Tipps Shonan Bellmare Albirex Niigata J1 League 19/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Albirex Niigata wins the match.

1. Away Performance: Albirex Niigata has a higher away win rate (40%) compared to Shonan Bellmare’s home win rate (20%).
2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Albirex Niigata has demonstrated better offensive (64%) and defensive potential (86%) compared to Shonan Bellmare’s offensive (50%) and defensive (64%) potential.
3. Recent Results: Analyzing Albirex Niigata’s recent away matches, they have managed to win or draw in three out of their last five matches, indicating a solid form for this team.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Statistically, in their last 5 respective matches, both Shonan Bellmare and Albirex Niigata have an average of goals scored greater than 1, suggesting offensive potential on both sides.

2. Additionally, these two teams also have an average of goals conceded higher than 1, revealing defenses that can be vulnerable, favoring an increase in the number of goals during the match.

3. Previous matches of both teams have often seen a total of goals well above 2.5: for example, the match Shonan Bellmare 4 – 4 Urawa Red Diamonds or Vissel Kobe 3 – 2 Albirex Niigata show a trend towards high-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Shonan Bellmare at home is only 50%, which means they struggle to score at home. Additionally, looking at their last 5 home matches, they had two matches where they failed to score.
2. Albirex Niigata, despite having a higher offensive potential of 64% away from home, has also had matches where they failed to score. In their last 5 away matches, they failed to score on two occasions.
3. The statistics show that both teams have fairly high defensive potential (64% for Shonan Bellmare and 86% for Albirex Niigata). This means both teams are strong defensively and therefore, the chances of both teams scoring are quite low.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“The both teams do not score.”

Bet on the exact result

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Albirex Niigata.

1. The statistics show that Shonan Bellmare scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match, which corresponds to the number of goals predicted for them in this match. In fact, Shonan Bellmare has scored a goal in two of their last five home matches.

2. Similarly, Albirex Niigata scores an average of 1.8 goals per away match, aligning with the number of goals predicted for them. Albirex Niigata has managed to score two goals in two of their last five away matches.

3. The defensive statistics also indicate that Shonan Bellmare concedes an average of 1.8 goals per home match, and thus, Albirex Niigata is expected to score two goals. Furthermore, Albirex Niigata concedes an average of 2.4 goals per away match, which explains the goal predicted for Shonan Bellmare.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shonan Bellmare demonstrates average form at home, winning one match out of five and drawing in 40% of cases, but also conceding more goals (11) than they have scored (7).

Albirex Niigata, as the visiting team, has a better performance, winning two matches out of five, drawing once, scoring the same number of goals (7) but conceding fewer with a total of 9 goals.

Shonan Bellmare shows an average offensive performance at home, scoring 1.4 goals per match. However, their defense is lacking, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match.

Albirex Niigata, away from home, has a more effective attack with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match, but their defense has weaknesses with a higher average of 2.4 goals conceded per match.

The data does not indicate a clear prediction of a win or draw for both teams; however, there is a positive probability of fewer than 3.5 or 4.5 goals in the match, and a certain probability that both teams will not score.

The form of both teams suggests close matches, as seen in their previous games: close matches with few differences in terms of goals scored and conceded.

Overall, a low-scoring match could be expected, with a higher probability for Albirex Niigata to score, given their offensive potential away from home and Shonan Bellmare’s defensive weaknesses at home.

The potential number of goals

Shonan Bellmare struggles at home, with only a 20% win rate. Their defense is weak, conceding 11 goals in 5 matches. This is concerning.

On the other hand, Albirex Niigata is in good form away from home. They have a 40% win rate and their attack is strong, scoring 7 goals in 5 matches.

It is interesting to note that Shonan Bellmare has a 50% offensive potential at home, but a weak defensive potential of 64%.

In contrast, Albirex Niigata has a strong offensive potential of 64% and a robust 86% defense when playing away.

Therefore, it appears that Albirex Niigata has a higher chance of winning this match, given their away form and Shonan Bellmare’s weak home defense.

Score analysis: Shonan Bellmare failed to score against Machida Zelvia and Vissel Kobe, and conceded 2 goals to Tokyo Verdy. They managed to score 4 goals against Urawa Red Diamonds, despite their weak defense.

On the other hand, Albirex Niigata scored at least 2 goals against Iwaki and Vissel Kobe, but also conceded 3 goals to Vissel Kobe.

Lastly, it is worth noting that both teams rarely score. In fact, a match with less than 3.5 goals is predicted with a 100% success rate.

Overall, based on these insights, Albirex Niigata seems to be in a better position to win this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this forecast indeed suggests a probable victory for Albirex Niigata considering their better form away from home and stronger performances in terms of offensive and defensive potential. However, it is important to remember that each match is influenced by a wide range of factors – sometimes unpredictable – and it is crucial to continuously analyze the performances and statistics of each team to bet intelligently. Finally, the proposition of “Both teams to score – No” seems to offer an interesting value bet as both teams have shown some instability in their offensive performances. In any case, always remember that betting should remain a form of entertainment and to bet responsibly.