Tipps Shakhtar Donetsk Atalanta UEFA Champions League 02/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atalanta Bergamo wins the match.

1. The probability of Atalanta Bergamo winning is significantly higher: According to the data provided, the probability of Atalanta Bergamo winning the match is 57.43%, the highest among the three possible outcomes.

2. Recent away performance history of Atalanta Bergamo: Although success has been less consistent in the last 5 away matches with only one win, their outstanding performance against Lecce (4-0 victory) shows that they have the ability to score many goals away from home.

3. Defensive weaknesses on the part of Shakhtar Donetsk: Shakhtar Donetsk has a weak defensive performance, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per home match, indicating that there is a possibility for Atalanta Bergamo to score. Shakhtar Donetsk has also been defeated twice in their last 5 home matches, revealing vulnerabilities in their ability to withstand opposing attacks.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The high average number of goals: the sum of the goals scored on average by Shakhtar Donetsk at home and Atalanta Bergamo away is 3.8 goals per match, well above the 2.5 goals threshold set for this bet.

2. Defensive statistics: the defensive performances of both teams are not optimal, with a defensive potential of 50% for Donetsk and 71% for Bergamo, which increases the likelihood of seeing many goals in this match.

3. The trend of the last 5 matches: the home matches of Shakhtar Donetsk and the away matches of Atalanta Bergamo have shown a tendency towards high-scoring games. In particular, Shakhtar Donetsk has scored 4 goals or more in 3 of its last 5 home matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last 5 matches show a significant offensive capability for both teams. Shakhtar Donetsk has an average of 2.6 goals per home match, while Atalanta Bergamo has an average of 1.2 goals per away match. These figures strongly suggest that at least one goal could be scored by each team.

2. The probability of both teams scoring is quite high at 55.41% according to the odds, indicating that bettors and bookmakers expect a match where both teams will be able to score.

3. Defensive data also suggests the opportunity for each team to score. Shakhtar Donetsk has conceded 15 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 3 per game. Similarly, Atalanta Bergamo has conceded 8 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 1.6 per game. These numbers suggest the possibility of scoring for each team.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Pronostic : Under 3.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Atalanta Bergamo

1. Shakhtar Donetsk has shown a strong offensive performance at home, averaging 2.6 goals per game with an offensive potential of 93%. The team has scored a high number of goals in their previous matches, with scorelines such as 4-0 and 5-2. This suggests a high likelihood of Donetsk scoring at least two goals.

2. Atalanta Bergamo has a relatively weak defensive performance in their away matches, conceding an average of 2 goals per game with a defense rate of only 71%. This further adds to the likelihood of Shakhtar Donetsk scoring two goals.

3. Even though the overall probability of Atalanta Bergamo winning may be higher, the team has not been in great form in their recent away matches, winning only one out of their last five games. Considering Shakhtar Donetsk’s strong defensive potential at home, it is reasonable to believe that Atalanta Bergamo will score at least one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shakhtar Donetsk is in good form at home. In their last 5 matches, they won 3 times, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding 1.4 goals per match. Their offensive potential is high at 93%, but their defense is average at 50%.

Atalanta Bergamo struggles away from home, having won only once in their last 5 away games. They score an average of 1.2 goals on the road and concede 2. Their offensive potential is low at 43%, and their defensive potential is not great at 71%.

Both teams have a 55.41% chance of scoring in the match, and there is a good probability of over 2.5 goals at 54.73%.

The odds suggest an advantage for Atalanta Bergamo with a 57.43% chance of winning. However, Shakhtar Donetsk cannot be ruled out with odds of 4.90.

Looking at their recent meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk has won 3 of their last 5 home matches, including an impressive 5-0 victory against Rizespor. Atalanta Bergamo has been less convincing away, suffering a heavy 4-0 defeat against Inter Milan.

Overall, Atalanta Bergamo has a slight advantage, but Shakhtar Donetsk could surprise at home. An open and competitive match seems to be on the horizon.

The potential number of goals

Shakhtar Donetsk has a decent home performance, with a 60% win rate, 40% draw rate, and an overall score of 14-15. Atalanta Bergamo, on the other hand, has a 20% win rate and draw rate when playing away, with a total score of 6-8.

In terms of goals, Shakhtar Donetsk excels at home, averaging 2.6 goals per match with an offensive potential of 93%. However, their defense is a bit weaker, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, resulting in a relatively low defensive potential of 50%.

For Atalanta Bergamo, the picture is less impressive. They average only 1.2 goals per match with an offensive potential of 43%. Their defense also struggles, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, with a defensive potential of 71%.

The odds are quite tight, with Shakhtar Donetsk at 4.90 for a win, Atalanta Bergamo at 1.68, and a draw at 4.25.

Anticipating a win for Shakhtar Donetsk or a draw increases the probability to 42.57% with odds of 2.30. Conversely, Atalanta Bergamo winning or drawing has a more promising 84.46% chance with odds of 1.19.

The forecast points towards a high-scoring match, with over 1.5 goals having an 81.76% probability at odds of 1.22. Even more optimistically, over 2.5 goals have a 54.73% chance at odds of 1.69.

There is a slightly better than even chance, precisely 55.41%, of both teams scoring during the match, with odds of 1.69. Betting against both teams scoring lowers the probability to 44.59% at odds of 2.18.

Based on these stats, Atalanta Bergamo seems to have the edge. However, in football, anything is possible, and surprises are always a part of the game.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the performance history of both teams, as well as their current form, it seems that Atalanta Bergamo has a significant advantage over Shakhtar Donetsk. However, despite the favorable statistics for Atalanta Bergamo, football is unpredictable and the ability of Shakhtar Donetsk to produce surprises, especially at home, should not be ignored. For bettors, it is recommended to take into account all the analyzed criteria, such as home and away performance statistics, the current form of the teams, and their offensive and defensive potential. These factors, combined with the odds offered by bookmakers, can help make an informed decision. Finally, it is crucial never to bet more than what one can afford to lose, to keep sports betting fun and avoid future problems.