Tipps Shelbourne Derry City Premier Division 05/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Derry City wins the match.

1. Derry City has a higher offensive potential than Shelbourne, averaging 2.4 goals scored per match compared to just 0.8 for Shelbourne. This indicates that Derry City is more likely to score and possibly win the match.
2. Derry City also has a stronger defensive potential than Shelbourne, conceding on average only 0.8 goals per match while Shelbourne concedes 1 per match. This gives Derry City a better chance of maintaining a favorable score.
3. The overall odds suggest that Derry City has a slightly better chance of winning the match, with a success probability of 36.7% compared to 33.51% for Shelbourne. This slight advantage in favor of Derry City can make a difference in a prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. By analyzing the last 5 matches, Shelbourne has scored an average of 0.8 goals per game and conceded an average of 1 goal per game. On the other hand, Derry City has scored an average of 1 goal per game and conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game. By adding up the goals scored and conceded, we arrive at a total average of less than 2.5 goals per game.

2. Statistics show that despite Derry City having an 86% offensive potential, they only manage to score just over one goal per game on average away from home – indicating that the defense of the opposing team is generally strong enough to contain their attacks.

3. The odds for the under 2.5 goals prediction in the match are 1.50, indicating that bookmakers believe the probability of a low-scoring game is high enough for this bet to be profitable. This estimation is likely based on historical data showing that matches involving these two teams tend to have a rather low number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Shelbourne at home is low (29%) while the defensive potential of Derry City away is quite solid (29%), suggesting that Shelbourne may struggle to score.
2. In their last 5 home matches, Shelbourne managed to keep a clean sheet in 40% of the cases, demonstrating some defensive solidity that could prevent Derry City from scoring.
3. The probability of both teams not scoring is higher (53.72%) than the probability of both teams scoring (46.28%), indicating that statistical models predict a rather tight match with few goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Derry City wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Shelbourne 1-2 Derry City

1. Derry City’s offensive potential is significantly higher than that of Shelbourne, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match compared to 0.8 for Shelbourne. This suggests that Derry City has better chances of scoring more goals.

2. Even though Shelbourne is playing at home, their past performances show that they tend to concede goals (8 goals conceded in their last 5 home matches). As Derry City has a good rate of scoring away goals, it can be predicted that they could score at least two goals.

3. Market probabilities also indicate a slight preference for a Derry City win with a probability of 36.7% compared to 33.51% for Shelbourne. This trend confirms the prediction of a 1-2 victory in favor of Derry City.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shelbourne has a win rate of 60% in their last 5 home matches. However, they have conceded more goals (8) than they have scored (6). On the other hand, Derry City has won 40% of their last 5 away matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6 goals.

The increase in offensive and defensive potential for Derry City in away matches is notable, with 86% and 29% respectively, compared to 29% offensive and 36% defensive for Shelbourne at home.

The chances of victory are relatively equal between the two teams, 33.51% for Shelbourne and 36.7% for Derry City, however, the chances of a draw are estimated at 29.79%.

It seems likely that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 68.62%. There is also a high probability for fewer than 3.5 goals (94.68%).

As for both teams scoring, the probability is 46.28%, but the chances are slightly higher that they both do not score, with a success rate of 53.72%.

Looking at their recent matches, Shelbourne has had mixed performances at home, with some draws or low-scoring games, while Derry City has had slightly better performances away, with some impressive wins.

In conclusion, this match appears to be tight and unpredictable, but the statistics suggest a slight advantage for Derry City.

The potential number of goals

Here is the analysis of the match between Shelbourne and Derry City. Shelbourne has won 60% of their last home matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 8. On the other hand, Derry City has won 40% of their last away matches, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded.

Shelbourne averages 0.8 goals per match at home and concedes 1 goal. Derry City, when playing away, scores an average of 2.4 goals and concedes 0.8 goals.

The probability of Shelbourne winning is 33.51% while the probability of Derry City winning is 36.7%. A draw has a probability of 29.79%.

The probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match is 68.62%. The probability of both teams scoring is 46.28%.

Based on these data, we might expect a match with some goals, with a slight advantage for Derry City. However, the safest bet could be under 3.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 94.68%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of data and statistics suggests that the match between Shelbourne and Derry City will be highly contested, with a slight preference for a Derry City win. Derry City’s strong offensive performances, coupled with their solid defensive display, give them a slight edge. Regarding the total number of goals, the safest bet appears to be “under 3.5 goals in the match” given the high probability of 94.68%. However, despite predictions of a tight match with few goals, it’s important to remember that football remains an unpredictable sport. In theory, any team is capable of surprising and defying the odds. Therefore, it is advisable to use this information in conjunction with further research to make an informed bet.