Tipps Slovenia Serbia Euro 2024 20/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Serbia wins the match

1. The offensive potential of Serbia is higher than that of Slovenia when they play away, with an average of 1 goal per match compared to Slovenia’s average of 1.6 goals per match at home. This may indicate that Serbia is capable of scoring goals even when playing away.

2. Serbia has a defensive potential of 50% away, which is higher than Slovenia’s defensive potential at home, which is 36%. This suggests that Serbia has a stronger defense that could prevent Slovenia from scoring goals.

3. According to the provided probabilities, Serbia has a greater chance of winning the match with a success probability of 53.13%, compared to Slovenia’s 25%. This is a strong indicator that Serbia is the favorite to win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The previous statistics for both teams show a trend towards low-scoring matches. On average, Slovenia scores 1.6 goals per home match, while Serbia scores 1 goal per away match. These scores suggest a high probability of a total of goals under 2.5.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams are also strong, with Slovenia conceding on average only 1 goal per home match and Serbia conceding only 1.4 goals in away matches. This demonstrates a solid defensive performance from both teams, which could limit the total number of goals scored.

3. The calculated probabilities for the total number of goals in the match also support the prediction of under 2.5 goals. The odds are 1.79 for under 2.5 goals, which is significantly higher than the odds offered for over 2.5 goals (2.05), indicating that the statistics favor a match with under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. By analyzing Slovenia’s home performance, it can be noted that they have scored 8 goals but also conceded 9 goals. As a result, Slovenia has not been able to keep a solid defense in their previous home matches, increasing the chances of Serbia not scoring.

2. As for Serbia’s away matches, they have an average of one goal per game. Furthermore, Serbia has had matches where they failed to score, as evidenced by their match against Belgium (1-0 to Belgium). This demonstrates a potential difficulty for Serbia to score in this match, especially against a team that has shown a relatively solid defense at home (36% defensive potential).

3. Sports betting predictions indicate a higher probability (57.81%) of both teams not scoring. This statistic suggests that bettors and experts anticipate a match where one or both teams may struggle to score. It is more likely to see a low-scoring match or a match with only one goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Slovenia wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Slovenia 1-2 Serbia

1. The average offensive and defensive potential of both teams: Slovenia has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 36% compared to Serbia’s offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 50%. This means that Slovenia is more likely to score at least one goal while Serbia has the ability to control Slovenia’s offense and score more goals.

2. The probability of Serbia winning: The probability of Serbia winning the match is 53.13%. The high probability of Serbia winning coupled with their superior defensive potential supports the idea of a 2-1 score in their favor.

3. The recent past of both teams: In their last 5 home matches, Slovenia has scored 8 goals and conceded 9 goals, suggesting that they tend to allow opposing teams to score. On the other hand, Serbia has scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 away matches, meaning they have a tendency to score when playing away. A combination of these scores gives us a probable score of 1-2 in favor of Serbia.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Slovenia has a solid performance at home with a 60% win rate. However, their defense is vulnerable, conceding 9 goals in 5 games. Their offense is average, scoring 1.6 goals per game.

On the road, Serbia shows inconsistent form with a 40% win rate. They score consistently (averaging 1 goal) but concede more (1.4 goals).

The statistics favor a Serbia win (53.13% probability, odds at 1.82). The match seems to be close, with at least 1.5 expected goals (70.31% probability, odds at 1.35).

Both teams have scored in less than half of their matches (42.19% probability), suggesting a low-scoring game.

In summary, Serbia is the favorite, but the match could be more evenly matched than the odds suggest.

The potential number of goals

Slovenia has shown a solid performance at home with victories in 60% of their matches. On the other hand, Serbia hasn’t shone as brightly away, with only 40% of wins.

Slovenia’s offensive potential at home is satisfactory with an average of 1.6 goals per match, while Serbia’s ability to score away is only average at 1 goal per match.

In terms of defense, Slovenia has a modest performance at 36%, whereas Serbia defends better with a defensive potential of 50%.

The odds favor a Serbia win at 53.13% compared to 25% for Slovenia, indicating a divergence in the performances of the two teams.

The expected number of goals mostly falls between 1.5 and 2.5, with a high probability of less than 3.5 goals at 84.38%.

As for the probability of both teams scoring, it is lower at 42.19%, suggesting the match could be a low-scoring one.

In conclusion, it seems more likely that Serbia will win the match, although it probably won’t be a high-scoring affair.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this forecast highlights a strong probability of Serbia winning against Slovenia. Serbia’s strong defensive performances and stable offensive capabilities, even when playing away, are decisive factors. However, it is also indicated that the match is unlikely to see a high number of goals, given both teams’ general tendency towards low-scoring games. The safest betting option therefore appears to be a Serbia win with under 2.5 goals. Additionally, there could be a favorable surprise for Slovenia as a value bet, considering their stronger performance at home. Finally, the suggested exact score prediction is a 1-2 win in favor of Serbia. It is important to remember, though, that despite all these calculations and analyses, betting remains a matter of luck and uncertainty, and therefore it is essential to bet responsibly.