Tipps Sarmiento Junin Union Santa Fe Liga Profesional Argentina 30/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Sarmiento Junin wins the match.

1. The recent home match history of Sarmiento Junin shows a strong performance, with a win rate of 40% and no losses, suggesting a high probability of winning or at least securing a draw.

2. Union de Santa Fe has a poor performance away from home, having not won any of their last 5 matches and drawing in 60% of cases. This increases the likelihood that Sarmiento Junin will not lose the match.

3. According to statistics, the “draw or Sarmiento Junin wins” outcome has a high success probability of 68.25%, boosted by Union de Santa Fe’s low offensive potential in away matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Sarmiento Junin has a rather low home goal average of 0.4 goals per match. Furthermore, they have only scored 3 goals in 5 home matches, indicating they might struggle to score in the next match.

2. Union de Santa Fe has a slightly better average in their away matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per match. They also tend to draw games (60% of their recent away matches), suggesting their matches may lack goals.

3. Sarmiento Junin has a low offensive potential at home (14%) and also a low defensive potential (21%). On the other hand, Union de Santa Fe has an offensive potential of 57% away from home and a defensive potential of 50%, making it more likely that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Home performances of Sarmiento Junin: Sarmiento Junin has only scored 3 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging a low 0.6 goals per game. Additionally, the team has managed to keep clean sheets in multiple home games, demonstrating a strong defensive performance.
2. Away performances of Union de Santa Fe: While Union de Santa Fe has scored goals in their away matches, they have failed to win any of these games. The probability of Union de Santa Fe scoring is lower considering their recent performances.
3. Overall probabilities: The probability of both teams not scoring is 55.56%, which is higher than the probability of both teams scoring, at 44.44%. Furthermore, the bet “Under 1.5 goals in the match” has odds of 2.21, reinforcing the assumption of a low-scoring match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 1.5 goals in the match: 2.21

Bet on the exact result

Sarmiento Junin 1-1 Union de Santa Fe

1. Match history: In the last five home matches of Sarmiento Junin, they have scored at least one goal in the last two games. Similarly, Union de Santa Fe has also managed to score at least one goal in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

2. Draw statistics: Union de Santa Fe has a 60% draw rate away from home, which is significant. Moreover, the probability of a draw is the highest according to the odds, at 36.51%.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Sarmiento Junin has a 14% offensive potential and a 21% defensive potential at home, meaning they are less likely to score but also less likely to concede goals. On the other hand, Union de Santa Fe has a 57% offensive potential away from home but also concedes more goals with a 50% defensive potential.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sarmiento Junin has a mediocre home performance, with a 40% win rate and 3 goals scored in 5 matches. Union de Santa Fe has no wins away, but has drawn 60% of the time, also scoring 4 goals.

Sarmiento Junin has a weak offensive at 14%, averaging 0.4 goals per match. Their defense is also unimpressive at 21%. Union de Santa Fe has a higher offensive potential at 57% and a balanced defense at 50%.

The match could go either way with a 31.75% chance of success for each team. However, the probability of a draw is slightly higher at 36.51%.

It is likely that the match will have less than 1.5 goals with odds of 2.21. Additionally, it is more likely that both teams will not score, with a success probability of 55.56% against 44.44%.

Overall, the match seems poised to be tight, with a slight chance of a draw. Goals may be scarce.

The potential number of goals

Sarmiento Junin, at home, has had a mixed performance with a 40% win rate and no draws in the last 5 matches. Their offensive potential is at 14% and defensive at 21%, showing rather weak results. They scored 3 goals and conceded the same amount.

On the other hand, Union de Santa Fe has not won any of their last 5 away matches. Their offensive and defensive potential is at 57% and 50% respectively. They scored 4 goals and conceded the same.

The probability of Sarmiento Junin winning is 31.75% while a draw is at 36.51%. Union de Santa Fe has the same winning probability as Sarmiento Junin.

The odds indicate a probability of over 1.5 goals in the match at 61.9%, with bets going up to 4.5 goals.

Lastly, there is a 55.56% probability that both teams will not score.

These statistics suggest a potentially tight match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this prediction suggests that the match between Sarmiento Junin and Union de Santa Fe is likely to be intense, competitive, and with a limited number of goals. With Sarmiento Junin showing a satisfactory performance at home and Union de Santa Fe displaying a solid defensive performance away, a draw seems to be a probable outcome. The statistics also indicate that the number of goals will be low, with the safest bet being “under 2.5 goals”. Additionally, it is more likely that both teams will not score. This match is shaping up to be defensive, with low chances of seeing many goals.

For bettors looking for safe bets, the bet “under 1.5 goals in the match” with odds of 2.21 could be interesting.

It is important to note that despite the information and data analyzed, in the field of sports betting, there is never certainty and anything can happen in football. That is why it is advisable to bet responsibly.