Tipps South Korea Iraq World Cup - Qualification Asia 15/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the data provided, I would say that the most likely betting option would be for “Iraq to win the match.” Indeed, Iraq seems to have a much higher success rate than South Korea in their recent away games. Furthermore, Iraq’s offensive potential away from home is superior to that of South Korea at home.

Here are the three main arguments to support the prediction that Iraq will win the match:

1. Performance history: In their last 5 away matches, Iraq has won 80% of the games, which is significantly better than South Korea’s home performance of winning only 40% of their matches.

2. Offensive potential away: Although Iraq has a lower offensive potential compared to South Korea at home (50% vs. 93%), they have managed to score more goals away (11 goals) compared to South Korea’s 8 goals at home.

3. Defensive efficiency: Both teams have a similar defensive potential of 7%, but Iraq has been able to maintain an average of goals conceded away equal to South Korea at home (0.2 goals per match). This suggests that Iraq can withstand South Korea’s offensive strength, especially if their away performance remains consistent.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals”

1. South Korea has a high average of goals at home: based on their last 5 home matches, they have an average of 2.6 ending goals per match. This shows a significant offensive potential that could contribute to a total of over 2.5 goals.
2. Iraq has an excellent away win rate: their 80% win rate in their last 5 away matches demonstrates an offensive strength that can increase the total goals of the match.
3. Both teams have a low number of goals conceded: South Korea and Iraq have both conceded an average of 0.2 goals per match in their respective last 5 matches. This means both teams have the ability to score without necessarily conceding a large number of goals, which can help increase the total goals to over 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Statistics show that when South Korea plays at home, they have a strong defensive capability. On average, they only concede 0.2 goals per match.
2. Iraq, when playing away, also has a solid defense, conceding on average only 0.2 goals per match.
3. In their recent matches, Iraq has managed to keep a clean sheet in three out of their last five away games, reinforcing the idea that they may not concede any goals in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Iraq wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

South Korea 2-1 Iraq.

1. South Korea’s home match history: Despite a weak defensive record of conceding 9 goals in the last 5 matches, they have scored 8 goals, indicating a strong offensive performance. In this context, a score of 2 goals is plausible for South Korea.

2. Iraq’s away performance: Iraq has shown a strong away performance with an 80% win rate and 11 goals scored in 5 matches. However, they have also conceded as many goals as they have scored, indicating a defensive weakness that could allow South Korea to score.

3. South Korea’s offensive potential at home: South Korea has a 93% offensive potential at home, meaning they are more likely to score 2 goals. Additionally, Iraq has a defensive potential of only 7% away, further enhancing the likelihood of South Korea scoring 2 goals.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

In their last 5 matches, South Korea has been struggling at home, with only a 40% win rate and a record of 8 goals scored against 9 conceded. On the other hand, Iraq has shown strength away from home, winning 80% of matches and scoring 11 goals while conceding 11.

In terms of offense, South Korea holds an advantage with an average of 2.6 goals per match compared to Iraq’s 1.4. Both teams exhibit solid defensive potential, conceding only 0.2 goals per match on average.

However, probability statistics do not point to a clear winner for this match.

An interesting point to note is that despite the offensive performances of both teams, there is a high probability that the match will end with fewer than 3.5 goals and fewer than 4.5 goals. Additionally, there is a 100% probability that both teams will not score in this encounter.

Looking at their recent matches, we see that South Korea has had close games at home, while Iraq has managed to defeat teams like Indonesia and the Philippines.

In conclusion, this match appears to be uncertain with a tendency towards a low score. It will be particularly interesting to see if South Korea can bounce back at home against an in-form Iraq team away from home.

The potential number of goals

The South Korea team has won 40% of its last 5 home matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 9 goals. This indicates an offensive playing style but a weak defense.

On the other hand, Iraq has won 80% of its last 5 away matches, with 11 goals scored and 11 goals conceded as well. They have drawn 20% of the time, showing a strong team but also struggling to keep clean sheets.

In terms of goals per match, South Korea, at home, has scored an average of 2.6 goals and conceded only 0.2 goals. This highlights an offensive potential of 93% and a defensive capability of 7%.

Similarly, Iraq away has averaged 1.4 goals scored per match and 0.2 goals conceded, giving an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive capability of 7%.

The statistics do not predict a clear victory for either team. However, with a 100% success probability, one can expect less than 3.5 goals in this match and also a 100% probability that both teams will not score.

Based on the previous analysis, a potential prediction would be a low-scoring match, probably with less than 3.5 goals, with the possibility of both teams not scoring. But in football, anything can happen.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between South Korea and Iraq offers many interesting betting opportunities. Based on the previous analysis, the Iraq team has significant chances of winning the match, due to their strong away performances and higher win rate.

However, it would be wise not to rule out South Korea, who have faced difficulties in their recent matches but have undeniable offensive potential. Additionally, both teams have shown excellent defensive ability, making the “Over 2.5 goals” bet appealing.

As for both teams scoring, the statistics suggest a lower probability. The defensive performances of each team could result in a relatively low final score.

An interesting potential bet could be Iraq to win the match, with perhaps fewer than 3.5 total goals scored.

Ultimately, it is important to remember that while historical data can provide insights into the potential performances of teams, they do not guarantee future results. As always in sports betting, every bet carries a risk, and it is crucial to think carefully before placing a wager.