Tipps Southampton Preston Championship 16/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Southampton wins the match

1. Translation:
– Home Performance: In their last 5 home matches, Southampton has only lost twice, showing that they have a strong home record. Combined with respective offensive and defensive potential of 64% and 50%, Southampton displays a strong resilience at their home ground.

2. Statistical Probability: Based on the provided odds, Southampton have a 75.77% chance of winning the match compared to only 6.19% for Preston North End. This clearly indicates that Southampton is the favorite for this match.

3. Recent Performance Comparison: In their respective last 5 matches, Southampton has scored 9 goals while Preston North End has scored 6. Furthermore, Preston North End has conceded as many goals (6) as they have scored in their away outings, while Southampton has a better goal difference even though they have also conceded goals (11 goals scored against 9). This could indicate Southampton’s superiority in both offense and defense for the upcoming match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Past statistics show an offensive trend for both teams. Southampton has scored 9 goals and Preston North End 6 goals in their respective last 5 matches, indicating that they are both capable of scoring and could potentially reach more than 2.5 goals combined in the match.

2. The performances of these teams also demonstrate a tendency to concede goals. Southampton has conceded 11 goals and Preston North End 6 goals in their respective last 5 matches, indicating a defensive vulnerability that could lead to a total of goals exceeding 2.5.

3. The probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match is 60.82%, which is significantly high and suggests that it is more likely to have over 2.5 goals in this match, according to the sports betting odds.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The previous match statistics show that Southampton has a strong offensive performance at home, averaging 1.8 goals per game, and has shown a defensive weakness by conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. This indicates that they are likely to both score and concede at least one goal.

2. Preston North End also has a solid offensive performance when playing away, averaging 1.6 goals per game, and their defense is also weak, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per game. Therefore, they are also likely to both score and concede a goal in this match.

3. The recent match history of both teams shows a trend where both teams often score. Looking at the last 5 matches of Southampton at home, they have scored in every game and have allowed their opponents to score in 4 out of 5 matches. Similarly, Preston North End has scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches while allowing their opponents to score in 2 of those matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 4.93

Bet on the exact result

Southampton 2-1 Preston North End

1. The home match history of Southampton shows that they have a good offensive performance with an average of 1.8 goals per match. They have scored at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 5 home matches. Additionally, they have a 75.77% success probability of winning the home match, which is significant.

2. Preston North End, despite a good overall away performance, scores fewer goals than Southampton at home with an average of 1.6 goals per match. Furthermore, they have a lower success probability of winning the match at 6.19%.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is 54.12%. Taking into account the average goals scored by each team, it is likely that the exact score will be 2-1 in favor of Southampton. Moreover, Southampton have previously won a home match with the exact score of 2-1, which reinforces this prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Southampton has shown strength at home recently, winning 40% and drawing in 40% as well. They have scored 9 goals but unfortunately conceded 11 goals. They have an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 50%, indicating a defensive weakness at home.

On the other hand, Preston North End has excelled away from home with a 60% win rate and 20% draws. They have a solid offensive potential of 57% and a strong defensive potential of 14%, scoring 6 goals and conceding only 6.

Southampton is the favorite according to the probabilities with a success rate of 75.77% compared to only 6.19% for Preston North End. Also of note, the match is expected to be lively – there is a 81.96% chance of seeing over 1.5 goals, and a 60.82% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals.

Both teams have a chance of scoring – the probability is 54.12%. However, surprises are always possible, as shown by the previous matches of both teams.

Taking these elements into account, the safest choice seems to be a match with over 1.5 goals. Good luck with your bet!

The potential number of goals

Southampton shines at home. In their last 5 matches, they have won 40% and drawn 40%. Offensively, they have scored 9 goals, averaging 1.8 per match. However, their defense has conceded 11 goals, averaging 1.4 per match. Southampton has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 50%.

On the other hand, Preston North End is solid away from home. They have won 60% of their last 5 matches, with a draw at 20%. They have scored 6 goals and conceded the same amount, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match. Their offensive potential is 57%, and defensive potential is 14%.

For the upcoming match, the probability of Southampton winning is 75.77%, while the probability of a draw is 18.04%. Preston North End has a 6.19% chance of winning. Betting on a draw or a Southampton victory offers a probability of 93.81%.

The number of goals is expected to be interesting. Over 1.5 goals are expected with a probability of 81.96%. The chances are 60.82% for over 2.5 goals. Less than 3.5 goals is probable at 64.95%.

Finally, there is a 54.12% probability that both teams will score. Based on the numbers, my prediction would be a Southampton win with over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account the probabilities, the recent home performances of Southampton and away performances of Preston North End, we can draw several interesting conclusions for this match.

Southampton is clearly the favorite with a 75.77% chance of winning the match. Nevertheless, surprises can occur, as shown by the previous matches of both teams.

It is also evident that we can expect an entertaining match with a considerable number of goals. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams suggest that there will likely be over 2.5 goals in total in the match, with a probability of 60.82%.

Furthermore, there is a high chance that both teams will score, with a probability of 54.12%. The defensive weaknesses of Southampton and Preston North End, combined with their offensive strength, can lead us to this conclusion.

As for an interesting value bet, a draw seems to be a good option. With odds of 4.93 and a probability of 18.04%, this could offer a good return on investment.

Regarding the exact score, considering the trend and performances of both teams, a score of 2-1 in favor of Southampton seems likely.

In conclusion, we recommend betting on a Southampton victory, with over 2.5 goals in the match and both teams to score. However, a bet on a draw can also provide good value. As always, it is vital to bet responsibly.