Tipps SC Paderborn 07 Karlsruher SC 2. Bundesliga 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Paderborn wins the match

1. Paderborn’s home performance is better than Karlsruhe’s away performance: Paderborn has avoided defeat in 80% of their home matches (20% wins and 60% draws), while Karlsruhe has only managed to avoid defeat in 60% of their away matches (40% wins and 20% draws).

2. Paderborn’s offensive output at home is superior to Karlsruhe’s away performance: On average, Paderborn scores 1.4 goals per home match, with an offensive potential of 50%, while Karlsruhe averages only 2 goals per away match, with a 71% offensive potential.

3. Expert predictions give a 100% probability of success for a Paderborn victory, suggesting they see key factors that could favor Paderborn in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Average goals per match: Over their respective last five matches, Paderborn has an average of 1.4 goals per match while Karlsruhe has an average of 2 goals per match. This means that based on their recent performances, we should expect to see around 3.4 goals in this match.

2. Home and away performance: Paderborn has managed to score 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Karlsruhe has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. Defensive performance: Paderborn has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 home matches. Similarly, Karlsruhe has conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. These statistics suggest that each team’s defense could be vulnerable, which would increase the potential for a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Paderborn has shown a tendency to score few goals (7 goals in total). Additionally, they have lost the majority of their matches, suggesting an apparent weakness in attack.

2. On the road, Karlsruhe has delivered a relatively modest offensive performance, scoring only 5 goals in 5 matches. They also have a tendency to keep a clean sheet, conceding few goals (7 in total).

3. The statistics indicate a 100% probability that both teams will not score, most likely due to the overall performance of each team. The low attacking outputs of both teams, combined with fairly strong defensive displays, point to a low-scoring match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Paderborn 1-2 Karlsruhe

1. Home and away performance: Paderborn’s recent home performances have been rather disappointing with only one win in their last 5 games and a total of 10 goals conceded. On the contrary, Karlsruhe has shown some efficiency away from home with two wins and a draw in their last 5 away games while conceding only 7 goals.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: According to statistics, Karlsruhe has a better offensive potential (71%) and a better defense (14%) away from home than Paderborn at home (offensive at 50% and defensive at 71%). Furthermore, Karlsruhe scores on average more goals away from home than Paderborn at home.

3. Current form: Paderborn’s recent performances against teams like FC Magdeburg, Holstein Kiel, and Fortuna Düsseldorf show some vulnerability, especially defensively. Karlsruhe, on the other hand, has managed to keep clean sheets against Schalke 04 and Heidenheim, signaling defensive solidity, while also showing offensive potential against FC Kaiserslautern.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Paderborn struggles at home, with only one victory in the last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals but conceded 10.

Karlsruhe is more effective away, with 2 wins in their last 5 away matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7.

Statistically, Paderborn scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match and concedes 2. Their offensive potential is at 50%, and defensive at 71%.

As for Karlsruhe away, they score an average of 2 goals and concede 0.4, with an offensive potential of 71% and defensive of 14%.

In terms of odds, Paderborn to win is at 2.35 with a 100% probability. The draw is at 3.75.

Betting on “Draw or Paderborn to win” offers odds of 1.47, with a 100% probability.

Regarding the number of goals, “Under 4.5 goals in the match” is priced at 1.25, with a 100% probability.

Lastly, if you bet on “Both teams to not score”, the odds are 2.75, with a 100% probability.

Prediction: Based on these numbers, we can expect a match with fewer than 4.5 goals, Paderborn could win or draw, and both teams might not score.

The potential number of goals

Paderborn has a 20% home win rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 10. Their attack seems weak but their defense shows signs of weakness.

Karlsruhe has a 40% away win rate. The 5 goals they have scored and 7 goals conceded suggest a team that relies on its defensive game.

On average, Paderborn scores 1.4 goals and concedes 2 per home match. Their offensive potential is at 50%, and their defensive strength at 71%.

Karlsruhe, when playing away, scores 2 goals and concedes only 0.4 per match. Their attacking strength is at 71%: they seem more threatening offensively. Their defense is at 14%: concerns on that side.

The probability of Paderborn winning is noted at 100% by the odds, set at 2.35. The draw is excluded by the odds. Karlsruhe does not seem favored for victory with a 0% probability and odds of 2.65.

The option of under 2.5 goals in the match seems reasonable, with odds of 2.55. Moreover, the probability of under 3.5 goals is at 100% with odds of 1.62. Defenses could prevail.

Based on the numbers, a Paderborn win with under 3.5 total goals is a plausible scenario.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, several factors need to be taken into account in this Paderborn vs Karlsruhe prediction. Paderborn has a strong home record, while Karlsruhe’s away performances are mainly defensive. It will be crucial to keep an eye on the total number of goals, which may not exceed 3.5 in this match. The defensive performance of both teams also suggests that neither team may score. However, despite Paderborn’s unconvincing home form, experts predict a win for this team.

Finally, the exact score predicted by experts is 1-2 in favor of Karlsruhe, creating a contradiction between the various analyses. Therefore, it will be important to consider all these factors and conduct an overall assessment before placing a bet on this match.