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Tipps Sao Paulo Barcelona SC Copa Libertadores 17/05/2024

Last update : 17/05/2024
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Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Sao Paulo SP wins the match.”

1. Sao Paulo SP has a higher offensive potential at home (79%) compared to Barcelona SC away (50%). This indicates a higher number of goals scored by Sao Paulo SP compared to Barcelona SC.

2. The probability of Sao Paulo SP winning the match is significantly higher (73.2%) compared to a draw or a Barcelona SC win (9.28%). This statistic predicts a clear imbalance in favor of Sao Paulo SP.

3. Lastly, although both teams have relatively close defense percentages (Sao Paulo SP at 21% and Barcelona SC at 43%), the average goals conceded per match favors Sao Paulo SP (0.6 against 1.2 for Barcelona SC). In other words, Sao Paulo SP defends better at home than Barcelona SC does away.

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Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The average offensive potential of both teams in their recent matches is high. Sao Paulo SP has a home offensive potential of 79% and scores an average of 2.2 goals per match, while Barcelona SC has an away offensive potential of 50% and scores an average of 1.4 goals per match.

2. The recent matches of these two teams have generally exceeded the 2.5 goal mark. Especially, Barcelona SC’s away matches have almost always exceeded this mark with matches ending in 3-1, 3-1, and 3-0.

3. Betting statistics show a 57.73% probability of over 2.5 goals in this match – which is a moderately high probability for this type of bet.

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BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Sao Paulo SP has a relatively solid defense at home, conceding only an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 home games. This decreases the likelihood of the opposing team scoring a goal.

2. Barcelona SC, despite having a decent offensive performance away from home with an average of 1.4 goals per match, also has a significant probability of not scoring. This is largely due to Sao Paulo SP’s strong defensive performances at home.

3. The calculated probability of both teams not scoring is 55.67%, which is higher than that of both teams scoring (44.33%). This indicates that statistically, there is a higher chance of both teams failing to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Barcelona SC wins the match

1. Barcelona SC’s form away from home is superior to Sao Paulo SP’s home form, with 60% of wins for the former compared to only 20% for the latter. This demonstrates the visiting team’s ability to achieve good results on the road.

2. Barcelona SC’s offensive potential away from home (50%) is higher than Sao Paulo SP’s defensive potential at home (21%). This means that Barcelona SC is more likely to score than their opponent is to prevent them from scoring.

3. The odds indicate a significantly lower probability of a Barcelona SC win (9.28%) than what their recent performances and statistics suggest. This creates value on this outcome as the true probability of a Barcelona SC win seems to be higher than that estimated by bookmakers.

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Bet on the exact result

Sao Paulo SP 2-1 Barcelona SC

1. Recent home performances: Sao Paulo SP has shown some form by averaging 2.2 goals per match at home. This gives the club an attacking potential of 79%, a quite high figure which could explain why we can expect them to score at least 2 goals.

2. Recent away performances: Barcelona SC, despite a high win percentage, has also conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match away. This gives them a defensive potential of 43%, meaning the club is likely to concede a goal, even though they are also capable of scoring.

3. Overall match probabilities: The overall probabilities give São Paulo SP a significant advantage with a 73.2% chance of winning. Combined with a 57.73% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, this supports the prediction of a final score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sao Paulo SP struggles at home, winning 20% and drawing 20% of their last 5 matches. Their attack is average with 5 goals scored while their defense has conceded 6 goals.

Barcelona SC is strong away from home, winning 60% and drawing 20% of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding the same.

With an average of 2.2 goals scored per match, São Paulo SP’s offensive potential is at 79%, while their defense is only at 21%.

Barcelona SC, with 1.4 goals scored per away match, has an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 43%.

The probability of São Paulo SP winning is 73.2%. The probability of a draw is 17.53%, while Barcelona SC’s chance of winning is only 9.28%.

In terms of goals, more than 1.5 goals are likely at 78.87% and more than 2.5 goals at 57.73%.

Finally, there is a 55.67% chance that both teams will not score.

