Tipps Shamrock Rovers Apoel Nicosia UEFA Europa Conference League 03/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Apoel Nicosia wins the match”

1. The calculated probability for an APOEL win is 46.6%, which is significantly higher than for a Shamrock Rovers win (24.08%) or even a draw (29.32%). This indicates that, based on the prediction formulas used, Apoel Nicosia is the most likely winning team.

2. Despite APOEL Nicosia not having won away in their last 5 matches, they have managed to draw in 60% of cases. This demonstrates some resilience and an ability to avoid defeat even when playing away.

3. The recent performances of both teams seem to indicate that APOEL has a better defensive capability than Shamrock Rovers. On average, APOEL has conceded fewer goals per match (1.2 versus 1) compared to Shamrock and has a defensive potential of 43% versus 36% for Shamrock Rovers. This defensive solidity could prove crucial in a tight match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The marking performances of both teams in their recent matches indicate a tendency towards lower scores. Shamrock Rovers have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match, while Apoel Nicosia has only scored 0.8 goals per match. These numbers suggest that it is unlikely for them to reach a combined total of over 2.5 goals.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams also indicate the possibility of a low-scoring match. Shamrock Rovers only concede an average of one goal per match, whereas Apoel Nicosia concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match.

3. Observing recent matches shows a trend towards results of fewer than 2.5 goals for both teams. The previous match of Shamrock Rovers had a total of 3 goals, but the next one had only 1. Similarly, the previous matches of Apoel Nicosia had goal totals of 3, 2, 2, and 0 respectively. This strengthens the argument for a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Offensive and Defensive Potential: In their last 5 home matches, Shamrock Rovers have an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 36%, while Apoel Nicosia has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 43% in their last 5 away matches. This suggests that both teams may struggle to score, increasing the likelihood that one of them may fail to score.

2. Goals Scored and Conceded: In their last 5 home matches, Shamrock Rovers scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals. On the other hand, Apoel Nicosia only scored 3 goals and conceded 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. The poor offensive performance of both teams suggests that it is possible for one of them not to score in this match.

3. Recent Results: Looking at the recent matches, it can be observed that in two of Shamrock Rovers’ last five home matches, the opposing team failed to score. At the same time, in three of Apoel Nicosia’s last five away matches, they failed to score. This trend suggests that the bet “Both teams to score: No” could be a viable option.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Shamrock Rovers win the match – 1.87

Bet on the exact result

Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Apoel Nicosia.

1. Match history: In their last 5 home matches, Shamrock Rovers have had 2 draws, and in their last 5 away matches, Apoel Nicosia has had 3 draws. This trend suggests a potential draw in their upcoming encounter.

2. Defensive and offensive performance: On average, Shamrock Rovers score 1.6 goals per home match and concede 1 goal per match. On the other hand, Apoel Nicosia scores 0.8 goals and concedes 1.2 goals per away match. These statistics indicate a low-scoring game for both teams, which aligns with the predicted score of 1-1.

3. Calculated probabilities: The prediction of a draw has a success probability of 29.32%, which is higher than the probability of Shamrock Rovers winning the match (24.08%). Furthermore, the probability of less than 2.5 goals being scored in the match is significantly high, supporting a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shamrock Rovers is strong at home with a recent record of 40% wins and 40% draws. The team averages 1.6 goals scored per match but has a defensive deficit, conceding 7 goals in 5 matches.

Apoel Nicosia, the away team, has not won any recent matches. Despite 60% draws, they have only scored 3 goals and conceded 4 goals in 5 matches.

In terms of odds, Shamrock Rovers have a 24.08% chance of winning (odds of 4.00). A draw is more likely at 29.32% (odds of 3.30). Apoel Nicosia has a higher chance of winning the match with a 46.6% potential success rate (odds of 1.95).

However, a low score is predicted. There is an 80.1% probability that the match will have less than 3.5 goals (odds of 1.22), indicating a modest attack from both sides.

Prediction: Draw or Apoel Nicosia win with a success probability of 75.92% (odds of 1.22). For risk-takers, betting on over 1.5 goals in the match offers a success rate of 69.63% (odds of 1.42).

The potential number of goals

Shamrock Rovers has won 40% of their home matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. This shows a somewhat fragile defense.

Apoel Nicosia struggles away from home with a 0% win rate and 60% draws. They have scored only 3 goals and conceded 4. This indicates a solid defense but a struggling attack.

Shamrock Rovers demonstrate an offensive potential of 57% at home and a defensive potential of 36%. They often both score and concede.

Apoel Nicosia has an offensive potential of 29% away from home and a defensive potential of 43%. They score sparingly but also concede rarely.

The probability of Shamrock winning is 24.08%. A draw at 29.32%. Apoel has a chance of winning at 46.6%. There is a 53.4% chance of either Shamrock winning or the match ending in a draw.

The probability of a match with more than 1.5 goals is 69.63%. This is highly likely considering the offensive capabilities of Shamrock and the average defense of Apoel.

Both teams score in 49.21% of cases. This should be monitored, as both teams have average attacks and weak defenses.

In summary, the match looks evenly poised with a slight advantage to Apoel. Less than 2.5 goals is highly probable. The possibility of a draw or a Shamrock win should not be underestimated.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, this UEFA Europa Conference League match between Shamrock Rovers and Apoel Nicosia seems to promise a balanced encounter, albeit with a slight advantage in favor of Apoel Nicosia. Their respective performances indicate that the match could end with a low score, with a high probability of less than 2.5 goals. Furthermore, the fact that both teams have strong defenses but modest attacks reinforces the idea of a low-scoring match.

Despite these forecasts, the bet “Draw or Shamrock Rovers win” offers an interesting return on investment with odds of 1.87 and a success probability of 53.4%. Predictions also suggest that the exact score could be 1-1, considering the offensive and defensive performances of both teams.

However, as always in sports betting, there is risk involved and each bettor must analyze this information in light of their own judgment and risk tolerance. Nevertheless, this match should be interesting to follow!