Tipps Scotland Finland Matchs amicaux 07/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Scotland wins the match.

1. Scotland’s home performance is relatively good, winning and drawing in 80% of their last 5 matches. This trend could indicate an advantage for Scotland playing on their own turf.
2. Statistics show that Scotland scores on average more goals at home than Finland does away. Despite a slightly weak defense, Scotland has managed to score 8 goals compared to Finland’s 5 goals.
3. When comparing the success probabilities, Scotland has a 56.61% chance of winning the match compared to only 15.87% for Finland. This indicates a prediction in favor of Scotland’s result.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams are not highly prolific: Scotland scores an average of 1.4 goals per match while Finland scores an average of 2. Additionally, Scotland has a solid defense, conceding an average of 2 goals per match compared to Finland’s 1.6.

2. The match history also suggests a low score: Scotland’s recent home matches have generally had low scores, as have Finland’s away matches.

3. Market probabilities also support this prediction: Under 2.5 goals in the match has odds of 1.72, which are relatively low, suggesting that the market also expects a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Scotland has shown an ability to score, averaging 1.4 goals per game at home, but also a vulnerability in defense conceding 2 goals per game on average. This suggests that Finland is likely to score at least one goal.
2. Similarly, Finland has a strong offensive performance away from home, averaging 2 goals per game. However, they concede an average of 1.6 goals per game, indicating that Scotland should be able to score at least one goal.
3. When analyzing previous matches, it can be seen that Scotland has managed to score in 4 of its last 5 home matches, regardless of the outcome. Similarly, Finland has scored in 3 of its last 5 away matches, demonstrating some consistency in their offensive performance.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Finland wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Scotland 1-1 Finland

1. The statistics from the previous matches of both teams show a tendency towards close scores. For example, Scotland has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per game, while Finland has averaged 2 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded. These numbers suggest potential for a balanced score.

2. The recent home and away match scores for Scotland and Finland indicate that these teams have similar success rates. In fact, Scotland has lost only one of its last five home matches, while Finland has won the majority of its last five away matches. This suggests both teams have competitive performances, which could result in a draw.

3. The success probabilities also point towards a credible scenario for a draw. According to the match result probabilities, Scotland has a higher chance of winning the match (56.61%), but a draw is not far behind with a probability of 27.51%. Furthermore, the most common scoreline for Scotland at home has been either a 2-0 win or a 3-3 draw, indicating that the outcome is often undecided.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Scotland, playing at home, show stable form with 40% of victories and as many draws. They have scored and conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. Their offensive potential is assessed at 50%, their defensive potential at 71%. Strong finish against England, followed by clear victories over Gibraltar and Georgia.

Finland is performing well away from home with a 60% win rate. They have scored 5 goals while conceding the same, averaging 2 goals per game. Their offensive potential is higher at 71%, but their defensive potential remains lower at 57%. Good wins against San Marino and Northern Ireland, but crushed in Slovenia and Wales.

The probability suggests a 56.61% chance for Scotland to win, only 15.87% for Finland to emerge victorious. A draw is also a possibility with a 27.51% chance.

Regarding goals, it’s likely that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match (70.37%), but less than 3.5 goals (77.25%). In terms of both teams scoring, it’s almost 50-50: 47.62% for both teams to score, 52.38% for at least one of the two not to.

Scotland seems to be favored, but caution is advised as Finland could spring a surprise.

The potential number of goals

Scotland and Finland are two teams with similar performances. Scotland at home has had a 40% win and draw rate in their last 5 matches, with 8 goals scored and 8 goals conceded. Their offensive potential is 50% and defensive is 71%. Finland away has claimed a 60% win rate with the same number of goals scored and conceded as Scotland, totaling 5.

Scotland has a 56.61% probability of winning the match with odds of 1.70, while Finland has a 15.87% probability of winning with odds of 4.75. A draw has a probability of 27.51% with odds of 3.75. Betting suggests a probability of over 70% for over 1.5 goals in the match.

Regarding the exact score, recent home matches for Scotland have varied with wins, draws, and losses. The pattern is similar for Finland away. An important note is that none of these matches have had over 4.5 goals.

Lastly, the chances are nearly equal for both teams scoring or not, 47.62% and 52.38% respectively. So, a bet on over 1.5 goals and both teams scoring could be an interesting but risky choice.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this analysis of the forecast for the Scotland-Finland match allows us to deduce some interesting elements for the choice of bets to place. Overall, Scotland, playing at home, is slightly favored due to its strong performances. However, Finland, despite some defensive weaknesses, has a real offensive potential that could lead to a surprise. A bet for under 2.5 goals seems quite safe given the profile of both teams, and there is a good chance that both teams will score.

However, the interesting value could lie in the outsider, Finland, whose victory offers high odds and therefore a higher return in case of success. Predicting an exact score is always tricky, but a 1-1 draw seems plausible given the statistics and success rates of both teams.

Finally, the key factor in this match is the form of both teams: with Scotland finishing strong and Finland shining away, the match promises to be tight and undecided. It requires a particular analysis and a thoughtful bet. It will be important to consider these elements before betting.