This suggests a tight match with São Paulo SP as the favorite, but with a strong chance of both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Sao Paulo SP, at home, has had a mixed performance with only 20% of wins in their last 5 matches. Their offensive and defensive capabilities are average with 5 goals scored and 6 goals conceded respectively.

Barcelona SC seems more efficient away from home with 60% of wins in their last 5 away matches. They have scored 9 goals but also conceded 9, showing a slightly leaky defense.

Looking at the average goals, Sao Paulo SP more frequently scores at home with 2.2 goals per match, but their defense leaves something to be desired with 0.6 goals conceded on average. Barcelona SC has a lower offensive potential with only 1.4 goals on average, but a more solid defense with 1.2 goals conceded per match.

The probabilities indicate a high chance of Sao Paulo SP winning with a 73.2% success rate. The chance of a draw is only 17.53%.

Considering the total goals, the probability is high for more than 1.5 goals in the match (78.87%). This indicates that both teams tend to score and there could be a relatively high number of goals in this match.

In conclusion, it appears that the best option for this match would be a win for Sao Paulo SP with more than 1.5 goals in the match. This is supported by recent statistics and probabilities.

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Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis shows a superiority of Sao Paulo SP at home compared to Barcelona SC away. While acknowledging some competitiveness from Barcelona SC, the probabilities tip the scale in favor of Sao Paulo SP.
In terms of goals, the analyses predict more than 2.5 goals with a moderately high probability of 57.73%. Combining these statistics with Sao Paulo SP’s strong defense at home, the bet “Both teams to score?” seems safer by choosing “No.”
Despite Barcelona SC’s low chances of winning, a bet on their victory could be an interesting “value bet” due to bookmakers undervaluing their away performances.
Finally, the exact score prediction foresees a close match with Sao Paulo SP winning 2-1. Taking into account Sao Paulo SP’s offensive potential and Barcelona SC’s recent defensive performances, both the score prediction and other types of bets rely on past statistics and do not guarantee a certain outcome. As always in sports betting, caution is advised.

Detailed Game Statistics

Odds & Predictions

Game Result Prediction Sao Paulo against Barcelona SC on 17/05/2024

1. Sao Paulo SP has a higher offensive potential at home (79%) compared to Barcelona SC away (50%). This indicates a higher number of goals scored by Sao Paulo SP compared to Barcelona SC.

2. The probability of Sao Paulo SP winning the match is significantly higher (73.2%) compared to a draw or a Barcelona SC win (9.28%). This statistic predicts a clear imbalance in favor of Sao Paulo SP.

3. Lastly, although both teams have relatively close defense percentages (Sao Paulo SP at 21% and Barcelona SC at 43%), the average goals conceded per match favors Sao Paulo SP (0.6 against 1.2 for Barcelona SC). In other words, Sao Paulo SP defends better at home than Barcelona SC does away.

Result at the end of the game
Bet option :Sao Paulo to win the game
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :Draw
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :Barcelona SC to win the game
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :Barcelona SC or Draw
Probability of success :
Odd :
Number of goals in the game
Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :Both teams to score: No
Probability of success :
Odd :
Double Chance and Number of Goals
Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw and +1.5 goals
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :Barcelona SC or Draw and +1.5 goals
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw and -3.5 goals
Probability of success :
Odd :
Bet option :Barcelona SC or Draw and -3.5 goals
Probability of success :
Odd :
Live & Match Info

Live Match: Get all the details about the Sao Paulo vs Barcelona SC match!

To not miss anything from the Sao Paulo vs Barcelona SC match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 17/05/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

Team Lineups: Sao Paulo vs Barcelona SC

logo team a
composition
23Rafael
2Vinícius
5Arboleda
28Franco
6Welington
8Galoppo
25Alisson
15Araújo
10Luciano
47Ferreira
17Silva
Lineups Sao Paulo
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composition
1Burrai
14Rangel
32Ramírez
3Sosa
6Chalá
5Trindade
7Preciado
17Gaibor
23Arroyo
11Rojas
18Fydriszewski
Lineups Barcelona SC

Match Highlights Sao Paulo vs Barcelona SC on 17/05/2024

Don't miss any highlights of the Sao Paulo vs Barcelona SC match on 17/05/2024 at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo stadium.

