Tipps Scotland Portugal UEFA Nations League 15/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Portugal wins the match

1. Portugal has a better recent performance record compared to Scotland, winning 60% of their last away matches compared to no home wins for Scotland in the last 5 matches.

2. In terms of offensive and defensive performances, Portugal has a balance (29% offensive and 29% defensive) compared to an imbalance for Scotland (36% offensive and 86% defensive) suggesting greater stability for Portugal.

3. The statistical probability favors Portugal, with a success probability of 53.66% compared to only 20.12% for Scotland.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Scotland has scored at least one goal in 4 of those matches and conceded at least … goals in each match, averaging 2.4 goals per match. This trend suggests a potentially high-scoring match in this context.

2. Portugal, despite having a lower offensive and defensive potential with an average of 0.8 goals per match, has still scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches with a total of 10 goals. This implies a certain potential to score goals in this match against Scotland as well.

3. Finally, the predicted probability for the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” bet is significantly high at 55.49%. This important statistical indicator suggests that the chances of seeing a match with over 2.5 goals are higher than the other proposed outcomes.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams: Scotland at home has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 86%. Portugal away has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 29%. These statistics suggest that both teams are likely to score.

2. Recent performances of both teams: In their respective last five matches, Scotland has scored 5 goals and Portugal 10 goals. Conversely, Scotland has conceded 6 goals and Portugal 10 goals. There is a trend for both teams to score and concede goals.

3. Results of previous matches: In the last 5 home matches of Scotland, both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches. Furthermore, in the last 5 away matches of Portugal, both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches. These precedents support the prediction that “both teams to score: Yes”.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Scotland wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Scotland 1-2 Portugal

1. Portugal has good away form with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, higher than Scotland’s home record. This suggests an advantage for Portugal in the upcoming match.

2. Scotland’s defensive statistics at home are weak. They have conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match with an 86% vulnerability, indicating a vulnerable defense against Portugal’s offense, which scores an average of 0.8 goals per away match.

3. The predicted score of Scotland 1-2 Portugal aligns with the previous match statistics of both teams. Based on calculations of offensive and defensive potential, Scotland averages 1 goal per home match, while Portugal averages 2 goals away (0.8 goals scored and on average 1.2 goals conceded by Scotland). Therefore, a 1-2 scoreline is realistic.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Scotland struggles to win at home, with no victories in the last 5 outings, 3 draws and 2 losses. They have a weak offensive record with only 5 goals scored. The defense has leaked goals, conceding 6.

Portugal has been efficient on the road. In 5 matches, they have secured 3 wins, no draws but suffered 2 losses. They have scored 10 goals but also conceded 10 goals.

Scotland shows signs of offensive weakness with an average of 1 goal per match, and a shaky defense conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match, too much to hope for better.

Portugal scores fewer goals, 0.8 per match, but also concedes fewer, 0.8 per match, a result of a more solid defense.

According to the odds, Portugal seems favored with a 53.66% chance of winning at odds of 1.72. The probability of a draw is estimated at 26.22% and that of a Scotland victory is the lowest at 20.12%.

There is a 79.88% chance that the match will end with at least 1.5 goals, but the option of under 3.5 goals remains the most likely at 71.34%.

Both teams have a 53.66% chance of scoring, an element to consider for your prediction.

Looking at previous matches, Scotland struggles to assert themselves at home, with no success in the last 5 matches. Portugal, on the other hand, has won 3 of their last 5 away matches.

Based on this data, the prediction would lean towards a Portugal win with under 3.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Scotland, despite playing at home, are struggling to secure victories. In their last 5 matches, none have been won, with 60% resulting in a draw. Portugal, on the other hand, wins 60% of their away matches.

Scotland’s defense concedes an average of 2.4 goals per match, while their attack only scores 1 goal per match. Portugal has a balanced performance, averaging 0.8 goals scored and conceded per match away.

In terms of probabilities, Portugal has a 53.66% chance of winning the match, while Scotland only has a 20.12% chance of victory. The chances of a draw stand at 26.22%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 79.88% chance that the match will see more than 1.5 goals, and a 55.49% chance for more than 2.5 goals.

Scotland’s recent home matches have shown a weak defense, with a 2-3 loss to Poland and a 0-1 loss to Hungary. On the Portugal side, there have been impressive away victories, notably a 0-5 win against Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Based on these stats, it appears that Portugal could prevail with probably more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the detailed analysis of recent performances and key statistics, it can be predicted that Portugal is the favorite in this match against Scotland in the UEFA Nations League. Their strong away performances, combined with their balanced offensive and defensive play, give them a significant advantage. However, Scotland’s defensive potential at home and their history of draws suggest that despite Portugal’s favoritism, the match could be more closely contested than expected.

In terms of betting, the bet for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” and “Both teams to score” seem to be safe choices given the history of both teams. Additionally, despite Portugal’s clear advantage, the bet for “Draw or Scotland to win the match” could offer an interesting value bet.

As for the exact score, the prediction of Scotland 1-2 Portugal seems the most likely. But as always, sports betting involves a level of risk and it is essential to bet responsibly.