Tipps Sheffield Utd Burnley Premier League 20/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Burnley wins the match”

1. Burnley has a better defensive potential compared to Sheffield United. With a defensive potential of 43%, which means they concede on average fewer goals (1.2 goals per match) than Sheffield United who concedes on average 2.4 goals per match, resulting in a defensive potential of 86%.

2. Burnley has a higher probability of winning with a success probability of 41.43%, compared to a probability of 30% for Sheffield United. The win rate is an important factor in predicting the outcome of a match.

3. Sheffield United’s recent home results are not reassuring with several heavy defeats such as against Arsenal (0-6), Brighton (0-5), and Aston Villa (0-5). This demonstrates a defensive weakness that could be exploited by Burnley.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Sheffield United has a weak defense at home, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match, increasing the chances of seeing over 2.5 goals during the match.
2. Cumulative statistics show a high probability of goals for both teams: on average, Sheffield United scores 1.6 goals and Burnley scores 1.2 goals per match, resulting in an average of 2.8 goals per match, exceeding the 2.5 goals threshold.
3. Sheffield United’s recent home matches indicate a trend towards high scores, with often more than 2.5 goals per match (e.g. Sheffield United 2 – 2 Chelsea, Sheffield United 3 – 3 Fulham, Sheffield United 0 – 6 Arsenal).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. In Sheffield United’s last 5 home matches, they managed to score a goal in 40% of the cases (2 matches out of 5) and have conceded a significant number of goals, with an average of 2.4 goals per match, demonstrating a rather weak defense.

2. On the other hand, Burnley has managed to score in every away match, as shown in their last 5 matches. They score an average of 1.2 goals per match in their away games, with similar offensive and defensive performances, demonstrating a certain balance in their playing strategy.

3. Sports betting statistics show that the probability of both teams scoring is 65.71%. This, combined with Sheffield United’s offensive potential of 57% and Burnley’s of 43%, indicates that it is likely that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Sheffield United 1-1 Burnley

1. Recent statistics indicate an average performance for both teams, with Sheffield United showing a 60% draw percentage at home and Burnley with a 40% draw percentage away. These high draw percentages could suggest a close match and justify a prediction of 1-1.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is quite similar. Sheffield United has averaged 1.6 goals scored per home match and conceded 2.4 goals, while Burnley has scored and conceded 1.2 goals on average away. This trend indicates a reasonable probability of a 1-1 match score.

3. The betting odds also suggest a tight outcome. The draw odds are 3.75 with a probability of 28.57%. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 65.71%, which is quite high. These factors also point towards a potential 1-1 result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sheffield has not won in their last 5 home matches, with a 60% draw rate. On the other hand, Burnley also hasn’t won in their last 5 away matches, with a 40% draw rate.

Sheffield has an attacking potential of 57%, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match. Their defense is weaker, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. Burnley has a similar profile, scoring and conceding 1.2 goals per match on average.

Building on this, Sheffield has a 30% probability of winning this match, with odds of 2.82. Whereas Burnley has a higher probability at 41.43% of winning, with odds of 2.42.

As for the total goals, there is a high probability of 80% for over 1.5 goals in the match with odds of 1.21. However, there is also a notable probability of 58.57% for under 3.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.52.

Taking these statistics into account, it could be suggested that the match will be closely contested without a clear winner, leaning towards a total of under 3.5 goals. Alongside a high probability that both teams score, with odds of 1.53 and a probability of 65.71%.

The potential number of goals

Neither Sheffield United nor Burnley have been dominant recently. At home, Sheffield has no victories and has conceded twice as many goals as they have scored. Burnley, on the other hand, has no wins away from home with an equal number of goals scored and conceded.

Sheffield’s attacking potential surpasses that of Burnley, but they are defensively weaker at home. Burnley has balanced defensive and offensive stats when playing away.

The odds slightly favor Burnley at 41.43%. However, a draw is also possible at 28.57%. The odds for Sheffield stand at 30%.

Between the two teams, there are more chances of goals being scored than a goalless match. There is a 65.71% chance of both teams scoring.

For the goals, over 1.5 goals in the match (80%) seems highly probable. Betting on less than 4.5 goals could be the best option, with an 81.43% chance.

Recent matches show a trend for Sheffield United to draw at home, while Burnley has been getting mixed results away.

Our prediction: Burnley might have the edge, but expect a tight match with over 1.5 goals in the game.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Premier League match between Sheffield United and Burnley appears to be quite evenly matched. Both teams have had mixed recent results, with Sheffield experiencing notable home losses while Burnley has shown solid away performance.

While Burnley is expected to have a slight edge in terms of potential to win, the possibility of a draw cannot be ruled out. Both teams seem to have a strong tendency to neutralize each other. A 1-1 draw could therefore be a plausible scenario.

In their offensive and defensive statistics, it is notable that Sheffield has a relatively weaker defense than Burnley. Despite this, both teams have shown an ability to score, indicating that both teams will score in this matchup.

In terms of total goals, a prediction of over 2.5 goals seems to be the most likely, given the average number of goals scored and conceded by both teams.

For bettors, it is advisable to consider these perspectives: Burnley to win, a final score of 1-1, both teams to score, and a total of over 2.5 goals. However, as with any bet, it is important to wager based on your own analysis and not rely solely on available statistics and predictions.