Tipps Southampton Manchester United Premier League 14/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Manchester United wins the match.

1. The statistics favor Manchester United with a success probability of 47.71% for the win, compared to only 29.36% for Southampton. This gives Manchester United a significant statistical advantage.

2. Southampton has a weak defense at home, having conceded more goals (8) than they have scored (7) in their last 5 matches. In comparison, Manchester United has only conceded 6 goals in their last 5 away matches, suggesting they may be able to contain Southampton’s attack.

3. Southampton has poor home form, with only a 40% win rate and 20% draw rate in their last 5 matches. In comparison, while Manchester United has only won 20% of their away matches, they have also drawn in 20% of cases, which may indicate some resilience even in unfavorable conditions.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Over their last 5 respective matches, Southampton and Manchester United have had a limited success rate in terms of goals. Southampton scored 7 goals, averaging 1.4 goals per match, while Manchester United scored 5 goals, averaging 1 goal per match. This suggests a match with few goals.

2. Looking at the last five matches of Southampton at home and Manchester United away, none of these matches have exceeded the 2.5 goals threshold. The teams seem to struggle to score when playing at home or away respectively.

3. The offensive potential of Southampton at home (43%) and Manchester United away (21%) is relatively low. At the same time, their defensive potential seems higher (57% and 64% respectively), which could make it challenging for a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last five matches show that Southampton has scored at least one goal in 60% of its home matches. Similarly, Manchester United has also managed to score in 60% of its away matches.

2. Considering the average number of goals, Southampton scores 1.2 goals per match at home while Manchester United scores 0.6 goals away. This indicates a high probability that each team will score at least one goal.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is 61.47%, which is relatively high. This confirms the hypothesis that each team has a strong chance of scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Southampton 1-1 Manchester United

1. The statistics of both teams show a tendency to have only a small number of goals per match. For example, Southampton averages 1.2 goals scored at home and lacks consistency in their defensive efficiency. Additionally, Manchester United only scores an average of 0.6 goals away from home. Both teams also tend to concede at least one goal per match, which could lead to a 1-1 scoreline.

2. At home, Southampton has a 29.36% chance of winning the match and a 22.94% chance of a draw. On the other hand, Manchester United only has a 20% chance of winning and a 20% chance of a draw when playing away. These statistics show that even though Manchester United is more likely to win, a draw is not unlikely.

3. The match histories of both teams show a tendency towards 1-1 scores. For instance, Southampton’s recent home matches include two 1-1 draws, and Manchester United’s last away match also ended in a 1-1 draw. This further supports the idea of a potential 1-1 scoreline for this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Southampton is showing a decent performance at home. In their last 5 matches, they won twice, drew once, and scored 7 goals. However, their defense seems fragile as they conceded 8 goals.

On the other hand, Manchester United is struggling away from home. They have won few matches and scored only 5 goals in 5 matches, conceding 6.

In terms of offensive capabilities, Southampton slightly outperforms Manchester United with a 43% scoring rate compared to 21%. However, their defensive potentials differ only slightly, with 57% for Southampton and 64% for Manchester United.

The probabilities give Manchester United an advantage with a 47.71% chance of winning. However, the probability of a draw or Southampton’s victory is at 52.29%, indicating a possible surprise.

The prediction for +1.5 goals is quite high at 80.73%. Despite the average offensive potential of the teams, the probabilities suggest a high-scoring game.

Based on this data and previous results, it appears that the match will not be extremely high-scoring. A low or moderate score would therefore be expected.

A fun fact: the probability of both teams scoring is quite significant at 61.47%.

These insights can be valuable in making predictions. However, it’s important to remember that each match is unique, and surprises are still possible. All indicators point to a competitive and possibly close match.

The potential number of goals

Southampton has shown a decent recent home performance, with a 40% win rate. Their games are usually tight, scoring 7 recent goals but conceding 8.

On the other hand, Manchester United has struggled away from home. They have only won 20% of their away games, scoring 5 goals and conceding 6.

Southampton averages 1.2 goals per match, compared to Manchester United’s 0.6. However, Southampton’s defense is more vulnerable, conceding 1.6 goals per match compared to Manchester United’s 1.8.

The prediction favors Manchester United, with a 47.71% chance of winning. Nevertheless, it should not be overlooked that Southampton has a 52.29% chance of either winning or drawing.

The match is likely to see at least 1.5 goals, with an 80.73% probability. However, it is more probable that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals (66.97%).

In summary, Manchester United is slightly favored, but a close game with few goals is more likely. Therefore, a bet on “under 2.5 goals” could be a good wager.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis presented slightly favors Manchester United for the win, but suggests a tight match can be expected. The prediction on the number of goals indicates a low-scoring game, where a total of less than 2.5 goals seems to be an interesting betting option. There is also a high likelihood that each team will score at least one goal. However, it is important to emphasize that while statistical analysis is a valuable tool for predicting match outcomes, the result of a football game is never guaranteed. Factors such as player form on the day, pitch conditions, or managerial decisions can greatly influence the final result. Therefore, any bet should be made thoughtfully, taking these factors into consideration and never forgetting that the game should remain primarily a source of enjoyment.