Tipps Sichuan Jiuniu Henan Jianye Super League 13/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Sichuan Jiuniu wins the match.

1. The results of Sichuan Jiuniu’s previous home matches demonstrate a solid defensive strength as the club manages to achieve a draw in 80% of cases. This advantageous home status can maximize the chances for a favorable result for Sichuan Jiuniu or a draw.

2. Henan Jianye, despite having a slightly higher average win rate in general, seems to struggle away from home, winning only in 40% of cases and drawing in only 20% of cases. Additionally, they have conceded more goals than they have scored in their recent away matches, which could indicate a defensive weakness when playing away.

3. Probabilistic analysis gives the options “draw or Sichuan Jiuniu wins the match” a success probability of 63.06%. This probability, higher than that of “Henan Jianye wins the match” or “draw or Henan Jianye wins the match,” indicates that the bet is safer compared to these other options.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The performance of both teams in their recent matches indicates a low average of goals. At home, Sichuan Jiuniu scored 5 goals in 5 matches, and Henan Jianye scored 7 goals away in 5 matches. With a total of only 12 goals in 10 matches, this suggests a relatively slow offensive pace for both teams.

2. Both teams have relatively solid defensive rates, with Sichuan Jiuniu having a defensive potential of 43% and Henan Jianye of 14%. This means they are generally able to limit their opponents’ chances and helps reduce the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals scored.

3. The odds provided by the market also reflect the probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match. Betting on under 2.5 goals in the match at odds of 2.05 reflects a reasonable confidence level. Furthermore, betting on under 3.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 73.89%, indicating a likely trend towards a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Based on the offensive potential of each team (Sichuan Jiuniu at 50% and Henan Jianye at 50%), both teams have a high probability of scoring at least one goal in the match.
2. Statistics on goals conceded by both teams (Sichuan Jiuniu conceded 8 goals in their last 5 home matches and Henan Jianye conceded 11 goals in their last 5 away matches) suggest that the defenses of both teams tend to concede goals, thus increasing the likelihood of each team scoring.
3. Previous away match results for Henan Jianye show that they managed to score in 4 of their last 5 encounters. Additionally, Sichuan Jiuniu scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches, despite their low winning rate.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1 Henan Jianye

1. Draw trend: Sichuan Jiuniu has a high draw percentage (80%) in its last 5 home matches, while Henan Jianye has a 20% draw percentage in its last 5 away matches. With this high draw rate, a prediction of 1-1 is plausible.

2. Scoring ability: Sichuan Jiuniu has a 50% offensive potential at home and averages 1.4 goals per match. Similarly, Henan Jianye also has a 50% offensive potential away from home and averages 1.4 goals per match. These statistics suggest that both teams have a strong likelihood of scoring at least one goal.

3. Weak defense: Both teams tend to concede goals. Sichuan Jiuniu has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Henan Jianye has conceded an average of 0.4 goals per match away from home. Sichuan Jiuniu’s defense rate is 43% and Henan Jianye’s is 14%. It is therefore likely that each team will concede at least one goal, making a score of 1-1 conceivable.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sichuan Jiuniu, at home, are showing a poor form: only 20% wins and 80% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 8. Their offensive potential is at 50%, while their defense is at 43%.

On the other hand, Henan Jianye, playing away, have won 40% of their matches, with a draw in 20% of cases. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 11. Their offensive and defensive potential is 50% and 14% respectively.

The offered odds indicate a probability of Sichuan Jiuniu winning at 40.76% (odds 2.70), a draw at 22.29% (odds 3.30), and a Henan Jianye victory at 36.94% (odds 2.50).

Plausible scenarios are a draw or a victory for Sichuan Jiuniu (63.06% probability, odds 1.50), or a draw or a victory for Henan Jianye (59.24% probability, odds 1.45).

Regarding goals, the probability of the match having more than 1.5 goals is 69.43% (odds 1.22). The option of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match is also likely at 73.89% (odds 1.40).

The probability of both teams scoring is 52.87% (odds 1.60), while the probability of one or both teams not scoring is 47.13% (odds 2.30).

By analyzing the teams’ form and the offered odds, a betting strategy to consider would be to bet on both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Sichuan Jiuniu’s home performances are mixed, with only one win in 5 games. However, they have drawn 4 times, which is noteworthy. There haven’t been many goals as they’ve only scored 5 times in 5 matches. However, they have conceded 8 goals, a rather vulnerable defense.

On the other hand, Henan Jianye has interesting away statistics. They have won 2 times and drawn once. In other words, they have taken points in 60% of their matches. On the offensive side, they have managed to score 7 goals, more than Sichuan Jiuniu. Their defense has conceded 11 times, an average of 2.2 goals per match.

Sichuan Jiuniu has an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. The offensive potential is at 50%, while the defensive is at 43%. Henan Jianye has the same offensive statistics, but their defense is more solid, at 14%.

The prediction suggests fairly similar chances for a win for either side, but with a slight lean towards Sichuan Jiuniu or a draw. There is a probability of 69.43% of seeing more than 1.5 goals in this match, which could indicate an exciting encounter.

Based on the above information, a close match can be expected. Predicting a draw or a Sichuan Jiuniu win at 63.06% is an option to consider. Another interesting bet is on more than 1.5 goals in the match with a 69.43% chance. Both teams are capable of offering a strong offensive performance while showing rather fragile defenses.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the recent home results of Sichuan Jiuniu and the away performances of Henan Jianye, the predictions slightly lean towards a draw or a win for Sichuan Jiuniu. It also seems likely that the match will have fewer than 2.5 goals, reflecting the relatively slow attacking pace and defensive solidity of both teams. Betting on both teams to score also appears to be an interesting option, given their respective offensive capabilities. Finally, the exact score could be 1-1, considering the defensive and offensive trends of both teams. However, sports betting remains an exercise in forecasting that always comes with a certain level of risk. Therefore, it is essential to bet responsibly.