Tipps Shelbourne St Patrick's Athl. Premier Division 26/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

The prediction for the match between Shelbourne and St Patrick’s Athletic would be “Draw or Shelbourne wins the match.”

1. Shelbourne has shown a consistent performance at home: According to statistics, Shelbourne has the ability to at least draw or win games on their home turf. They have a 40% win rate in their home matches and a 20% draw rate, which speaks to their solid performance when playing at home.

2. Poor away performances by St Patrick’s Athletic: St Patrick’s Athletic has not won any of their last five away matches, indicating they may struggle when playing away. They have a lower offensive potential compared to Shelbourne with only 1.4 goals scored per match on average, which could impact their ability to win the match against Shelbourne.

3. Higher probability of a draw or Shelbourne win: The odds indicate a 67.23% probability for a draw or a Shelbourne win, which is higher than the 64.41% for St Patrick’s Athletic winning or a draw. The displayed numbers could suggest that, based on recent performances and other factors, it is slightly more likely for Shelbourne to win or for the match to end in a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent offensive and defensive statistics of both teams show a low average of goals scored and conceded. Shelbourne has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match and St Patrick’s Athletic has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match. This results in a total average of 2 goals per match, which is below 2.5 goals.

2. The recent match history of both teams indicates a trend towards few goals. Recent Shelbourne home matches have seen a maximum of 2 goals, while recent St Patrick’s Athletic away matches have had a maximum of 3 goals but with three out of five matches ending with either one goal or none.

3. The probabilities suggest that the most likely outcome is under 3.5 goals with a 96.05% probability. This, in conjunction with the low goal averages and match history, reinforces the idea that under 2.5 goals is a rational bet.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Performance analysis shows that Shelbourne maintains good control at home, conceding only 4 goals in their last 5 home matches.
2. St Patrick’s Athletic has shown serious offensive struggles on the road, managing to score only 2 goals in their last 5 away matches.
3. Statistics indicate a 53.11% probability that both teams will not score, which is higher than the opposite probability (46.89%).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Under 1.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Shelbourne 1-1 St Patrick’s Athletic

1. In their last 5 respective matches, Shelbourne and St. Patrick’s Athletic tend to record a relatively high number of draws (20% and 40% respectively). This first argument therefore suggests a certain balance between the two teams which could translate into a draw score.

2. The offensive and defensive performances of both teams are relatively similar, with their average goals scored and conceded per match hovering around one. In this context, which highlights a certain homogeneity, a 1-1 score seems quite probable.

3. The study of their direct confrontations, and more specifically the scores of the last matches played by Shelbourne at home and St. Patrick’s Athletic away, informs us quite precisely about the ability of both teams to score and concede goals. The latest home matches of Shelbourne against St. Patrick’s Athletic away show that a 1-1 draw is a result that occurs frequently.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shelbourne has won 40% of their home matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding the same amount. They have an offensive potential of 21% and defensive potential of 36%. St Patrick’s, however, has not won away from home, scoring only two goals and conceding five. Their offensive potential is at 50% and defensive capability at 36%.

The probability of Shelbourne winning is 35.59% with odds of 2.60. There is a 31.64% chance of a draw with odds of 3.20. St Patrick’s has a 32.77% chance of winning with odds of 2.70.

The “Draw or Shelbourne Win” bet has a success probability of 67.23%, with odds at 1.45. The similar bet for St Patrick’s has a 64.41% chance of success, with odds at 1.47.

It is likely that the match will have fewer than 3.5 goals (96.05% probability, odds at 1.20) and less likely to have more than 3.5 goals (odds at 4.20). There is a 46.89% chance that both teams will score, with odds at 1.90.

The formula of recent matches indicates a trend towards draws or low scores. For example, Shelbourne had two goalless draws while St Patrick’s recorded three draws away.

In conclusion, the match seems to be heading towards a low score, possibly a draw, with Shelbourne having a slightly better chance of winning. Betting on fewer than 3.5 goals appears to be a safe choice.

The potential number of goals

Shelbourne is showing solid home form, with a win rate of 40% and a draw rate of 20%. The statistics indicate a balance both offensively and defensively with 4 goals scored and conceded. St Patrick’s Athletic, on the other hand, struggles away from home, having not won any of their last 5 matches and only managing a draw in 40% of cases. They have scored two goals and conceded five.

By analyzing the averages, Shelbourne scores and concedes an average of 1 goal per match, while St Patrick’s Athletic has a slightly higher offensive average with 1.4 goals per match despite their away performances.

In terms of predictions, St Patrick’s Athletic holds a slight advantage, with a win probability of 32.77% compared to 35.59% for Shelbourne. The probability of a draw is 31.64%.

As for the total number of goals in the match, the highest probability is for under 3.5 goals at 96.05%. The most likely scenario seems to be a low-scoring match with fierce competition between the two teams.

In conclusion, based on recent performances and statistics, I would predict a low-scoring match with a slight advantage for Shelbourne.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the detailed analysis and statistics presented, the betting outlook for this match between Shelbourne and St Patrick’s Athletic shapes up as follows:

The safest bet appears to be “draw or Shelbourne win,” considering Shelbourne’s home performance and St Patrick’s struggles away from home. A bet on “under 3.5 goals” also seems wise given the low average goals scored and recent trends in similar matches.

Regarding the bet option “Both teams to score: No,” it is well-founded in Shelbourne’s defensive performances at home and St Patrick’s offensive difficulties away from home.

An intriguing bet would be to go for “Under 1.5 goals in the match” given the low average goals per match and recent performances of both teams.

As for the exact score, the suggested forecast is a 1-1 draw, a result that aligns with the performance and head-to-head statistics of both teams.

From a broader perspective, the match promises to be a low-scoring encounter characterized by defensive dynamics. This could be explained by Shelbourne’s consistent home performances and St Patrick’s lack of away wins. The match outcome could slightly favor Shelbourne with a relatively high probability of a draw.

However, these insights are subject to change as the match date approaches and should therefore be reviewed accordingly.