Tipps Sichuan Jiuniu Changchun Yatai Super League 21/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Sichuan Jiuniu wins the match.

1. Sichuan Jiuniu has a strong home record with a win or draw in 80% of their last 5 matches on their own turf.
2. Changchun Yatai has shown weakness away from home, failing to win any of their last 5 matches on the road and drawing in 60% of them.
3. The combined probability of a win for Sichuan Jiuniu or a draw is 64.15%, which is higher than the probability of a win for Changchun Yatai or a draw (61.01%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive potential of Changchun Yatai away from home is very high, averaging 2.6 goals scored per match in their last 5 games.
2. Sichuan Jiuniu, although not as strong in home matches, has shown some defensive vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match in their last 5 home games.
3. Recent matches have seen a tendency for high scores, such as Sichuan Jiuniu 3 – 2 Hangzhou Greentown and Shanghai Greenland 3 – 2 Changchun Yatai, indicating that defenses may not be the strongest.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown a tendency to score goals in their previous matches. Sichuan Jiuniu has scored 4 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Changchun Yatai has scored 9 goals away in their last 5 matches.

2. Both teams have also demonstrated some defensive vulnerability, conceding more goals than they have scored. Sichuan Jiuniu has conceded 10 goals at home in their last 5 matches, while Changchun Yatai has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. The average goals scored and conceded statistics per match suggest that both teams are likely to score in this match. On average, Sichuan Jiuniu scores and concedes 1.2 goals per home match, while Changchun Yatai scores an average of 2.6 goals and concedes 1.8 goals per away match. These numbers indicate a high probability of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1 Changchun Yatai.

1. Probability of a draw: Statistics suggest a strong tendency for draws both for Sichuan Jiuniu at home (60% of matches end in draws) and for Changchun Yatai away from home (also 60% of matches end in draws).

2. Average goals per match: Sichuan Jiuniu at home score an average of 1.2 goals per match and concede 1.2 goals per match as well. Changchun Yatai away score an average of 2.6 goals per match and concede an average of 1.8 goals per match. These numbers suggest a potentially balanced match that could end in a 1-1 draw.

3. Both teams to score: According to statistics, there is a 53.46% probability of both teams scoring during the match, further supporting the possibility of a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sichuan Jiuniu is less efficient at home, with one win in 5 matches and 3 draws. Changchun Yatai hasn’t won away in their last 5 matches, but managed to draw 3 of them.

Offensively, Sichuan Jiuniu scores 1.2 goals per match at home while Changchun Yatai scores more away, with 2.6 goals. Sichuan Jiuniu’s weakness lies in their defense, having conceded 10 goals.

The odds suggest some uncertainty: victory is not clear for either team. The most likely outcome would be a draw or a win for Sichuan Jiuniu, with a success probability of 64.15% and odds of 1.42.

In terms of goals, there is a high probability of more than 1.5 goals (72.33%), while it is less likely to see more than 2.5 goals (50.94%). Therefore, there might be few goals in this match.

In conclusion, the match seems to be leaning towards a more defensive game with few goals. A possible outcome could be a draw or a slight victory for Sichuan Jiuniu.

The potential number of goals

Sichuan Jiuniu has had a mixed performance at home, with one win in five matches and three draws. They have scored 4 goals but conceded 10. They also have an offensive and defensive potential of 43%.

Changchun Yatai, on the other hand, has not won any of their last five away matches but has drawn three times. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 11. Their offensive potential away from home is significantly higher at 93% and a defensive potential of 64%.

The probabilities indicate that Sichuan Jiuniu has a 38.99% chance of winning, compared to 35.85% for Changchun Yatai. A draw, however, seems quite likely with a 25.16% chance.

As for the number of goals, the most likely option is over 1.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 72.33%. Another interesting option is under 3.5 goals with a 75.47% probability of success.

Additionally, both teams have a 53.46% chance of scoring.

For a prediction, leaning towards an option with over 1.5 goals and under 3.5 goals seems like a safer prediction. Additionally, betting on both teams to score could prove advantageous.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of previous performances, offensive and defensive capabilities, as well as calculated probabilities suggests a balanced encounter between Sichuan Jiuniu and Changchun Yatai. A draw or a slight victory for Sichuan Jiuniu appears plausible with a combined probability of 64.15%. Bettors may also consider betting on over 1.5 goals and under 3.5 goals in the match, due to the high associated probability. The likelihood of both teams scoring is also a possibility to consider, with a probability of 53.46%. However, as with all sports betting, even with careful strategies and analysis, the risk of loss is always present. Therefore, it is important to bet responsibly.