Tipps Slovenia Denmark Euro 2024 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Denmark wins the match

1. Denmark has a higher probability of success: The odds indicate a 52.9% chance of Denmark winning compared to 19.35% for Slovenia, suggesting that bookmakers believe Denmark is more likely to win.

2. Past performance away from home: In their last 5 away matches, Denmark won in 40% of cases and scored an average of 1.4 goals per match, demonstrating their ability to achieve positive results on the road.

3. Defensive potential: In their last 5 away matches, Denmark showed a defensive potential of 29%, conceding on average only 0.8 goals per match. In comparison, Slovenia at home conceded the same number of goals per match on average, indicating that Denmark might be able to contain Slovenia’s offense and score goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent match statistics show that Slovenia and Denmark tend to have relatively low scores on average (1.6 goals per home match for Slovenia and 1.4 goals per away match for Denmark), which lends itself to a probable cumulative total of fewer than 2.5 goals.

2. In terms of defense, both teams have shown strong defensive performances with Slovenia conceding only 0.8 goals on average per home match and Denmark conceding 0.8 goals on average per away match, reducing the likelihood of seeing a high number of goals scored.

3. The odds provided (1.69 for under 2.5 goals in the match) also reflect a relatively high probability of a total of fewer than 2.5 goals, in line with the analysis of the recent performances of both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The analysis of Slovenia’s last 5 home matches shows a strong tendency to score, with a total of 10 goals and each match ending with at least one goal from Slovenia.

2. Looking at Denmark’s last 5 away matches, the team has scored 6 times, demonstrating their ability to score when playing away. Additionally, except for one match, each game ended with at least one goal from Denmark.

3. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams also suggest they have the ability to score. Slovenia has a home offensive potential of 57%, and Denmark has an away offensive potential of 50%. Furthermore, both teams have shown some vulnerability in defense, which could lead to goal-scoring opportunities for the opposing team.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Slovenia wins the match – 2.16

Bet on the exact result

Slovenia 1-2 Denmark

1. The Denmark team has a higher probability of winning (52.9%) than Slovenia (19.35%). This could be explained by Denmark’s past performance away, having won 40% of its last 5 matches and only drawn in 20% of cases.

2. Statistics show that both teams generally score between 1.4 and 1.6 goals per match, indicating a total score of 3 goals. Given Denmark’s higher probability of winning, a score of 2-1 in favor of this team seems plausible.

3. Slovenia has conceded the same number of goals as scored (10 goals) in its last 5 home matches. It appears to have a vulnerable defense that Denmark, with its 50% offensive potential, could exploit to score two goals.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Slovenia has been strong at home, with 80% of wins in their last 5 matches and 10 goals scored. A good offensive achievement. However, they have also conceded 10 goals, revealing some defensive weaknesses. On the other hand, Denmark has a mixed record away from home with only 40% of wins and 6 goals scored. Nevertheless, they have limited the damage by conceding fewer goals than Slovenia, with 9 goals in their last 5 matches. In terms of statistics, Denmark slightly edges it with an estimated win probability of 52.9% while Slovenia only has a 19.35% chance of winning. As for goals, there is a 70.97% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals during the match, potentially indicating a lively game. However, there is an 83.87% probability that the total will stay below 3.5 goals, suggesting a balanced encounter. Finally, it should be noted that both teams have an equal chance of scoring, with a probability of 47.1%. In conclusion, this match seems quite promising in terms of action but leans in favor of Denmark.

The potential number of goals

Slovenia is solid at home, with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 10, so their attack is as effective as their defense. Denmark away from home, on the other hand, is more mixed: 40% wins and 20% draws. They have scored fewer goals (6) and conceded more (9).

Slovenia is more efficient offensively than Denmark: averaging 1.6 goals at home compared to Denmark’s 1.4 away from home. Their defenses, however, are evenly matched, conceding 0.8 goals per match.

The betting probabilities? Denmark is the favorite with a 52.9% chance of winning. A draw or a Denmark win is highly likely at 80.65%. Despite Slovenia’s home performances, the predictions favor Denmark.

Looking at the number of goals, less than 3.5 goals in the match is highly probable at 83.87%. The odds suggest that both teams scoring has a 47.1% chance.

In conclusion, Denmark has the edge despite mixed performances away from home. However, the solidity of Slovenia at home should not be underestimated. The number of goals is expected to be moderate, with a possibility of both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Slovenia and Denmark is likely to be high tension and high action. Data indicates that Denmark, with a 52.9% probability of winning, appears to be the favorite team. However, Slovenia, with strong home performances, should not be underestimated. It is likely that the match will have a moderate number of goals, with each team having a chance to score. The safest bet, considering these factors, seems to be a draw or a win for Slovenia, which offers greater potential betting value. Nonetheless, match outcomes are always uncertain, and bettors should exercise caution while enjoying the excitement of the game.