Tipps Shamrock Rovers Dundalk Premier Division 04/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Shamrock Rovers win the match

1. The recent past favours Shamrock Rovers – Taking into account recent performances, Shamrock Rovers has a better home record compared to Dundalk away, with a win rate of 40% against only 20% for Dundalk.

2. Defensive statistics – Shamrock Rovers has been proportionally stronger defensively in their home matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, compared to Dundalk who concedes an average of 1 goal per game away.

3. Betting probabilities – The odds indicate a high likelihood of victory for Shamrock Rovers with a success probability of 67.36%, compared to only 13.47% for Dundalk.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The goal statistics of both teams in their last five matches show a low offensive potential. Shamrock Rovers averaging 0.8 goals per match and Dundalk also averaging 0.8 goals per match. This suggests that the total number of goals could be less than 2.5.

2. The previous matches of both teams also show a tendency to have fewer than 2.5 goals. For example, considering the last five home matches of Shamrock Rovers, in three out of five games, there were less than 2.5 goals scored. For Dundalk, in four out of the last five away matches, there were less than 2.5 goals.

3. Looking at the odds offered for the different outcomes, “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has odds of 2.15, indicating that bookmakers consider this scenario quite likely. This odds are lower than those for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” which has odds of 1.66, reflecting the fact that bookmakers project a lower probability of the match surpassing 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The recent performances of both teams show a trend of scoring and conceding goals. Shamrock Rovers have scored 8 goals and conceded 8 in their last 5 home matches, while Dundalk have scored 5 goals and conceded 7 in their last 5 away matches.

2. The percentages of offensive and defensive potential for both teams confirm this trend. Shamrock Rovers have a 29% offensive potential and a 43% defensive potential at home, while Dundalk have a 29% offensive potential and a 36% defensive potential away.

3. Analyzing statistics in terms of probabilities strengthens the hypothesis that both teams will score, with a 51.81% success rate for this betting option. This is a higher rate than many other possible bets, suggesting it could be a likely outcome.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 19.17% chance of success: 4.75

Bet on the exact result

Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Dundalk

1. Shamrock Rovers’ past home performances show a trend towards low scores, with an average of 0.8 goals per match, further highlighted by the last 3 games where the team scored one goal or less.
2. Dundalk struggles away from home, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches and scoring just 0.8 goals per game, indicating a low likelihood of them scoring a goal.
3. The bookmaker’s odds support this prediction as Shamrock Rovers have a 67.36% chance of winning and a high probability of under 1.5 goals in the match at 4.20. At the same time, there is a low probability of both teams scoring, reinforcing the hypothesis of a 1-0 scoreline for Shamrock Rovers.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

For the match between Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk, the analysis shows that Shamrock Rovers have a strong home performance, with 40% of wins and draws combined, scoring 8 goals. However, they have also conceded 8 goals, indicating a possible room for improvement in defense.

On the other hand, Dundalk is not as strong away from home, with only 20% of wins and no draws. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 7.

In terms of average goals, both teams are equal, with an average of 0.8 per match, but Dundalk concedes slightly fewer goals.

In probabilities, the match favors Shamrock, with a 67.36% chance of winning, against 13.47% for Dundalk. A draw is also a possibility at 19.17%, as well as more than 1.5 goals scored with a probability of 78.24%.

Looking at the recent matches, Shamrock has had mixed performances at home, while Dundalk has struggled away.

Overall, Shamrock seems to be the favorite for this match, but the similar offensive potential of both teams could swing the match either way. Recommended bet: Shamrock Rovers to win or draw (86.53% probability).

The potential number of goals

Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk are facing each other again. The stats are interesting. Recently, Shamrock Rovers have shown a balanced game at home with 40% of wins and draws. They have scored 8 times and conceded the same. For Dundalk, it’s tougher away. Only 20% of wins and 5 goals scored against 7 goals conceded.

Shamrock Rovers can aim higher. Their offensive potential is modest at 29%. Their defense is more solid at 43%. As for Dundalk, the offensive potential is the same, but their defense remains weak (36%).

According to the probabilities, Shamrock is the favorite at 67.36%, while Dundalk is at 13.47%. A draw is less likely at 19.17%. It’s clear, Shamrock’s victory seems likely.

The match could be lively. Over 1.5 goals have a 78.24% chance. Even more intense, over 2.5 goals are at 59.07%! However, under 3.5 goals remain the most likely at 68.91%.

As for the goal scorers, both teams could score (51.81%). However, there is almost an equal chance that they won’t (48.19%).

Stay attentive. The stats favor Shamrock, but it’s always the players who decide. Good luck with your bets!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the statistics and recent performances, it is strongly suggested that Shamrock Rovers be the favorite to win this match against Dundalk. Rovers’ defensive performances and home win percentage make this bet interesting. Additionally, the average number of goals indicates that a bet on under 2.5 goals could be wise.

There is also a possibility that both teams will score during the match, as evidenced by their recent goal-scoring and conceding records. That being said, even though the statistics give an advantage to Shamrock Rovers, football matches are unpredictable and anything can happen. Therefore, even though the trend favors Shamrock, Dundalk could still surprise on the field.

Finally, the value of a draw bet seems appealing given the current home and away performances of both teams. This provides an opportunity for those looking to make a bet with higher profit potential. It is advisable for bettors to consider all these factors before placing their bet.