Tipps Shamrock Rovers Shelbourne Premier Division 06/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Shamrock Rovers win the match.

1. Shamrock Rovers has a higher home win rate (40%) compared to Shelbourne’s away win rate (20%).
2. Shamrock Rovers has a higher offensive potential (57%) with an average of 1.6 goals per home game, compared to Shelbourne’s lower offensive potential (21%) with an average of 0.6 goals per away game.
3. The success probability for the bet “Shamrock Rovers wins the match” is 60.32%, which is significantly higher than the “Shelbourne wins the match” option which is only 16.93%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Offensive statistics: With only 6 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 3 goals for Shelbourne in their respective last 5 matches, a strong trend towards low goal production is noticeable. On average, Shamrock Rovers score 1.2 goals per home match compared to 0.6 goals for Shelbourne away, resulting in a combined average of less than 2 goals per match.

2. Defensive statistics: Both teams have also shown defensive solidity, with Shamrock Rovers conceding 7 goals and Shelbourne conceding 5 in their last 5 respective matches. This indicates that both teams are capable of limiting goal-scoring opportunities for the opposing team.

3. Recent results history: By examining Shamrock Rovers’ recent home matches and Shelbourne’s away matches, it is evident that they tend to have low-scoring games. For instance, 4 out of Shamrock Rovers’ last 5 home matches have seen fewer than 3 goals, as have 4 out of Shelbourne’s last 5 away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No.

1. The lack of offensive potential of Shelbourne: In their last 5 away matches, Shelbourne scored an average of only 0.6 goals per game, indicating a lack of attacking strength when playing away from home.
2. Shamrock Rovers’ defensive efficiency at home: In their last 5 home matches, Shamrock Rovers conceded an average of 1 goal per game, suggesting they are capable of repelling opposing attacks with a solid defense.
3. Shelbourne’s recent history of failing to score: In the most recent 5 away matches, Shelbourne failed to score in 60% of the matches, which is a major indicator of Shelbourne’s weak scoring potential in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Shelbourne

1. Shamrock Rovers’ home performance: In their last 5 home matches, they have won 2 times and drawn 2 times. Additionally, they have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match, higher than Shelbourne’s average goals scored away, indicating they have a strong ability to score at home.
2. Shelbourne’s away performance: Shelbourne’s away performances are relatively weak, having only won once in their last 5 away matches. Furthermore, their low average goals scored (0.6 goals per match) shows their difficulty in scoring during their travels.
3. Defined probabilities: According to the provided probabilities, Shamrock Rovers have a significantly higher chance of winning the match (60.32%). The bet for under 3.5 goals also has a high probability of success (78.84%), indicating a low-scoring match. These probabilities support the prediction of a 1-0 score in favor of Shamrock Rovers.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shamrock Rovers has shown a steady performance at home with a 40% win and draw rate. They have scored a total of 6 goals, averaging 1.6 goals per match. Defensively, they have conceded 7 goals in 5 matches, indicating a solid defense.

In contrast, Shelbourne has weaker performances away from home with only a 20% win and draw rate. Their scoring ability is limited to 0.6 goals per match, and they have conceded 5 goals in the same period.

Furthermore, the probabilities favor Shamrock Rovers more with a 60.32% chance of winning the match. The option of a draw or a victory for Shamrock Rovers has a high success rate at 83.07%.

The probabilities suggest a tendency towards fewer goals during the match, with 78.84% for less than 3.5 goals in the match. Additionally, there is a 52.38% chance that both teams will not score.

Analyzing the recent matches, Shamrock Rovers has had a variable performance while Shelbourne has struggled to secure victories away from home.

From my perspective, Shamrock Rovers have a better chance of winning the match with their solid home record and stronger offensive performance compared to Shelbourne.

The potential number of goals

Shamrock Rovers is strong at home with a 40% win rate and an equal number of draws. They have scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Their defense has conceded fewer goals, with a total of 7. Therefore, their offensive potential is 57%, while their defensive potential is 36%.

Shelbourne struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate and an equal number of draws. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away matches. Their offensive and defensive credit stands at 21% and 50%, respectively.

According to the odds, Shamrock Rovers have a 60.32% chance of winning. Opting for a draw or a Shamrock Rovers victory is also feasible with a probability of 83.07%.

As for the number of goals, the most likely scenario is less than 3.5 goals in the match with a probability of 78.84%.

In summary, Shamrock Rovers seems to be the favorite in this matchup, with a low-scoring encounter expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistics and probabilities indicate a clear advantage for Shamrock Rovers in this match. Not only do they have a better home performance than Shelbourne away, but their offensive and defensive rates are also superior. According to the probabilities, the most plausible scenario for this match would be a Shamrock Rovers victory with a score of 1-0. However, it should be noted that despite these predictions, the actual result could be influenced by many incalculable factors, such as the current form of the players, injuries, or weather conditions. Therefore, it is always advisable to bet with caution and never bet more than you are willing to lose.