Tipps Sao Paulo Criciuma Serie A 28/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Sao Paulo SP wins the match”

1. Home record: In their last 5 home games, São Paulo has won 60% of the time, which indicates a strong performance when playing at their stadium.
2. Defensive potential: São Paulo has a defensive potential of 50%, showcasing a solid defense, especially when compared to Criciuma’s defensive potential of 86%.
3. Odds: The odds of São Paulo winning are 63.89%, which is significantly higher than Criciúma’s (12.22%) or a draw (23.89%). This information, combined with the other two arguments, further strengthens the prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics from their recent matches show a tendency to score more than 2.5 goals on average. For Sao Paolo SP at home, they have scored 6 times in 5 matches, and for Criciuma away, they have scored 8 times in 5 matches.

2. The teams have relatively high offensive percentages. Sao Paulo SP has a 36% offensive potential at home, while Criciuma has a 64% offensive potential away. This indicates a strong likelihood of both teams scoring in the match.

3. Compared to the average goals conceded per match, Criciuma in particular has a high average of 2.4 goals per match. This suggests that it is likely the opposing team will score more goals, which can contribute to reaching a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Sao Paulo SP has a strong defensive performance at home, managing to keep three clean sheets in their last five home matches. This indicates that they are able to withstand attacks from the opposing team, even Criciuma, which has a 64% offensive potential.

2. Despite having a good offensive potential, Criciuma struggles to score when playing away. In their last five away matches, Criciuma failed to score twice, which is almost 50% of their matches.

3. The statistics also support this prediction with a 58.33% probability that both teams will not score, which is higher than the contrary probability of 41.67%. This suggests that the odds are in favor of a match where either Criciuma fails to score against São Paulo’s solid defense, or Sao Paulo scores while keeping their defense intact.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Criciuma wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Sao Paulo SP 1-1 Criciuma

1. São Paulo has an average performance at home where they score an average of 1 goal per match, while Criciuma has a similar performance away from home with an average of 1.8 goals per match. This indicates that both teams have the ability to score and supports the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams also support the 1-1 prediction. São Paulo concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, and Criciuma concedes up to 2.4 goals when playing away, suggesting that they both could concede a goal in this match.

3. The fact that 23.89% of São Paulo’s home matches end in a draw, and that 20% of Criciuma’s away matches end similarly, indicates a significant probability of the match ending in a draw. When combining these factors with the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, the prediction of a 1-1 draw seems logical.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sao Paulo SP is moderately in form at home. They win 60% and draw 20% of the time. Their attack scores 1 goal per game on average, but their defense concedes 1.4 goals. They win with a probability of 63.89%. The draw has odds of 4.33.

Criciuma has erratic performance away from home. They win 40% and draw 20% of the time. Their attack scores 1.8 goals per match and their defense concedes 2.4 goals. Their probability of winning is only 12.22%.

Both teams are capable of scoring, with a probability of 41.67%. However, there is a higher chance (58.33%) that both teams won’t score.

There is a 71.67% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. So, the match is likely to be lively. But there is an 86.67% chance of there being fewer than 3.5 goals. In other words, the match is unlikely to be a goal fest.

Based on these statistics, one could therefore predict a low-scoring match, potentially won by Sao Paulo SP at home.

The potential number of goals

At home, Sao Paulo SP has shown a strong performance with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded the same amount, indicating a balance between attack and defense.

Criciuma, when playing away, has won 40% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 9, suggesting a potentially stronger offensive capability than defensive.

While Sao Paulo SP has an average scoring rate of 1 goal per match, Criciuma has a higher average with 1.8 goals. However, they usually concede 2.4 goals compared to 1.4 for Sao Paulo SP.

In terms of the match result, the numbers clearly favor the Sao Paulo SP team – 63.89% probability of winning against only 12.22% for Criciuma. A draw is possible but less likely (23.89%).

Regarding betting, the “under 1.5 goals” option seems unlikely (3.40), while “over 1.5 goals” is more plausible (71.67% probability). As for the “both teams to score” bet, it has a reasonable probability of 41.67%.

In conclusion, considering these factors, Sao Paulo SP appears to be the favorite for this match, but the offensive capabilities of Criciuma should not be underestimated as they could cause an upset. Additionally, we can expect goals from both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, Sao Paulo SP appears as the favorite for this match due to a notable performance at home, with a 60% win rate and a solid defensive record. However, Criciuma should not be underestimated considering their high offensive potential when playing away, and their history of being able to defeat powerful teams on the road.

The recommended prediction for this match would be a bet on Sao Paulo to win with less than 2.5 goals during the match. Due to the respective performances of both teams, a 1-1 draw could also be a possible outcome. For the “both teams to score” bet, it seems more appropriate to bet on “no,” especially considering the strong defense of Sao Paulo at home.

If you are looking for a value bet, a bet on Criciuma to win could present an interesting potential. Statistics suggest that a surprise is possible, particularly due to Criciuma’s strong offensive potential when playing away.

Finally, it is important to always bet responsibly, taking into account all available information and statistics, while evaluating the risks associated with each bet.