Tipps Shonan Bellmare Sanfrecce Hiroshima J1 League 19/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins the match.”

1. Past Performance: Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 80% of its away matches in its last 5 outings, while Shonan Bellmare has only won 20% of its home matches in its last 5 appearances.
2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: On average per match, in its last 5 away matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has shown greater offensive efficiency (scoring 3.2 goals) and defensive record (conceding 1 goal) compared to Shonan Bellmare at home (scoring 1.8 goals and conceding 1.6 goals).
3. Probabilities: According to the odds, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest probability of winning this match with a success rate of 55.67%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The strong offensive potential of Sanfrecce Hiroshima in away games (averaging 3.2 goals per match) could contribute to surpassing the total of 2.5 goals in the match.
2. On the other hand, statistics show that none of Shonan Bellmare’s last five home games had less than 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches for this home team.
3. Lastly, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has scored over 2.5 goals in all their recent away outings, reinforcing the idea of a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have a relatively high average of goals scored in their last five matches, with 1.8 for Shonan Bellmare at home and 3.2 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima away.

2. Both teams have shown vulnerability in defense by conceding goals in their last five matches, with a total of 7 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 11 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

3. Recent match statistics indicate that both teams tend to score goals in their matches, as evidenced by their previous results. For instance, in at least 4 out of the last 5 matches of each team, both teams managed to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Shonan Bellmare 1-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1. Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins 80% of its matches away from home, compared to only 20% of victories at home for Shonan Bellmare. Therefore, there is a higher probability that Sanfrecce Hiroshima will emerge victorious.

2. The offensive potential of Sanfrecce Hiroshima when playing away is very high (114%), with an average of 3.2 goals per match, compared to a lower defensive potential for Shonan Bellmare at home (57%). This suggests a good probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score at least 3 goals.

3. Taking into account statistics on goal probabilities during the match, there is a 73.2% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals and a 51.03% probability of there being more than 2.5 goals. This, combined with the fact that Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a strong likelihood of winning and scoring a lot, supports the prediction of a 1-3 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Shonan Bellmare has won only 20% of their last 5 home matches. They have drawn 60% of the matches. They scored 6 goals and conceded 7.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s away performances are impressive with an 80% win rate. They scored 10 goals but conceded 11. Their offensive potential is at 114% and their defense is solid at 36%.

Shonan Bellmare has shown an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive capability of 57% at home. Their average goals per match potential is 1.8, while they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s winning odds are 1.75 with a success probability of 55.67%, indicating they are the favorites.

There is a higher probability (73.2%) for a match with over 1.5 total goals.

Both teams have had similar goal-scoring performances in their recent matches. The probability of both teams scoring is 50.52%.

Based on these statistics, one could predict an eventful match with multiple goals.

The potential number of goals

Shonan Bellmare shows a poor performance at home, with only a 20% win rate. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, on the other hand, dominates away from home with an 80% win rate. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 11 in 5 matches.

From an offensive perspective, Shonan scores 1.8 goals per match at home, while Hiroshima scores 3.2 goals away.

Defensively, Shonan concedes 1.6 goals per match at home, while Hiroshima only concedes 1 away.

The probability of a win for Hiroshima is much higher at 55.67%. The match could see over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.03%.

So, a bet on a Hiroshima win with over 2.5 goals seems like a solid option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and past performances clearly suggest a victory for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, given their impressive away win streak and superior offensive potential. The “over 2.5 goals” bet also seems wise considering both teams’ tendency to be involved in high-scoring matches. It is also expected that both teams will score, although Sanfrecce Hiroshima appears to have a stronger defense according to the statistics. In terms of a value bet, a wager on a Sanfrecce Hiroshima victory offers interesting value, given their high likelihood of success relative to the odds. Lastly, the exact score could very well be Shonan Bellmare 1-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, considering past performances and other factors.