Tipps SC Braga Casa Pia Primeira Liga 05/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Braga wins the match.”

1. Performance history: Over their last 5 home matches, Braga has a 80% win rate, which is higher than Casa Pia’s 40% win rate in away games. This is a strong indication of Braga’s strong home performance, giving them an edge in this match.

2. Offensive potential: Despite conceding a high number of goals, Braga has a 64% offensive potential at home, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match. This superior offensive performance could help them gain an advantage over Casa Pia.

3. Match outcome probability: Prediction statistics clearly indicate that Braga has a very high probability of winning the match with an 82.81% likelihood. This prediction is based on the analysis of various factors such as current and historical performances, home field advantage for Braga, players’ physical condition, etc. Therefore, Braga’s victory is a very likely outcome.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

1. Braga’s home match history: In the last 5 matches, Braga has scored 9 goals, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Moreover, in 4 out of the 5 recent matches, over 2.5 goals have been scored.

2. Casa Pia’s away performances: Casa Pia has scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches, averaging 2 goals per match. Additionally, 3 out of the last 5 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.

3. Statistical predictions: According to the forecasts, there is a 61.98% probability of there being over 2.5 goals in this match, which supports the prognosis.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Goal History: Both teams have a good goal-scoring history in their recent matches. At home, Braga averages 1.8 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match, while Casa Pia averages 2 goals scored and 1 goal conceded when playing away. These numbers suggest that both teams have the ability to score goals.

2. Past Performances: The latest matches played by both teams show that they have often scored in their encounters. Except for two matches, all recent meetings between Braga and Casa Pia have seen both teams score.

3. General Statistics: Statistics indicate that the probability of both teams scoring is 50%, which is a significant probability in the realm of sports betting. Furthermore, the probability of over 1.5 goals in the match is high (84.38%), further strengthening the argument that both teams are likely to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Casa Pia wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

“Braga 2-1 Casa Pia”

1. Braga’s Home Stats: The statistics show that Braga has a high probability of winning at home with an impressive 80% performance in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have scored twice in 3 of these 5 matches, supporting the prediction of a 2-goal score for Braga.

2. Casa Pia’s Away Defensive Performances: Although Casa Pia has an offensive potential of 71%, their defensive performance is below 50% away. Consequently, they tend to concede at least one goal in most of their away matches, further reinforcing the 2-1 forecast in favor of Braga.

3. Total Goals Predictions: Total goals predictions in the match are generally above 1.5 and below 4.5 with respective probabilities of 84.38% and 82.29%. The predicted score of 2-1 falls within this range, enhancing its credibility.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Braga is in good form at home with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They scored 9 goals but also conceded 10 goals.

On the other hand, Casa Pia has won 40% of their last 5 away matches. They scored 9 goals and also conceded 10 goals.

Braga has an average of 1.8 goals scored per match and concedes 2 goals on average. Their offensive potential is at 64% and defensive at 71%.

Casa Pia has an average of 2 goals scored per match. Their offensive potential is at 71% and defensive at 36%.

Statistically, Braga is much more likely to win this match with a probability of 82.81%. A draw is unlikely at 13.02%, and a Casa Pia victory is very unlikely at 4.17%.

If goals are expected in the match, over 1.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 84.38%.

In recent matches, it has been observed that Braga has often managed to score, even though their defense has sometimes faltered. As for Casa Pia, they have shown variable form with diverse performances against different teams.

Based on these data, a bet on a Braga win with over 1.5 goals in the match seems like a reasonable option.

The potential number of goals

Braga at home has a strong record. They win 80% of their matches and have never lost. They score an average of 1.8 goals per game. However, their defense is shaky, conceding 2 goals per match.
Casa Pia away wins less frequently, with only a 40% win rate. Their strength lies in their attack, scoring 2 goals per match. Their defense is fairly solid, conceding fewer goals than they score, at an average of 1 goal per game.
The odds heavily favor Braga to win the match at 82.81%. A draw is less likely at 13.02%, and a Casa Pia victory seems almost impossible at 4.17%.
Expect a high-scoring match, with an 84.38% prediction of over 1.5 goals. This is very likely given the strong offensive performances of both teams.
Based on these data, a Braga victory with over 1.5 goals in the match could be considered. However, football remains unpredictable. Remember to bet responsibly!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and previous analyses suggest a likely victory for Braga in the match against Casa Pia. Given Braga’s high home win rate and Casa Pia’s lower away win rate, a Braga win seems to be the most probable option for bettors. However, considering the high offensive potential of both teams, it is also likely that the match will see more than 1.5 goals.

It is important to note that sports betting always involves a level of uncertainty and risk. Despite high probabilities, there is no guarantee that the outcome will be as expected. Football can be unpredictable, and results can depend on many factors, including players’ performance on the day of the match, their current physical condition, as well as other unexpected factors. Therefore, it is important to bet responsibly.

Moreover, suggesting Casa Pia as an intriguing value bet is a betting strategy based on perceived chances of winning that are at odds with the offered odds. While acknowledging that Braga is the favorite to win, a bold bet on Casa Pia could prove profitable due to their offensive performances. Nevertheless, this strategy carries a high level of risk and should be approached with caution.

It should also be noted that all recommendations made in this article are based on information and statistics available at the time of writing and do not constitute guarantees. Bettors are advised to conduct their own analysis before placing a bet.