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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Sao Paulo Club Nacional

    Tipps Sao Paulo Club Nacional Copa Libertadores 23/08/2024

    Last update : 23/08/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Sao Paulo SP wins the match

    1. Home performance of Sao Paulo SP: As mentioned, Sao Paulo SP has won 80% of its last 5 home matches and also has a strong defensive record with only 0.4 goals conceded per home match. Sao Paulo SP’s home strength is a significant advantage.

    2. Higher defensive potential: Sao Paulo SP has a defensive potential of 14%, which is almost double that of Club Nacional (7%). This implies that they have a better ability to resist the opposition’s attacks and are less likely to concede goals.

    3. Probability of success: The statistics suggest that Sao Paulo SP has a success probability of 62.23% for this match, which is significantly higher than Club Nacional’s probability (12.77%). The data therefore suggests that Sao Paulo SP has a greater likelihood of winning this match.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    “Over 2.5”

    1. Club Nacional has a strong offensive potential away from home, scoring on average 2.4 goals per match in their last 5 games, suggesting a number of goals in this match.
    2. São Paulo SP, although having a weaker offensive potential at 0.6 goals per match, has a weak defensive potential at home with an average of 0.4 goals conceded per match, potentially allowing Club Nacional to score.
    3. According to statistics, there is a 50% probability that the match will have more than 2.5 goals. This is a significant figure that reinforces the idea that it may be wise to bet on Over 2.5.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: No

    1. Sao Paulo SP has been very solid at home recently, conceding only 0.4 goals per match on average in their last 5 games. This shows that their defense is organized and effective, limiting opportunities for Club Nacional to score.

    2. Club Nacional, despite a good offensive performance away from home, has faced weaker teams. Against a stronger team like Sao Paulo SP and in a hostile environment, they are likely to struggle to score.

    3. The odds predict a low-scoring match. In particular, the probability of the match ending with less than 1.5 goals is higher than that of it ending with more than 1.5 goals. This suggests that goal-scoring opportunities for both teams could be limited in this match.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Club Nacional wins the match

    1. Club Nacional has an impressive away offensive performance with an average of 2.4 goals per match, compared to Sao Paulo SP’s home average of 0.6 goals. This means Club Nacional has a superior goal-scoring ability.

    2. Sao Paulo SP has conceded as many goals as they have scored in their last 5 home matches (7 goals), showing a vulnerable defense that can be exploited by Club Nacional’s powerful offense.

    3. Despite a lower likelihood of success (12.77%), the odds of 6.00 for Club Nacional to win make this bet attractive in terms of potential return versus risk. This represents a ‘value bet’ considering Club Nacional’s offensive performances.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Sao Paulo SP 1-2 Club Nacional

    1. Club Nacional has shown an impressively offensive performance away from home, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match. In comparison, Sao Paulo SP has demonstrated a weaker defensive performance, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per match. This indicates that Club Nacional may score more than one goal.

    2. Despite Sao Paulo SP being more likely to win the match according to the odds, they have also shown a tendency to concede goals at home. They have indeed conceded 7 goals in their last 5 home matches. Combined with Club Nacional’s strong offensive potential during their away matches, it suggests that Sao Paulo SP could concede 2 goals.

    3. Statistics indicate that in their last 5 home matches, Sao Paulo SP has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match. This, combined with the fact that Club Nacional has conceded an average of 0.2 goals away in their last 5 matches, strengthens the likelihood of a 1-2 scoreline.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Sao Paulo SP dominates at home, with an 80% win rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches.

    Club Nacional, playing away, has won 60% of their games. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 16 goals in their last 5 outings.

    Sao Paulo SP has an offensive potential of 21% and a strong defense of 14%. Club Nacional has a strong offense at 86% but a weak defense at 7%.

    The estimated win probability is 62.23% for Sao Paulo SP and 12.77% for Club Nacional. A draw has a 25% probability.

    A match outcome with more than 1.5 goals has a probability of 70.21%. Both teams have a 42.55% chance of scoring during the game.

    In recent history, Sao Paulo SP has had a series of close matches at home while Club Nacional has had mixed results away.

    The final touch of this analysis is that of a close match, with a solid defense from Sao Paulo SP and a dynamic offense from Club Nacional. An interesting match to follow.

    The potential number of goals

    Sao Paulo SP is strong at home with an 80% win rate. They have scored 7 goals in 5 matches, but have also conceded 7, indicating an unstable defense. Their offensive potential is 21% and defensive potential is 14%.

    Club Nacional performs well away from home with a 60% win rate. They have a strong attack with 14 goals scored in 5 matches, but a weak defense with 16 goals conceded. Their offensive potential is high at 86% compared to a defensive potential of only 7%.

    The betting odds favor Sao Paulo SP at 1.62 for a win against 6.00 for Club Nacional. The potential for a draw is 3.60.

    It is more likely to see fewer than 4.5 goals in the match with a 97.87% success rate. However, the probability of both teams scoring is 42.55%, suggesting Club Nacional’s strong offensive opposition.

    Sao Paulo SP’s recent home matches show a series of victories, while Club Nacional’s recent away matches show a strong attack but vulnerable defense.

    In conclusion, the match will likely be a close contest with an advantage for Sao Paulo SP at home, but Club Nacional’s strong attack could surprise. It is suggestive to bet on fewer than 4.5 goals.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, the match between Sao Paulo SP and Club Nacional promises to be exciting and competitive. On one hand, Sao Paulo SP has the advantage of playing at home, with a solid defense and an estimated win probability of around 62.23%. On the other hand, Club Nacional boasts an impressive offensive potential with an average of 2.4 goals per game in their away matches.

