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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Sao Paulo Botafogo
Tipps Sao Paulo Botafogo Copa Libertadores 26/09/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Sao Paulo SP wins the match
1. Performance history: Sao Paulo SP has a significantly better home performance compared to Botafogo RJ away. In the last 5 home matches, Sao Paulo SP won 80% of the matches while Botafogo RJ only won 20% of their matches away.
2. Defensive statistics: Sao Paulo SP has a defensive success rate of 21% at home, which is the same as Botafogo RJ away. This suggests that Sao Paulo SP defends as well at home as Botafogo RJ does away, and could neutralize the opposing team’s attack.
3. Recent record: Recent home matches for Sao Paulo SP indicate they tend to win or at least not lose when playing at home. In comparison, recent away matches for Botafogo RJ show more variation in their results.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. Sao Paulo SP’s home performances show that they have a low average of goals per match (0.2), indicating that their games tend to have fewer goals in general.
2. Additionally, Botafogo RJ’s away performance, with an average of 1.2 goals per match, does not suggest that they will score many goals in this match. Combined, the average goals per match of both teams are well below 2.5 goals.
3. Finally, statistics indicate a 90.53% success probability for less than 3.5 goals in the match, further reinforcing the scenario of less than 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. Sao Paulo SP’s defensive performances are relatively solid, conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per match in their recent home games, indicating a strong possibility of not allowing Botafogo RJ to score.
2. Historically, in their recent home matches, Sao Paulo SP managed to keep a clean sheet in 3 out of their last 5 games, despite scoring very few goals (0.2 on average), which aligns with the “Both teams to score: No” scenario.
3. Despite Botafogo RJ having a relative offensive potential away from home, they have had goalless matches (Bahia BA 0 – 0 Botafogo RJ, Bahia BA 1 – 0 Botafogo RJ), further supporting the argument that the “Both teams to score: No” scenario is likely in this match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Botafogo RJ wins the match – 31.58% success probability: 2.88
1. Botafogo RJ has shown a better offensive performance away from home, scoring on average 1.2 goals per match compared to Sao Paulo SP’s average of 0.2 goals at home.
2. Botafogo RJ’s offensive potential is significantly higher at 43% compared to Sao Paulo SP’s 7%, indicating a greater ability to score goals.
3. Botafogo RJ’s recent performances away from home demonstrate a capacity to achieve results, as seen in matches against Palmeiras SP and Atletico Goianiense where they managed to score multiple goals.
Bet on the exact result
Sao Paulo SP 1-1 Botafogo RJ
1. The statistics indicate a high probability of a low-scoring match: “Under 3.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 90.53% and “Over 1.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 68.42%. This suggests a match with one or two goals in total, consistent with a 1-1 scoreline.
2. Botafogo RJ, in their recent away matches, has shown a tendency to draw (40% of cases), supporting the hypothesis of a draw against Sao Paulo SP.
3. Botafogo RJ’s offensive potential is relatively better than that of Sao Paulo SP (43% versus 7%), while their defensive potentials are equivalent (21% for both). This implies that Botafogo RJ could score against Sao Paulo SP without completely dominating them, fitting a 1-1 scoreline.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Sao Paulo SP has shown a strong performance at home with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, their attack seems to be struggling with only 0.2 goals scored on average per match and an average defense conceding 0.6 goals per match.
On the other hand, Botafogo RJ has been struggling away from home with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 outings. Their offensive numbers are interesting though, as they score an average of 1.2 goals per match, but their defense is lacking, conceding 0.6 goals per match.
In terms of win probabilities, Sao Paulo SP is favored to win at 35.79%, while Botafogo RJ has a probability of 31.58%. A draw is possible with a probability of 32.63%.
Another key data point is the expected number of goals in this match. With a 68.42% chance, it is highly likely that there will be more than 1.5 goals in this game.
Looking at recent history, Sao Paulo SP has won their last 4 home matches despite a loss against Atletico MG. On the other hand, Botafogo RJ has only won one of their last 5 away matches, against Atletico Goianiense.
In conclusion, statistics slightly favor Sao Paulo SP. However, Botafogo RJ’s offensive potential could lead to a surprise.
The potential number of goals
Sao Paulo SP has been showing a strong performance at home, with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, they have displayed a weakness by conceding 6 goals during that same period.
