Tipps Shonan Bellmare Kashima J1 League 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Kashima Antlers win the match

1. The statistics show a higher probability of success for Kashima Antlers at 45.26%, which is superior to the success probabilities of Shonan Bellmare and the draw. 2. Comparing the recent performances of the two teams, Shonan Bellmare has had below-average performances at home, with a majority of draws and losses. On the other hand, despite some losses, Kashima Antlers has been able to score goals in each of their away matches. 3. In terms of the offensive and defensive potential of these two teams, Shonan Bellmare concedes an average of a considerable number of goals per match (2), which leaves a chance for the opposing team to score. At the same time, Kashima Antlers have offensive potential comparable to their opponent at home, with an average of one goal per match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Previous performances of Shonan Bellmare and Kashima Antlers show an average goal rate below 2.5. Shonan Bellmare has a home average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded, while Kashima Antlers’ away average is 1. These data indicate that both teams struggle to score more than 2.5 goals in their matches.

2. Analyzing the recent performances of both teams, Shonan Bellmare has had numerous draws and few home victories, while Kashima Antlers have had limited success away from home, indicating a medium-low level of competitiveness. This could result in a match with a reduced number of goals.

3. Looking at the provided odds, we see that the bet for under 2.5 goals in the match is at 1.83. This is a high rate, suggesting that bettors are anticipating a low-scoring match, supporting the argument that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in the game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive performance of both teams: When analyzing their recent matches, Shonan Bellmare has scored 8 goals in 5 home games, while Kashima Antlers has scored 6 goals in 5 away games. These numbers suggest that both teams have a relatively high offensive capability, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

2. The defensive performance of both teams: Shonan Bellmare has conceded 8 goals in 5 home games, while Kashima Antlers has conceded 9 goals in 5 away games, indicating that both teams’ defenses may be vulnerable. This implies that it is likely for both teams to concede goals during the match.

3. Probabilistic data: Probability statistics show a 52.11% chance of both teams scoring. This relatively high probability further strengthens the argument in favor of the prediction that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 3.30

Bet on the exact result

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kashima Antlers

1. Previous match statistics show that Shonan Bellmare has a 43% offensive potential at home, giving them a real chance of scoring in this match, especially considering that Kashima Antlers have conceded an average of 1 goal per away game.

2. Despite their mixed performances on the road, Kashima Antlers have slightly lower offensive potential but an equal defensive potential compared to Shonan Bellmare. With a 45.26% chance of winning the match (higher than Shonan Bellmare’s), they are likely to score at least two goals.

3. Analysis of previous match scores reveals that both teams tend to play close matches with a total score generally under 3.5 goals. A 1-2 score aligns with these observed trends and the respective odds of “Over 1.5 goals in the match” with a 74.74% probability of success.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shonan Bellmare is showing average form at home. In their last 5 home matches, they have won once (20%) and drawn three times (60%). They have scored and conceded eight goals during these matches.

Visiting Kashima Antlers is not flying high either. In five outings, they have secured one victory (20%) and suffered four defeats. They have scored six goals, conceding nine.

Shonan averages 1.2 goals per match at home, but often concede more (2 goals). Kashima, on the other hand, manages to maintain an average of one goal scored and conceded per match when playing away.

The probabilities lean towards an Antlers win (45.26%) with odds of 2.45.

The probability of the match ending in a draw or an Antlers win is quite high (72.11%) with odds of 1.42.

The over 1.5 goals option in the match seems safe, with a probability of 74.74% and odds of 1.30. There is also a good chance of both teams scoring (52.11% probability, odds of 1.72).

Historically, Bellmare has shown mixed form at home, with scores like 1-2 against Cerezo Osaka or a 5-0 win against Jubilo Iwata. Antlers have struggled on the road, suffering defeats like 4-1 against Yokohama F. Marinos.

Overall, a close encounter is expected with a slight advantage for Kashima Antlers.

The potential number of goals

Shonan Bellmare and Kashima Antlers are two teams with fairly similar performance. At home, Shonan has won 20% of their recent matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 8. Kashima Antlers, away from home, has won 20% of their matches with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded.

Shonan has an offensive capacity of 43% and a defensive capacity of 71%, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Kashima Antlers have an offensive and defensive capacity of 36%, with an average of 1 goal per match.

The probabilities support a Kashima Antlers win at 45.26% with odds of 2.45. On the other hand, a draw or a Shonan win is at 54.74% with odds of 1.53. Both teams to score has a 52.11% success rate with odds of 1.72.

There is a 74.74% chance of over 1.5 goals in the match, indicating a potentially lively game. Under 3.5 goals have an 83.16% success rate with odds of 1.30, suggesting the match will likely be moderately to low-scoring.

In summary, this match appears to be fairly evenly balanced with a slight edge towards a Kashima Antlers win, but with a high probability of both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Shonan Bellmare and Kashima Antlers, scheduled for September 28, 2024, is shaping up to be a tight one with a slight edge for Kashima Antlers. Based on our predictions derived from statistical data and recent performances, it is likely that the Antlers will come out on top, although the potential for a draw is also present, offering an interesting value bet.

It is also probable that the match will see less than 2.5 goals based on the average goal numbers of both teams, indicating a potentially low-scoring game. Nevertheless, it is likely that both teams will score considering their past offensive performances.

Regarding the exact score, it appears that a 1-2 victory for Kashima Antlers is the most likely scenario, in line with their recent offensive and defensive statistics.

It is important to remember that while sports betting is based on statistics and data analysis, outcomes are unpredictable and depend on various factors. The advice provided here is informative and does not guarantee a secure outcome. Bets should always be placed responsibly.