Tipps Shonan Bellmare Jubilo Iwata J1 League 14/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Shonan Bellmare wins the match.

1. History of Shonan Bellmare’s home matches: Over their last 5 home matches, Shonan Bellmare has won 40% of the time and drawn 60% of the time. Their overall statistics show that Shonan Bellmare has a strong home performance, which could favor their chances of either winning the match or drawing.
2. Recent away performances of Jubilo Iwata: In their last 5 away matches, Jubilo Iwata has not won once while drawing once (20% of the time). This indicates that Jubilo Iwata struggles to play away, increasing the chances that Shonan Bellmare will win or draw.
3. General statistics of both teams: Shonan Bellmare has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 43% at home, while Jubilo Iwata has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 50% away. This suggests that Shonan Bellmare has a slight defensive edge at home compared to Jubilo Iwata away, which could help Shonan Bellmare contain the attacks of the opposing team and secure at least a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.83

1. Score history: Both teams have scored a low number of goals in their recent matches. Shonan Bellmare scored 6 goals in 5 home matches while Jubilo Iwata only scored 3 goals in 5 away matches. Furthermore, Shonan Bellmare has an average of 1 goal per match and Jubilo Iwata has 1.4 goals.

2. Home/Away performances: Shonan Bellmare wins or draws in 100% of home matches, indicating a solid defense. Additionally, Jubilo Iwata has a 0% win rate away and a 20% draw rate, suggesting they struggle to score when playing away.

3. Probabilities: The “Under 2.5 goals in the match” option has odds of 1.83, which are significantly lower than the “Over 2.5 goals” option. This could indicate that the probabilities favor fewer than 2.5 goals in the match, considering the past performances of both teams and their offensive and defensive capabilities.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Goals Statistics: Both teams have shown an ability to score and concede goals in their recent matches. Shonan Bellmare has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals in 5 home matches, while Jubilo Iwata has scored 3 goals and conceded 6 goals in 5 away matches.

2. High Probability of Goals: The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is relatively high, with Shonan Bellmare at 36% in offense and 43% in defense, while Jubilo Iwata is at 50% on both fronts. This suggests that neither team significantly dominates the other, which could lead to a balanced match with goals on both sides.

3. Recent Trend: Looking at their recent matches, Shonan Bellmare has scored in three of their last five home matches, while Jubilo Iwata has scored in one of their last five away matches. This shows a trend for both teams to score goals, supporting the prediction that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Shonan Bellmare wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Jubilo Iwata.

1. Over their respective last 5 matches, Shonan Bellmare has a moderate home record (40% wins, 60% draws) while Jubilo Iwata has a weaker away performance (0% wins, 20% draws). These trends suggest a higher probability of a draw.

2. The average goals per game for Shonan Bellmare at home and Jubilo Iwata away are 1 and 1.4 respectively. These stats hint at a moderate score from both sides, reinforcing the 1-1 draw hypothesis.

3. The probability of under 3.5 goals in the match is high (80.85%), indicating a low-scoring game consistent with a 1-1 prediction. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 52.66%, which also aligns with this forecast.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shonan Bellmare has shown average form at home, winning 2 matches and drawing 3 out of their last 5. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in these matches.

Jubilo Iwata has struggled away from home with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have only managed 1 draw, scored 3 goals, and conceded 6.

Shonan Bellmare has an offensive potential of 36% at home and a slightly superior defense (43%), giving them an advantage over Iwata whose potential remains at 50%.

The highest probability is a draw or a win for Shonan Bellmare with a 72.34% chance of success.

The prediction suggests a low-scoring match with an 80.85% chance for less than 3.5 goals.

One final point to note: both teams have scored in 52.66% of matches. Therefore, the probability of both teams scoring in this match is slightly above 50%.

The potential number of goals

Shonan Bellmare has had average performances at home, with 2 wins out of 5, but they tend to keep possession by drawing in 60% of cases. The team has scored a total of 6 goals, a ratio of 1.2 goals per match. However, their defense needs improvement as they concede more goals than they score.

On the other hand, Jubilo Iwata has struggled to perform well away from home. With no wins in 5 matches, their form is poor. They have only scored 3 goals in their last matches, conceding 6.

In terms of percentages, Shonan Bellmare has a 42.55% chance of winning this match, compared to Jubilo Iwata’s 27.66%. There is a 29.79% chance of a draw.

As for goals, there is a 67.02% probability that the number of goals will be over 1.5 and a 48.4% chance that it will be over 2.5, while the chances of having less than 3.5 goals are high at 80.85%.

Analyzing the last matches played by these two teams, a low-scoring match can be expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this prediction suggests that the match between Shonan Bellmare and Jubilo Iwata is likely to be closely contested and full of twists and turns despite a probably low number of goals scored. Shonan Bellmare appears to have a slight advantage due to their past home performances, giving them a higher probability of winning or drawing the match. However, there is no doubt that Jubilo Iwata will not go down easily. The prediction also hints that it might be interesting to bet on under 2.5 goals in the match and both teams to score. Similarly, the suggested score prediction of 1-1 could also lead to some interesting bets. Nonetheless, remember that sports betting involves risks, so it is important to bet responsibly.