Tipps Shonan Bellmare Nagoya Grampus J1 League 24/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Shonan Bellmare wins the match.

1. Shonan Bellmare’s Home Performance: In their last 5 home games, Shonan Bellmare won 40% of the matches and drew 40% of the time. This is a strong statistic that demonstrates their strength when playing at home.

2. Nagoya Grampus Away Performance: Nagoya Grampus has struggled to secure wins in their away matches, with 0% wins in their last 5 games and only 20% draws. This weakness on the road indicates that Nagoya may find it challenging to win the match.

3. Higher Success Probability: The prediction “Draw or Shonan Bellmare wins the match” has a success probability of 66.49%, which is the highest among the three possible options.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent offensive potential of Shonan Bellmare and Nagoya Grampus is the same (64%), although respectable, it is not exceptional. Therefore, we should not expect a large number of goals in the match.
2. Statistics show that there is a higher probability (80.41%) of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match and an even higher probability (93.81%) of fewer than 4.5 goals. For these reasons, it is often wise to bet on fewer than 2.5 goals.
3. Analyzing the last five home/away matches of each team, it can be observed that there were fewer than 2.5 goals in 6 out of 10 matches. This recent trend towards low-scoring matches reinforces the prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal-scoring history: Both teams have shown their ability to score goals in their previous matches. Shonan Bellmare has scored 8 goals in their last 5 home games while Nagoya Grampus has scored 6 goals in their last 5 away games. This indicates offensive potential.

2. Defensive performance of both teams: Additionally, both teams have conceded goals, with Shonan Bellmare conceding 9 goals at home and Nagoya Grampus conceding 7 goals away in their respective last 5 matches. This trend highlights a certain defensive deficit that could lead to goals on both sides.

3. Statistical possibility: The odds also suggest the possibility of “Both teams to score” with a success probability of 47.94%. This could translate to a forecast that both teams have an equal ability to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Nagoya Grampus.

1. Shonan Bellmare has a stronger home performance than Nagoya Grampus away. In the last 5 home matches, Shonan wins or draws in 80% of cases, while Nagoya has not won any of their last 5 away matches.

2. Both teams have a similar offensive potential of 1.8 goals per match on average, but Shonan Bellmare has a stronger home defense with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per match compared to Nagoya Grampus’ average of 1.8 goals conceded per match away. This suggests that Shonan could score more than Nagoya.

3. The odds indicate a greater probability of Shonan Bellmare winning the match or drawing (66.49%) compared to Nagoya Grampus. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is 47.94%, which is consistent with the predicted score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shonan Bellmare has a strong home form, with 40% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9.

On the other hand, Nagoya Grampus has not won any of their last 5 away matches, with just one draw and 4 losses. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7.

Shonan Bellmare shows a 64% attacking potential at home, averaging 1.8 goals per game, with a defensive potential of 21%, conceding 0.6 goals per game.

Nagoya Grampus also scores 1.8 goals per game but concedes the same, giving them a 64% attacking and defensive potential.

The probability of Shonan Bellmare winning the match is 39.18%, while a draw is estimated at 27.32% and a Nagoya Grampus win at 33.51%.

There is an 80.41% chance of seeing less than 3.5 goals during the match.

In Shonan Bellmare’s recent home matches, they defeated Jubilo Iwata (5-0) and Tokyo Verdy (1-0), but lost to Kashiwa Reysol (1-2) and Kyoto Sanga (0-1).

For Nagoya Grampus away matches, they have lost all their recent games, suffering defeats to Kyoto Sanga, Machida Zelvia, Cerezo Osaka, and Tokyo Verdy.

Based on the statistics, a close match can be anticipated, with a slight advantage for Shonan Bellmare at home.

The potential number of goals

Shonan Bellmare has an average performance at home, with 40% of wins and draws each. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9 in the last 5 matches.

On the other hand, Nagoya Grampus has poorer away performances, with no wins and only 20% draws. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in the last 5 matches.

Bellmare has a 64% offensive potential at home and a weaker defensive potential of 21%. In contrast, Nagoya Grampus also has a 64% offensive potential but with equal defensive potential.

It is more likely that Bellmare will win (39.18%) or the match will end in a draw (27.32%). The chances of Nagoya Grampus winning are lower (33.51%).

There is a 69.07% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals, and a 42.78% chance of there being more than 2.5 goals. The probabilities are lower for more than 3.5 goals (1.25) and more than 4.5 goals (1.36).

Regarding both teams to score, the probabilities are almost equal, but slightly in favor of both teams not scoring (52.06%).

Finally, based on this data, one could expect a potentially close match but with a probability of goals, favoring Shonan Bellmare or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the detailed analysis of past performances, strengths, and weaknesses of each team, it is possible to make relevant predictions for the match between Shonan Bellmare and Nagoya Grampus. Statistics suggest that Shonan Bellmare is more likely to win or draw the match due to their superior home performances. As for the total number of goals, the most likely option is under 2.5 goals, supported by both teams’ recent performances. However, the probability of both teams scoring during the match remains quite high, indicating a rather balanced nature of the game. In terms of value bets, the option of over 2.5 goals in the match seems to offer an interesting opportunity to consider. In conclusion, a predicted score of 2-1 in favor of Shonan Bellmare appears to be the most likely outcome for this match based on current data.