Botafogo RJ, when playing away, only wins 20% of the time but manages to score an average of 1.2 goals per match. Their defense is comparable to Sao Paulo SP’s, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match.
The probabilities indicate that Sao Paulo SP has a slight advantage with a 35.79% chance of winning the match, compared to 31.58% for Botafogo RJ.
In terms of goal bets, the prediction suggests a low-scoring match, with a high probability (90.53%) of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match.
Based on this analysis, Sao Paulo SP seems to have a slight edge. A bet on under 3.5 goals could be a sensible choice.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
Based on all the available analyses and data, there are several key elements to consider for your bets. Firstly, the match is relatively balanced, with Sao Paulo SP having a slight edge due to their strong home form, although the advantage is barely noticeable with a 35.79% chance of winning compared to a slightly lower probability of 31.58% for Botafogo RJ.
The prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on both teams’ goal statistics, indicating a low-scoring game. Additionally, since both teams have solid defenses, the potential for both teams to score seems low.
However, it is worth noting the value bet that predicts a Botafogo RJ victory despite the statistics, pointing towards this team’s offensive potential away from home that could cause an upset.
Overall, the statistics suggest a slight preference for a Sao Paulo SP win, with a likelihood of a low-scoring game. It is also important to consider the scenario of a Botafogo RJ surprise. It is up to you to weigh the risks and potential advantages for your bets.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Sao Paulo against Botafogo on 26/09/2024
1. Performance history: Sao Paulo SP has a significantly better home performance compared to Botafogo RJ away. In the last 5 home matches, Sao Paulo SP won 80% of the matches while Botafogo RJ only won 20% of their matches away.
2. Defensive statistics: Sao Paulo SP has a defensive success rate of 21% at home, which is the same as Botafogo RJ away. This suggests that Sao Paulo SP defends as well at home as Botafogo RJ does away, and could neutralize the opposing team’s attack.
3. Recent record: Recent home matches for Sao Paulo SP indicate they tend to win or at least not lose when playing at home. In comparison, recent away matches for Botafogo RJ show more variation in their results.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Sao Paulo vs Botafogo match!
To not miss anything from the Sao Paulo vs Botafogo match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 26/09/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
Lineups Sao Paulo
Lineups Botafogo
Match Highlights Sao Paulo vs Botafogo on 26/09/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Sao Paulo vs Botafogo match on 26/09/2024 at MorumBIS stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Sao Paulo and Botafogo
All statistics for the match between Sao Paulo and Botafogo will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Sao Paulo against Botafogo!
Form state of Sao Paulo in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Sao Paulo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Sao Paulo has a form rating of %.
Form state of Botafogo in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Botafogo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Botafogo has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Sao Paulo against Botafogo!
Average goals scored by Sao Paulo in the current season.
Goals scored by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Botafogo in the current season
Goals scored by Botafogo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Botafogo
Botafogo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Botafogo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Botafogo
Botafogo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Sao Paulo and Botafogo, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Sao Paulo vs Botafogo: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Sao Paulo SP’s home performances show that they have a low average of goals per match (0.2), indicating that their games tend to have fewer goals in general.
2. Additionally, Botafogo RJ’s away performance, with an average of 1.2 goals per match, does not suggest that they will score many goals in this match. Combined, the average goals per match of both teams are well below 2.5 goals.
3. Finally, statistics indicate a 90.53% success probability for less than 3.5 goals in the match, further reinforcing the scenario of less than 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Sao Paulo and Botafogo!
The last 5 winning predictions für Sao Paulo
The last 5 winning predictions für Botafogo
How do I find the best forecast for Sao Paulo Botafogo?
Finding a forecast for the Sao Paulo Botafogo match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Sao Paulo Botafogo on 26/09/2024 in MorumBIS are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Sao Paulo at home and Botafogo away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 26/09/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Sao Paulo and Botafogo on 26/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at MorumBIS, Sao Paulo could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Sao Paulo and Botafogo, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Sao Paulo and the away win rate of Botafogo, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 26/09/2024!
The individual performances of players from Sao Paulo and Botafogo can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 26/09/2024 at MorumBIS.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Sao Paulo and Botafogo, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Sao Paulo or Botafogo on 26/09/2024.
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