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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Sao Paulo Gremio
Tipps Sao Paulo Gremio Serie A 18/07/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Sao Paulo SP wins the match.
1. São Paulo SP has an excellent home record by winning 80% of their last 5 matches, while Gremio RS struggles away from home with only 20% of wins in their last 5 matches.
2. São Paulo SP’s offensive potential at home is significantly higher than Gremio RS’s away, with an average of 2 goals scored per match compared to just 0.8 for Gremio RS.
3. Probability statistics also favor São Paulo SP with a success rate of 55.44% for a São Paulo SP victory compared to only 16.06% for a Gremio RS victory.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“Pronostic: Under 2.5 goals in the match.”
1. Gremio RS have a low attacking potential away from home, averaging 0.8 goals scored per match in their last 5 outings. They also have a poor away win rate, suggesting they may struggle to score against Sao Paulo SP.
2. While Sao Paulo SP have a strong home record, their average goals per match is only 2, and they have also conceded an average of 1 goal per match. This indicates they are likely to score fewer goals and concede fewer goals, leading to a total of under 2.5 goals.
3. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.75, indicating that bookmakers consider this outcome quite likely. Moreover, the success probability for under 3.5 goals in the match is 81.35%, suggesting that the chances of seeing under 2.5 goals are also quite high.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. Gremio RS’s weak offensive performance: In their last 5 away matches, Gremio RS only scored in 40% of cases. With an offensive potential of only 29%, their ability to score in the next match is uncertain.
2. Gremio RS’s overall performance away: Based on the statistics from their last 5 matches, Gremio RS only won 20% of their away games. With a low win ratio, it is likely that they may not score in this match.
3. Sao Paulo SP’s strong defensive performance at home: Sao Paulo SP won 80% of their last 5 home matches and only conceded goals at home in 60% of cases. This indicates that Sao Paulo SP has a relatively solid defense at home, reducing the possibility of Gremio RS scoring a goal.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw or Gremio RS wins the match.
1. Sao Paulo SP’s home performance is strong with a 80% win rate, however, they have also conceded as many goals as they have scored, suggesting a possible defensive vulnerability that could be exploited by Gremio RS, especially given their recent away win against Huachipato.
2. Gremio RS, despite having a poor away performance with only a 20% win rate, has managed to score in each of their recent away matches. This shows that they have the ability to score away from home, which could lead to a draw or a victory.
3. The odds offered for a draw or a Gremio RS win at 2.30 are attractive. Although the probability is lower at 44.56%, the risk is offset by the higher potential payout compared to other available bets for the match. This is therefore considered a “value bet.”
Bet on the exact result
Sao Paulo SP 2-1 Gremio RS
1. Sao Paulo SP has a notable performance when playing at home, having won 80% of their last 5 matches. They also have an offensive potential of 71% at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match.
2. Gremio RS has a weak performance away from home, having only won 20% of their last 5 matches. They have an offensive potential of only 29% away from home, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match.
3. The statistics show a stronger probability that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match (71.5% success rate), with an average score for Sao Paulo SP at home of 2 goals and for Gremio RS away of 0.8 goals.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Sao Paulo SP has a strong 80% home win rate. They have scored 9 goals in 5 home matches. They possess an offensive potential of 71%.
Gremio RS only wins 20% of their away games. They have scored only 3 goals in their last 5 away matches. Offensively, they are limited with a 29% potential.
Sao Paulo SP is rated with a 55.44% probability of winning with odds at 1.63. There is a high likelihood that more than 1.5 goals will be scored, with a 71.5% success probability at odds of 1.36.
Gremio RS has a 16.06% probability of winning with odds at 5.50. Both teams to score has a 45.6% success probability at odds of 2.05.
In conclusion, Sao Paulo SP seems to be the favorite. The statistics suggest a game with over 1.5 goals scored.
The potential number of goals
Sao Paulo SP shows strong dominance at home, with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have an average of 2 goals scored per match, showcasing an offensive potential of 71%.
Gremio RS doesn’t have the same luck away, only winning 20% of their last 5 matches. Their offensive and defensive performances are lower, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match.
