 30/06/2024 in MorumBIS are the team's past performance in the Serie A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Sao Paulo at home and Bahia away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 30/06/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Sao Paulo and Bahia on 30/06/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Serie A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at MorumBIS, Sao Paulo could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Sao Paulo and Bahia, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Sao Paulo and the away win rate of Bahia, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 30/06/2024!
The individual performances of players from Sao Paulo and Bahia can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 30/06/2024 at MorumBIS.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Sao Paulo and Bahia, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Sao Paulo or Bahia on 30/06/2024.
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