Tipps Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe FC Botosani Liga I 13/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe wins the match.

1. According to the data, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe has a winning probability of 53.97%. This makes it the most likely option in this match based on calculations.

2. Home performance: While Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe may not have been very strong at home recently, FC Botosani has only won 40% of their away matches, making Sepsi’s home victory potential relatively favorable.

3. Defensive potential: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe has shown a defensive potential of 71% at home, significantly higher than FC Botosani’s offensive potential (21%) away. This means that Sepsi has a high chance of repelling FC Botosani’s attacks.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performance of each team: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and FC Botosani have each scored an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 home and away matches respectively. This indicates a low offensive potential, supporting the hypothesis of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The defensive records of the teams: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe concedes an average of 2 goals per match at home, and FC Botosani concedes 1.4 goals per match away. Although Sepsi has a poor defensive record, the combined average score generally stays below 2.5 goals.

3. Recent historical data: The scores of previous matches for both teams, at home for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and away for FC Botosani, typically do not exceed 2 goals, suggesting a strong likelihood of fewer than 2.5 goals for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown they are capable of scoring goals, with Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe having scored in 80% of their last 5 home matches and FC Botosani having scored in 60% of their last 5 away matches.
2. Both teams have also shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe conceding goals in 80% of their last 5 home matches and FC Botosani conceding goals in 80% of their last 5 away matches.
3. Finally, the “Both teams to score” bet has a success probability of 51.85%, which is relatively high, suggesting that the likelihood of both teams scoring at least once is more probable than the opposite.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-1 FC Botosani

1. The home performance of Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is typically moderate with one win in 5 matches and 2 draws. This indicates some inconsistency but also an ability to get results, leading to a likelihood of a draw.

2. FC Botosani, on the other hand, has not had any draws in their last 5 away matches, but they have lost 3 times and won 2 times. This could also suggest potential inconsistency, increasing the chances of a draw.

3. Both teams have a fairly similar average of goals scored, at 0.6 goals per match, and the probabilities of different predictions suggest a high chance of a low-scoring match. This reinforces the possibility of a tight scoreline like a 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sepsi OSK has won only once in 5 home matches. Their attack is weak, scoring only 4 goals in total. Their defense is not solid either, having conceded 5 goals.

FC Botosani, playing away, has managed 2 wins in 5 matches. Their attack is also limited, with only 3 goals scored. Their defense has conceded 4 goals in total.

The probability of Sepsi OSK winning is 53.97%, the draw is at 28.04%, and FC Botosani’s chances of winning are 17.99%.

There is a 71.96% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match and a 46.03% chance of there being more than 2.5 goals.

There is a 51.85% probability that both teams will score.

Based on these numbers, a match with less than 2.5 goals seems possible. Also, it is likely that Sepsi OSK will not lose this home match.

The potential number of goals

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe has a 20% average home win rate and FC Botosani has a 40% average away win rate. Both teams have a low offensive efficiency rate, with each team averaging 0.6 goals per match.

However, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe provides a strong home defensive record with a 71% success rate compared to FC Botosani’s 50% defensive record. The number of goals conceded by both teams is relatively close, with Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe conceding 5 goals and FC Botosani conceding 4 goals in their last 5 matches.

Regarding predictions, the probabilities suggest that the most likely outcome would be a Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win at 53.97% or a draw at 82.01%. It is also likely to see fewer than 3.5 goals in the match (82.01%), indicating a potentially defensive game.

There is an almost equal probability (51.85%) of both teams scoring. Therefore, for those looking to place a bet, a narrow Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win or a draw with fewer than 3.5 goals could be a safe bet to consider.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this prediction and analysis strongly suggest that the match between Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and FC Botosani will likely be tight and defensive. With a slightly higher probability of victory for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, a safe bet would be to wager on their win or a draw. Additionally, it is probable that we will see fewer than 2.5 goals in this match based on the offensive and defensive performances of both teams. Interestingly, these calculations also indicate an almost equal probability of both teams scoring.

However, sports betting always involves a level of uncertainty, and while these statistics and analyses provide useful insights, they do not guarantee a specific outcome. It is always important to bet responsibly and have a thorough understanding of the teams, players, and playing conditions.