Tipps Shinnik Yaroslavl Arsenal Tula Premier League 25/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and past performances of both teams, the most likely prediction would be: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win the match.

1. Shinnik Yaroslavl’s home performance: Shinnik Yaroslavl has won 60% of their last home matches. This, combined with the fact that Arsenal Tula has not won any of their last away matches, shows a clear superiority of Shinnik on their own turf.

2. Arsenal Tula’s defensive weakness away from home: Arsenal Tula has conceded an average of 1 goal per match in their last 5 away games, a unfavorable statistic compared to Shinnik’s home average of 0.6 goals conceded per match.

3. Head-to-head recent results: Shinnik’s recent home matches show a trend towards victory, while Arsenal’s away matches are mostly draws or losses. This trend, combined with the other data, strengthens the argument in favor of a Shinnik win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent performances: both teams have shown a lack of goal-scoring form both at home and away. Shinnik Yaroslavl has scored 4 goals in 5 home matches, and Arsenal Tula has scored 5 goals in 5 away matches.
2. Defensive statistics: both teams have displayed good defensive solidity recently, with Shinnik Yaroslavl and Arsenal Tula conceding an average of 0.6 and 1 goal per match respectively in their last 5 games.
3. Historical match: in previous encounters between these two teams, the total number of goals has been low, for example Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 – 0 Leningradets and Leningradets 1 – 1 Arsenal Tula, suggesting that matches between these two teams are generally tight affairs with low scores.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recently, the Shinnik Yaroslavl team has shown a draw or a win in their home matches, often keeping a clean sheet. This indicates a strong defense that decreases the chances of the opposing team scoring.

2. Arsenal Tula has struggled to win their away matches, failing to convert any of their opportunities into wins in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have conceded more goals than they have scored, highlighting offensive weaknesses.

3. Statistics show that Arsenal Tula averages 1.4 goals per away match, while Shinnik Yaroslavl concedes an average of 0.6 goals per home match, significantly reducing the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Arsenal Tula

1. Arsenal Tula has a tendency to draw, which has happened in 80% of its last 5 away matches. This trend predicts that the match against Shinnik Yaroslavl could also end in a draw.

2. Shinnik Yaroslavl has a 43% home offensive potential and a 21% defensive potential, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match. Similarly, Arsenal Tula scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 1 goal per match away. These statistics make a 1-1 scoreline probable.

3. Both teams have similar abilities to score and defend, as reflected in their recent performances. Therefore, a 1-1 scoreline seems like a reasonable prediction based on their past performances and current statistics.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shinnik Yaroslavl has been strong at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored a total of 4 goals and conceded 4 as well. Interesting form.

Arsenal Tula has not been very comfortable away from home. They have not won any of their last 5 away matches, with 4 draws and 1 loss. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 8. Room for improvement.

Shinnik Yaroslavl has an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, showing a decent offense. However, they have a solid defense with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per match.

Arsenal Tula, on the road, is more effective in attack as they average 1.4 goals per game but struggle in defense, conceding an average of one goal per match.

The probability rate for almost all possible outcomes is 0%, making the match result highly unpredictable.

However, there is a 100% probability that less than 3.5 goals and less than 4.5 goals will be scored in the game. A low-scoring match seems very likely.

In conclusion, considering all these elements, a low-scoring match is expected, with Shinnik Yaroslavl having the advantage due to their solid home defense. Arsenal Tula will need to improve their performance away from home to have a chance at earning points.

The potential number of goals

Shinnik Yaroslavl has been strong at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded the same number. Their defense looks solid, conceding only 0.6 goals on average per match. Their offensive potential stands at 43% and defensive potential at 21%.

Arsenal Tula, on the other hand, is less impressive. In 5 away matches, they have not won once but drawn 80% of the time. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 8. Their offensive potential is slightly higher at 50%, while their defense is slightly weaker at 36%.

It’s worth noting a low success rate for betting on the victory of both teams, as well as a 0% probability for over 1.5 and 2.5 goals. However, there seems to be certainty in having fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals scored during the match.

Therefore, for this match, caution is advised. A low-scoring game seems likely. Neither team has shown impressive offensive potential in their recent encounters. The trend points towards a close and defensive match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the prediction is a risky bet due to the lack of predictability in the performances of both teams. With a strong defense at home, Shinnik Yaroslavl seems to have an advantage over Arsenal Tula but cannot be considered a guaranteed winner. While Arsenal Tula struggles to win away, they have shown some competitiveness by holding their opponents to draws in 80% of their last 5 away matches.

It is also advisable to bet on a total of fewer than 3.5 goals for this match. Both teams have shown a marked tendency to score few goals in their recent matches, and their defenses have been solid, which could result in a low-scoring match. It also seems likely that both teams will not score in this match, due to their average offensive performance and solid defenses.

In short, bets for this match should be shaped by an understanding of both teams’ recent form, defensive and offensive statistics, and match history. A cautious and well-informed approach will then be crucial for achieving reasonably safe gains.