55'Igor Vinícius
picto
57'J. RojasJ. Corozo
picto
58'F. GaiborD. Díaz
picto
58'D. ArroyoLeonai
picto
62'G. GaloppoJuan
picto
62'André SilvaLucas Moura
picto
69'A. PreciadoC. Solano
picto
73'M. AraújoLuiz Gustavo
picto
73'FerreiraErick
picto
85'Igor ViníciusJoão Moreira
picto
85'F. FydriszewskiA. Obando
picto
89'Luca Sosa
picto
90'Javier Burrai
picto
90'Cristhian Solano
picto

Live Statistics for the match between Sao Paulo and Barcelona SC

All statistics for the match between Sao Paulo and Barcelona SC will be displayed here once they are available live.

logo team
Sao Paulo
Barcelona SC
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Ball Possession
62%
38%
Total Shots
14
8
Shots on Goal
3
2
Shots off Goal
5
0
Corner Kicks
8
5
Passing Accuracy
89%
78%
Total Passes
517
306
Successful Passes
459
240
Fouls Committed
13
15
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Sao Paulo against Barcelona SC!

logo team

Form state of Sao Paulo in its last 5 matches

%Teamform

In its last 5 matches, the team Sao Paulo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Sao Paulo has a form rating of %.

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Form state of Barcelona SC in its last 5 matches

%Teamform

In its last 5 matches, Barcelona SC has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Barcelona SC has a form rating of %.

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Statistiken & Torprognosen

Goal Prediction: In the match Sao Paulo against Barcelona SC!

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Average goals scored by Sao Paulo in the current season.

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Goals scored by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches

Goals per game
%Attacking potential

Goal prediction for goals scored by Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

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Goals conceded by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches

Goals per game
%Defensive potential

Goal prediction for goals conceded by Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

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Average goals scored by Barcelona SC in the current season

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Goals scored by Barcelona SC in the last 5 matches

Goals per game
%Attacking potential

Goal prediction for goals scored by Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

logo team

Goals conceded by Barcelona SC in the last 5 matches

Goals per game
%Defensive potential

Goal prediction for goals conceded by Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Sao Paulo and Barcelona SC, we should have a total of goals in this match.

Prognosis
Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
The tool to use: Wingoal

Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

Predict Exact Result

Exact Result Predictions Sao Paulo vs Barcelona SC: Probabilities for the outcome

1. The average offensive potential of both teams in their recent matches is high. Sao Paulo SP has a home offensive potential of 79% and scores an average of 2.2 goals per match, while Barcelona SC has an away offensive potential of 50% and scores an average of 1.4 goals per match.

2. The recent matches of these two teams have generally exceeded the 2.5 goal mark. Especially, Barcelona SC’s away matches have almost always exceeded this mark with matches ending in 3-1, 3-1, and 3-0.

3. Betting statistics show a 57.73% probability of over 2.5 goals in this match – which is a moderately high probability for this type of bet.

Exact Results
%
Odds
Forecast Results

Forecast results from winflix for Sao Paulo and Barcelona SC!

The last 5 winning predictions für Sao Paulo

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The last 5 winning predictions für Barcelona SC

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Frequently Asked Questions

How do I find the best forecast for Sao Paulo Barcelona SC?

Finding a forecast for the Sao Paulo Barcelona SC match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Sao Paulo Barcelona SC on 17/05/2024 in Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Sao Paulo at home and Barcelona SC away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 17/05/2024.

To evaluate the current form of Sao Paulo and Barcelona SC on 17/05/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, Sao Paulo could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Sao Paulo and Barcelona SC, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Sao Paulo and the away win rate of Barcelona SC, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 17/05/2024!

The individual performances of players from Sao Paulo and Barcelona SC can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 17/05/2024 at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo.

To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Sao Paulo and Barcelona SC, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Sao Paulo or Barcelona SC on 17/05/2024.

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Author
Alex - Winflix

"Ca arrive..."

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