Tipps Sheffield Wednesday Stoke City Championship 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Stoke City wins the match

1. Recent performance of Stoke City: Despite having a low away win rate of only 40%, two of their away victories have come in their last two away matches, showing an improvement in their recent form.

2. Defensive frailties of Sheffield Wednesday: Sheffield Wednesday has a weak defense, conceding an average of 2.2 goals at home in their last 5 matches. This, combined with Stoke City’s attacking potential of scoring an average of 1.4 goals per away game, increases Stoke City’s chances of winning.

3. Statistical probabilities: Based on the provided statistics, Stoke City has a success probability of 38.25% to win the match, which is higher than Sheffield Wednesday’s (33.88%). Furthermore, even though there is another scenario (draw or Stoke City win) with a success probability of 66.12%, it does not invalidate but rather strengthens the idea that a Stoke City victory is a strong possibility.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Sheffield Wednesday and Stoke City have scored an average of 1 and 1.4 goals per match respectively in their last 5 home and away matches. The sum of these averages is less than 2.5 goals, increasing the likelihood of there being less than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Looking at the last five matches of Sheffield Wednesday at home and Stoke City away, 4 matches for each team had less than 2.5 goals. This shows a recent trend of low-scoring matches for these two teams under the respective match conditions.

3. The offensive and defensive potential statistics of both teams are not very high. Sheffield Wednesday has a 36% offensive potential at home and Stoke City has a 50% offensive potential away. Additionally, neither team has a defensive potential below 50%. This implies that both teams struggle to score but are quite good at defending, which could lead to a total number of goals under 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown offensive form and defensive frailties in their last 5 respective matches. Sheffield Wednesday has averaged 1 goal scored and 2.2 goals conceded per match at home, while Stoke City has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match away. These statistics suggest a likely scenario where both teams will score in the match.

2. Looking at specific previous matches, Sheffield Wednesday has managed to score in 4 of their last 5 home matches, although they have conceded in 3 of those instances. On the other hand, Stoke City has scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches while conceding in 4 of those matches. These trends also support the idea of both teams scoring.

3. The calculated success probability for both teams to score is 48.63% with odds of 1.83, indicating a reasonable chance for this outcome. Moreover, the probability gap between “Both teams to score” and “Both teams to not score” is minimal (48.63% vs. 51.37%). This proximity of probabilities reveals uncertainty regarding the defensive performance of both teams, favoring the prediction of both teams scoring at least once.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Sheffield Wednesday wins the match – 61.75% chance of success: 1.45

Bet on the exact result

Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Stoke City

1. Recent performances: Stoke City has won 40% of its away matches, while Sheffield Wednesday has won 40% of its home matches. Stoke therefore appears slightly more successful on the road than Sheffield is at home.

2. Goals averages: Statistics show that Sheffield Wednesday scores an average of 1 goal per home match and concedes 2.2 goals, while Stoke City scores an average of 1.4 goals in its away matches and also concedes 1.4 goals. This suggests a potential win for Stoke with a score of 2-1.

3. Match probabilities: Probabilities suggest that Stoke City has a slightly higher probability of winning the match (38.25%) compared to 33.88% for Sheffield. Furthermore, the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored during the match is 67.21%, implying a potential score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sheffield Wednesday has won 40% of its last home matches, with an average of 1 goal per game. Their defense is weak, conceding an average of 2.2 goals. Stoke City has a similar away performance, but scores and concedes an average of 1.4 goals. Offensive and defensive stats slightly favor Stoke City.

The probability of success indicates a more likely victory for Stoke City (38.25%). However, a draw or Sheffield Wednesday winning the match has a success probability of 61.75%.

Regarding goals scored, there is a high probability (67.21%) of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match. It’s also worth noting that the probability of both teams scoring is close to 50%.

Recent home matches for Sheffield Wednesday have shown a tendency for close scores. Stoke City’s away matches have seen more goals conceded. It might be wise to bet on a match with over 1.5 goals and even a potential victory for Stoke City.

As always, one must consider the inherent uncertainty in sports betting. The decision is yours to make!

The potential number of goals

Sheffield Wednesday has won 40% of its home matches, while Stoke City has also won 40% of away matches. In 5 matches, Sheffield has scored 6 goals but conceded 7. On the other hand, Stoke has also scored 6 goals but conceded 9.

Sheffield has an average of 1 goal scored per match and 2.2 goals conceded per match. Their offensive potential is 36% and defensive potential is 79%. Meanwhile, Stoke scores 1.4 goals per match and concedes the same, making their offensive and defensive potential 50%.

The probability of Sheffield winning is 33.88%, the draw is 27.87%, and Stoke winning is 38.25%. A combination of a draw or Sheffield winning the match has a probability of 61.75%, while a draw or Stoke winning is slightly higher at 66.12%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a high probability of less than 3.5 goals at 86.89%. However, the chance of more than 1.5 goals is expected at 67.21%. On the other hand, a total of more than 4.5 goals seems less likely with only 1.38% chance.

Finally, the probability of both teams scoring is 48.63% compared to 51.37% for both teams not scoring.

In conclusion, a close match is expected with low chances of seeing a high number of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Sheffield Wednesday and Stoke City appears to be a closely contested and heavily fought encounter. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams suggests that the victory could lean towards Stoke City, despite Sheffield Wednesday having a strong home performance.

Statistics also suggest that it would be reasonable to bet on a total of less than 2.5 goals for this match, due to the combined goal average of both teams and their recent tendency towards low-scoring games. However, considering their respective offensive and defensive performances, it also seems likely that both teams will score in this match.

In terms of betting value, a bet on a draw or a win for Sheffield Wednesday seems to offer a good potential return on investment, given its success rate of 61.75%.

Finally, while statistics and past performances can provide a solid basis for making predictions, it is essential to remember that sports betting always involves an element of uncertainty and risk. Therefore, it is crucial to bet responsibly and never wager more than what one is willing to lose.