    While the odds seem to favor Sao Paulo SP, bettors should not completely overlook Club Nacional, especially since the odds for their victory could generate a substantial return. Therefore, it’s a value bet not to be underestimated. For more cautious bettors, a bet on “under 4.5 goals” seems appropriate given the likelihood of success.

    Ultimately, considering Sao Paulo SP’s strong defense and Club Nacional’s offensive performance, the most probable exact score appears to be 1-2 in favor of Club Nacional. However, every match comes with its uncertainties and surprises, making sports betting an experience always full of suspense.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Sao Paulo against Club Nacional on 23/08/2024

    1. Home performance of Sao Paulo SP: As mentioned, Sao Paulo SP has won 80% of its last 5 home matches and also has a strong defensive record with only 0.4 goals conceded per home match. Sao Paulo SP’s home strength is a significant advantage.

    2. Higher defensive potential: Sao Paulo SP has a defensive potential of 14%, which is almost double that of Club Nacional (7%). This implies that they have a better ability to resist the opposition’s attacks and are less likely to concede goals.

    3. Probability of success: The statistics suggest that Sao Paulo SP has a success probability of 62.23% for this match, which is significantly higher than Club Nacional’s probability (12.77%). The data therefore suggests that Sao Paulo SP has a greater likelihood of winning this match.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Sao Paulo to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Club Nacional to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Club Nacional or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Club Nacional or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Club Nacional or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Sao Paulo vs Club Nacional match!

    To not miss anything from the Sao Paulo vs Club Nacional match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 23/08/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Sao Paulo vs Club Nacional

    logo team a
    composition
    23Rafael
    13Rafinha
    5Arboleda
    28Franco
    6Welington
    21Bobadilla
    16Gustavo
    27Rato
    10Luciano
    7Moura
    9Calleri
    Lineups Sao Paulo
    logo team a
    composition
    12Mejía
    14Lozano
    4Coates
    23Polenta
    11Báez
    26Sanabria
    8Oliva
    16Castro
    7Galeano
    9Bentancourt
    22Zabala
    Lineups Club Nacional

    Match Highlights Sao Paulo vs Club Nacional on 23/08/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Sao Paulo vs Club Nacional match on 23/08/2024 at MorumBIS stadium.

    31'D. Bobadilla
    picto
    44'Luiz Gustavo
    picto
    46'A. CastroM. Pereyra
    picto
    46'S. CoatesJ. Izquierdo
    picto
    47'J. Calleri
    picto
    65'D. ZabalaNicolás López
    picto
    65'L. SanabriaN. Rodríguez
    picto
    72'R. BentancourtD. Herazo
    picto
    77'Wellington RatoRodrigo Nestor
    picto
    90'Marcos Antônio
    picto
    90'Leandro Lozano
    picto
    90'Gabriel Báez
    picto
    90'LucianoMarcos Antônio
    picto
    90'Lucas MouraAndré Silva
    picto
    90'J. IzquierdoE. Velázquez
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Sao Paulo and Club Nacional

    All statistics for the match between Sao Paulo and Club Nacional will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Sao Paulo
    Club Nacional
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    65%
    35%
    Total Shots
    12
    12
    Shots on Goal
    5
    2
    Shots off Goal
    4
    7
    Corner Kicks
    2
    4
    Passing Accuracy
    86%
    73%
    Total Passes
    520
    274
    Successful Passes
    445
    201
    Fouls Committed
    9
    10
    Yellow Cards
    2
    2
    Red Cards
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Sao Paulo against Club Nacional!

    logo team

    Form state of Sao Paulo in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Sao Paulo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Sao Paulo has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Club Nacional in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Club Nacional has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Club Nacional has a form rating of %.

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    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Sao Paulo against Club Nacional!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Sao Paulo in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Club Nacional in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Club Nacional in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Club Nacional
    Club Nacional has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Club Nacional in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Club Nacional
    Club Nacional has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Sao Paulo and Club Nacional, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Sao Paulo vs Club Nacional: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. Club Nacional has a strong offensive potential away from home, scoring on average 2.4 goals per match in their last 5 games, suggesting a number of goals in this match.
    2. São Paulo SP, although having a weaker offensive potential at 0.6 goals per match, has a weak defensive potential at home with an average of 0.4 goals conceded per match, potentially allowing Club Nacional to score.
    3. According to statistics, there is a 50% probability that the match will have more than 2.5 goals. This is a significant figure that reinforces the idea that it may be wise to bet on Over 2.5.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Sao Paulo and Club Nacional!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Sao Paulo

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Club Nacional

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Sao Paulo Club Nacional?

    Finding a forecast for the Sao Paulo Club Nacional match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Sao Paulo Club Nacional on 23/08/2024 in MorumBIS are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Sao Paulo at home and Club Nacional away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 23/08/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Sao Paulo and Club Nacional on 23/08/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at MorumBIS, Sao Paulo could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Sao Paulo and Club Nacional, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Sao Paulo and the away win rate of Club Nacional, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 23/08/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Sao Paulo and Club Nacional can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 23/08/2024 at MorumBIS.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Sao Paulo and Club Nacional, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Sao Paulo or Club Nacional on 23/08/2024.

    author
    Author
    Alex - Winflix

    "Ca arrive..."

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