Statistics favor Sao Paulo SP with a win probability of 55.44% against 16.06% for Gremio RS. A draw or a win for Sao Paulo SP has a high probability of 83.94%.
In the majority of cases, matches end with less than 3.5 goals (81.35% probability). Therefore, a bet on under 3.5 goals in the match could be wise.
Based on the statistics, there is a higher chance of both teams not scoring (54.4% probability).
Therefore, relying on these data, a victory for Sao Paulo SP with a total of under 3.5 goals in the match seems like a reasonable prediction.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, statistics and detailed analysis suggest that Sao Paulo SP has a clear superiority and is the favorite to win the match against Gremio RS. The data shows a strong offensive potential of Sao Paulo SP, especially when they play at home, while Gremio RS shows weaker performances in their away games. Despite the suggestion of a low-scoring match (less than 3.5 goals), it is likely that both teams will not score. However, the identified value bet considers the possibility of a draw or a victory for Gremio RS, suggesting that despite the trend, football remains an unpredictable sport and anything can happen. Therefore, while following the data, it is also crucial for bettors to trust their intuition and analyze other factors such as recent team performances, potential injuries, match context, and other information that could influence the outcome.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Sao Paulo against Gremio on 18/07/2024
1. São Paulo SP has an excellent home record by winning 80% of their last 5 matches, while Gremio RS struggles away from home with only 20% of wins in their last 5 matches.
2. São Paulo SP’s offensive potential at home is significantly higher than Gremio RS’s away, with an average of 2 goals scored per match compared to just 0.8 for Gremio RS.
3. Probability statistics also favor São Paulo SP with a success rate of 55.44% for a São Paulo SP victory compared to only 16.06% for a Gremio RS victory.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Sao Paulo vs Gremio match!
To not miss anything from the Sao Paulo vs Gremio match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 18/07/2024 in the Serie A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Sao Paulo vs Gremio
Lineups Sao Paulo
Lineups Gremio
Match Highlights Sao Paulo vs Gremio on 18/07/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Sao Paulo vs Gremio match on 18/07/2024 at MorumBIS stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Sao Paulo and Gremio
All statistics for the match between Sao Paulo and Gremio will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Sao Paulo against Gremio!
Form state of Sao Paulo in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Sao Paulo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Sao Paulo has a form rating of %.
Form state of Gremio in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Gremio has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Gremio has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Sao Paulo against Gremio!
Average goals scored by Sao Paulo in the current season.
Goals scored by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Gremio in the current season
Goals scored by Gremio in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Gremio
Gremio has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Gremio in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Gremio
Gremio has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Sao Paulo and Gremio, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Sao Paulo vs Gremio: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Gremio RS have a low attacking potential away from home, averaging 0.8 goals scored per match in their last 5 outings. They also have a poor away win rate, suggesting they may struggle to score against Sao Paulo SP.
2. While Sao Paulo SP have a strong home record, their average goals per match is only 2, and they have also conceded an average of 1 goal per match. This indicates they are likely to score fewer goals and concede fewer goals, leading to a total of under 2.5 goals.
3. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.75, indicating that bookmakers consider this outcome quite likely. Moreover, the success probability for under 3.5 goals in the match is 81.35%, suggesting that the chances of seeing under 2.5 goals are also quite high.
Forecast results from winflix for Sao Paulo and Gremio!
The last 5 winning predictions für Sao Paulo
The last 5 winning predictions für Gremio
How do I find the best forecast for Sao Paulo Gremio?
Finding a forecast for the Sao Paulo Gremio match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Sao Paulo Gremio on 18/07/2024 in MorumBIS are the team's past performance in the Serie A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Sao Paulo at home and Gremio away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 18/07/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Sao Paulo and Gremio on 18/07/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Serie A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at MorumBIS, Sao Paulo could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Sao Paulo and Gremio, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Sao Paulo and the away win rate of Gremio, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 18/07/2024!
The individual performances of players from Sao Paulo and Gremio can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 18/07/2024 at MorumBIS.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Sao Paulo and Gremio, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Sao Paulo or Gremio on 18/07/2024.
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