Tipps Shanghai Shenhua Shandong Luneng Super League 06/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Shanghai Greenland wins the match.

1. Shanghai Greenland’s home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Shanghai Greenland has won 4 games, accounting for 80% of their home games. This shows a strong performance and a high likelihood of winning the match.

2. Shandong Luneng’s away performance: Shandong Luneng has a rather poor performance on the road, having only won 20% of their last 5 away matches. Additionally, they score on average fewer goals away (2.2) compared to Shanghai Greenland at home (1.4).

3. Match success probabilities: The odds indicate a significant favor for Shanghai Greenland winning the match with a success probability of 51.85%, compared to a much lower probability of 22.22% for Shandong Luneng. This statistical indication supports the argument that Shanghai Greenland is more likely to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The goal statistics of both teams: According to the provided statistics, Shanghai Greenland scored 14 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 2.8 goals per match. Similarly, Shandong Luneng scored 9 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Therefore, both teams have shown their ability to score goals, increasing the likelihood of a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The defensive performance of both teams: Shanghai Greenland conceded 14 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 2.8 goals per match. On the other hand, Shandong Luneng also conceded 10 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 2 goals per match. These defensive weaknesses on both sides suggest that there could be a number of goals in this match.

3. Betting probabilities: Based on the given odds, there is a 53.97% probability that the match will end with over 2.5 goals. This indicator, derived from analysis and bookmakers’ bets, strongly suggests that it is likely the match will end with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The form of both teams: Recent match statistics show that Shanghai Greenland has a good home performance, scoring at least one goal in each match, just like Shandong Luneng away from home.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: The teams have shown an ability to score goals with an offensive potential of 50% for Shanghai Greenland and 79% for Shandong Luneng. At the same time, they have also shown some defensive weaknesses, conceding 0.2 and 1.4 goals per match respectively, which could mean that both teams are likely to concede goals.
3. Probability of success: With a 54.5% probability that both teams will score, this scenario is more likely than the alternative (45.5% probability that both teams will not score).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Shandong Luneng wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Shanghai Greenland 2-2 Shandong Luneng

1. Recent form of the teams: In their last 5 matches, Shanghai Greenland has shown good form, with 80% of wins and an average of 1.4 goals scored per match. On the other hand, Shandong Luneng has only won 20% of their matches, but has drawn 60% of the time, showing an ability to hold the score.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Shandong Luneng, in away matches, has an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 50%, which means they are both capable of scoring against Shanghai Greenland and likely to concede goals. Additionally, Shanghai Greenland has a low home defensive potential of 7%, indicating they are likely to concede goals.

3. Betting statistics: The probability of both teams scoring is evaluated at 54.5%. Furthermore, the probability of having more than 2.5 goals in the match is 53.97%. These data indicate it is likely to have a match with at least 2 goals from each side, supporting the prediction of a 2-2 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shanghai Greenland have an impressive home form with a victory in 80% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 14 goals in 5 matches and conceded the same amount.

Shandong Luneng have a less dominant away form, winning only in 20% of their last 5 matches but drawing in 60% of the cases.

Shanghai Greenland shows a 50% attacking potential and 7% defensive potential at home. They score an average of 1.4 goals per match and concede 0.2.

On the other hand, Shandong Luneng have 79% attacking potential and 50% defensive potential away from home. They score an average of 2.2 goals and concede 1.4 on the road.

The probability of Shanghai Greenland winning is 51.85%, with odds of 1.75. A draw has a probability of 25.93% and odds of 3.75.

The prediction favors a Shanghai Greenland win or draw with a probability of 77.78% at odds of 1.16. There is a 80.95% chance that the match will have over 1.5 goals, with odds of 1.22.

Both teams are statistically likely to score with a probability of 54.5% at odds of 1.65.

In summary, favor Shanghai Greenland to win or draw with over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Shanghai Greenland shows strong dominance at home with a victory in 80% of their matches. However, they have equalized the number of goals scored and conceded at 14, which could raise questions about their defense. With an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 7%, the game is open.

On the other hand, Shandong Luneng has a less brilliant performance away, with a victory in only 20% of cases. However, their impressive offensive potential of 79% and an average of 2.2 goals per match could pose a threat. Their defense should not be overlooked with a defensive potential of 50%.

The odds suggest that Shanghai Greenland is more likely to win the match (51.85%). This gives odds of 1.75. A draw is still possible with a probability of 25.93% (odds at 3.75). As for Shandong Luneng’s victory, it is less likely (22.22% – odds at 4.33).

Regarding the number of goals, it is more likely that there will be over 1.5 goals in the match (80.95%). This gives odds of 1.22. Furthermore, the chances of both teams scoring are 54.5% (odds at 1.65).

In conclusion, the numbers indicate a slight favor towards Shanghai Greenland to win this match. However, Shandong Luneng’s offensive potential cannot be ignored. With their recent offensive performance, this match could be goal-rich.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

After a detailed analysis of the statistics, probabilities, and recent performances of Shanghai Greenland and Shandong Luneng, it is clear that this match is likely to be tight and high-scoring. Even though Shanghai Greenland is the favorite, with an impressive home performance and a 51.85% probability of winning, Shandong Luneng should not be underestimated. Their offensive potential, calculated at 79%, and their away performances, averaging 2.2 goals per game, suggest they could provide serious competition and score some goals.

On the other hand, the probabilities also suggest a strong possibility of a match with over 2.5 goals, with a combined average of both teams exceeding this limit. Furthermore, with a 54.5% probability of both teams scoring, there is potential for an action-packed and possibly unpredictable match.

Based on these indicators, a sensible betting strategy could be to bet on “over 2.5 goals” or “both teams to score”. However, it is important to note that these betting suggestions are based on probabilities and statistics, and football, like all sports, is unpredictable, and nothing is guaranteed. Bettors should always gamble responsibly and never bet more than they can afford to lose.