Tipps Shonan Bellmare Machida Zelvia J1 League 11/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Machida Zelvia wins the match

1. The away win percentage of Machida Zelvia in their last 5 matches is very impressive (80%). This demonstrates strong form and consistency, especially compared to Shonan Bellmare whose home win percentage is only 20%.

2. In terms of offensive and defensive performances, Machida Zelvia surpasses Shonan Bellmare. Indeed, in their last 5 away matches, Machida Zelvia averages 1.8 goals scored per match, while Shonan Bellmare only scores 1.4. Additionally, Machida Zelvia has a stronger defense with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match compared to 2 for Shonan Bellmare.

3. Taking into account the probabilities of the different possible outcomes of the match, the probability of Machida Zelvia winning the match is the highest (48.91%). Furthermore, “Draw or Machida Zelvia wins the match” offers a success probability of 78.8%, thus demonstrating a likely superiority of Machida Zelvia over Shonan Bellmare.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. General trends: Shonan Bellmare has shown a tendency to both score and concede goals at home, with 8 goals scored and 10 conceded in the last 5 matches. Machida Zelvia has also exhibited a similar trend away, scoring 8 goals and conceding 8 goals in the last 5 matches.

2. Goal averages: The average goals per match for these two teams exceed 2.5 goals. Shonan Bellmare has an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per home match. Machida Zelvia has an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per away match.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Both teams have shown offensive and defensive potential capable of producing more than 2.5 goals per match. Shonan Bellmare has a 50% offensive potential and 71% defensive potential at home. Machida Zelvia has a 64% offensive potential and 29% defensive potential away.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. In their last five respective matches, Shonan Bellmare and Machida Zelvia have shown consistency in scoring goals, with an average of 1.4 goals and 1.8 goals per match respectively. This indicates a high probability that they will also score in this match.

2. The defensive potential of Shonan Bellmare is a 71% chance of conceding a goal, while Machida Zelvia’s defensive potential is 29%. Therefore, the statistics suggest that both teams have a high probability of conceding a goal.

3. In their recent head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare has had several games with scores of 2-1, 1-2, 4-4, indicating a trend towards mutual scoring. Similarly, Machida Zelvia has recorded scores of 2-0 and 2-1 in their recent matches, indicating that they also have the potential to both score and concede a goal in a match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams to score – 1.83

Bet on the exact result

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Machida Zelvia

1. Machida Zelvia has a strong away performance, with a win rate of 80% and an average of 1.8 goals per match. This positive trend could continue against Shonan Bellmare, who have only won once at home in their last 5 matches and concede an average of 2 goals per match.

2. The comparative offensive and defensive potential of each team also favors Machida Zelvia. Shonan Bellmare has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 71%, while Machida Zelvia has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 29%. These statistics suggest that Machida Zelvia could overcome the weaker defense of Shonan Bellmare and score more than one goal.

3. Betting probabilities also point to this outcome. Machida Zelvia has a 48.91% probability of winning the match compared to only 21.2% for Shonan Bellmare. Furthermore, there is a 72.28% probability for over 1.5 goals in the match. Combined with the 54.89% probability that both teams score, these statistics suggest a final score of 1-2 is plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shonan Bellmare struggle at home with only 1 win in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals but conceding 10. Their chance of winning the match is lower at 21.2% with odds of 3.75.

On the other hand, Machida Zelvia is in good form with 4 wins in 5 away matches. They have scored as many goals as Shonan Bellmare but have only conceded 8. Their potential to win the match is estimated at 48.91% with odds of 1.95.

In terms of goals, Shonan Bellmare averages 1.4 goals per home match, with an offensive potential of 50%. Machida Zelvia scores an average of 1.8 goals per away match, with a higher offensive potential of 64%.

The probability of both teams scoring is 54.89% with odds of 1.83. This seems likely given their recent performance. There is a 72.28% chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match with odds of 1.33.

In summary, despite Shonan Bellmare playing at home, Machida Zelvia seems to be in better form and could have the advantage. Considering the average number of goals scored by both teams, a match with at least two goals is possible.

The potential number of goals

Shonan Bellmare struggles to win at home. In 5 matches, they have a 20% win rate and 60% draws. They concede more than they score, with 10 goals against and 8 goals scored.

Machida Zelvia, when playing away, is more decisive. They have an 80% win rate in 5 matches. They have a perfect balance, scoring and conceding 8 goals each.

Shonan Bellmare has a 50% offensive potential. Defensively, it’s more challenging, with a 71% failure rate.

Machida Zelvia, on the road, is more appealing. They have a 64% success rate in attack and 29% weakness in defense.

The numbers favor Machida Zelvia. The match is 48.91% in their favor with odds of 1.95.

Betting on over 1.5 goals could be interesting. There is a 72.28% probability with odds of 1.33.

Previous encounters have seen many goals. Over 2.5 goals seem likely, with a 48.37% chance and odds of 2.

A close match is expected, but for the more daring, betting on Machida Zelvia’s victory and over 2.5 goals could be a tempting option.

Ultimately, it’s likely that both teams will score, with a 54.89% probability and odds of 1.83.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, despite the potential advantage of Shonan Bellmare playing at home, Machida Zelvia appears to be the favorite to win this match, given their impressive form away from home. Indicators such as Machida Zelvia’s away win percentage and their offensive and defensive performances surpass those of Shonan Bellmare.

As for the total number of goals, statistics suggest that it is likely the match will produce over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, it is also probable that both teams will manage to score in this match, which provides an interesting betting value at odds of 1.83.

Finally, a bold prediction for the exact score would be a 1-2 win in favor of Machida Zelvia. This is supported by the respective performances of the teams and the associated probabilities.

As always in sports betting, it is recommended to gamble responsibly and consider all available information and stats before making a decision.