Tipps Slovakia Sweden UEFA Nations League 11/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Slovakia wins the match

1. Slovakia’s home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Slovakia wins 60% of the time. With a draw probability of 20%, this covers 80% of possible outcomes, strongly favoring the prediction “Draw or Slovakia wins.”

2. Sweden’s away performance: The statistics for Sweden’s away matches are not in their favor, winning only 20% of their matches while 20% end in draws. This indicates Sweden struggles to win away matches, increasing the likelihood of a draw or a Slovakia victory.

3. Success probabilities: Based on the provided probabilities, the scenario “Draw or Slovakia wins the match” has a success probability of 64.4%, which is higher than the probability of the scenario “Sweden wins the match” at only 35.6%. Additionally, it has higher odds than the scenario “Draw or Sweden wins the match.”

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. There is a high offensive potential from both teams, with Slovakia at 43% and Sweden at 57%. Together, they have scored a total of 19 goals in their last 5 matches, promising an exciting encounter.
2. Statistics show that Slovakia and Sweden struggle to keep clean sheets. On average, Slovakia concedes 1 goal per home match, while Sweden concedes 1.2 away from home. These stats indicate a weak defensive potential that could lead to a match with over 2.5 goals.
3. The history of matchups between the two teams suggests a trend towards high-stakes games. Looking at the last five matches played by each team, both at home and away, the total score has often been higher than 2.5 goals in most cases.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal Statistics: Slovakia has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Sweden has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match away. Furthermore, Slovakia has conceded an average of 1 goal per match at home, and Sweden has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match away. These statistics indicate a strong likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. Recent Performances: Looking at Slovakia’s recent home matches and Sweden’s recent away matches, there is a trend where both teams have consistently managed to score. This also provides an indication that it is likely for both teams to score in the upcoming match.

3. Betting Probabilities: Betting probabilities indicate a 65.45% chance of both teams scoring. This is a fairly good level of probability, further justifying the expectation that both teams will score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.90

Bet on the exact result

Slovakia 2-2 Sweden

1. The statistics of Slovakia at home and Sweden away indicate that both teams have moderate offensive and defensive potentials. For example, Slovakia averages 1.2 goals scored per match at home and concedes an average of 1 goal, while Sweden averages 1.6 goals scored away and concedes 1.2 goals. This supports the prediction of a match with back-and-forth situations leading to a final score of 2-2.

2. Analysis of previous matches shows that both teams tend to concede goals; Slovakia has conceded 12 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Sweden has conceded 8 in their last 5 away matches. This suggests that, despite their offensive efforts, defenses could be breached, potentially resulting in a high-scoring match with both sides finding the net, leading to a 2-2 final result.

3. The odds and success probabilities indicate that the match has a high probability of ending in a draw or with both teams scoring, at 27.23% and 65.45% respectively. Furthermore, the odds suggest a greater likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 56.02%. These probabilities suggest that the match could indeed end with a 2-2 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Slovakia, playing at home, has a solid 60% win rate over the last 5 matches. Pretty impressive. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 12, so the balance is even.

Sweden, on the road, has struggled more. They win only 20% of the time. They have scored 7 goals but conceded 8. Caution is advised.

In terms of average goals, Slovakia is at 1.2 for and 1 against. But Sweden is more offensive at 1.6 for and 1.2 against.

The match seems close: 37.17% for a Slovakia win, 35.6% for Sweden. A draw at 27.23% should not be ruled out.

There is a strong likelihood of over 1.5 goals in the match at 82.2%. Both teams could score – 65.45% probability.

Slovakia’s last home match was a 2-0 win against Azerbaijan. Good for morale.

Sweden. Last trip was to Azerbaijan. Result: a 3-1 victory. Not too bad.

In the end, a tight match is expected. My money would be on over 1.5 goals in the match. It’s a suggestion, not a guarantee.

The potential number of goals

Slovakia has a strong performance at home with a 60% win rate and a draw in 20% of matches. They have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals per game. Their defense is solid, conceding only 12 goals.

On the other hand, Sweden struggles away from home with a low 20% win rate and a draw in 20% of matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals in their last 5 outings, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game.

The probability of Slovakia winning is 37.17% compared to 35.6% for Sweden. The draw has a probability of 27.23%. When it comes to goals, over 1.5 goals in the match have the highest success probability at 82.2%.

Considering the recent history of both teams, it is likely that both teams will score in this match with a success probability of 65.45%.

In summary, this match could be tight with a slight advantage for Slovakia, given their home performances. However, a result of over 1.5 goals is highly probable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistical analysis and recent trends suggest a competitive match between Slovakia and Sweden. Taking into account Slovakia’s home performances and Sweden’s away performances, creating a combined bet of “Draw or Slovakia to win” and “Over 2.5 goals in the match” seems like a good option. With a high likelihood of both teams scoring, the value of the bet could be appealing. However, despite the high percentages, it is important to remember that in sports betting, nothing is ever guaranteed. Nevertheless, by relying on the analysis of these statistics, the viewer can expect an exciting and goal-filled encounter between these two teams. Therefore, it is recommended to bet wisely while fully enjoying the excitement of football.