Tipps Southampton Stoke City League Cup 29/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Southampton wins the match.

1. Southampton has a high probability of winning the match, according to the statistics, the probability is 70.1%. This indicates a strong leaning towards a Southampton victory.
2. Even though Southampton has not recently won at home, the statistics show a significant probability (87.11%) for a draw or a Southampton win. This demonstrates some resilience from the home team.
3. Stoke City’s recent away performances have not been exceptional with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. This could favor a Southampton victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. In the last 5 matches at home, Southampton have had a total of 7 goals scored and conceded, resulting in an average of over 2.5 goals per match. Additionally, Southampton’s defensive potential at home is relatively weak at 79%, leaving more opportunities for Stoke City to score.
2. Meanwhile, Stoke City has shown an offensive potential of 64% in their last 5 away matches. Stoke has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match, which, combined with the number of goals Southampton could also score, increases the likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this match.
3. The calculated probability for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is 61.34%, which is reasonably high. This statistic is supported by the past trends of both teams and their respective offensive and defensive potentials.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The previous statistics of Southampton at home and Stoke City away show a fairly balanced trend in terms of goals scored and conceded. Southampton has scored 3 goals in their last 5 home matches and conceded 3, while Stoke City has scored 6 goals in their last 5 away matches and also conceded 6. This indicates that both teams tend to score when playing, respectively, at home and away.

2. The average goals scored and conceded per match for Southampton at home (1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded) and Stoke City away (1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded) also suggest that it is likely for both teams to score. With offensive potentials of 43% and 64% respectively, Southampton and Stoke City show an ability to score goals.

3. The odds offered for the “both teams to score” option (1.72) reflect this probability, with a success rate of 53.61%, slightly more than a one in two chance. This confirms the general idea that both teams are likely to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Stoke City wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Southampton 1-1 Stoke City

1. Recent statistics show that Southampton tends to draw in their home matches (60% of the time) and Stoke City also tends to draw in their away matches (20% of the time). A draw is therefore a plausible outcome.
2. Considering the average goals scored and conceded by both teams in their last 5 matches, a 1-1 prediction is coherent. Southampton averages 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded per match, while Stoke City averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match.
3. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is quite similar. Southampton has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 79%, while Stoke City has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 43%. Therefore, it is likely that both teams will score at least one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Southampton has been struggling at home. No wins in their last 5 home matches. Additionally, they have scored very few goals, just 3.
Stoke City has a better record. They have won 2 out of 5 away matches. They have also scored more, 6 goals.
Southampton’s defense is weak. They have conceded more goals at home (11) than Stoke City away (6).
Stoke City has a higher offensive potential at 64%. However, they also have a weaker defense at 43%.
The probability of Southampton winning is high: 70.1%. Stoke City has lower chances, 12.89%.
There is an 80.93% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. So goals can be expected.
Finally, both teams have scored in 53.61% of cases. A tense match is expected.
Based on these stats, an interesting bet would be a match with over 1.5 goals and Southampton winning.

The potential number of goals

Southampton is struggling at home. No victory in 5 matches. They also score little, only 3 goals. The defense, on the other hand, concedes as many goals as they score.

Stoke City, on the other hand, is doing better away. They’ve won 2 matches out of 5. They’ve scored a total of 6 goals, as many as they’ve conceded.

Southampton has a home offensive potential of only 43%. The defensive potential is 79%. Not brilliant.

In contrast, Stoke City shows more punch. Offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 43% away.

The odds favor Southampton. Probability of 70.1% of them winning. However, only 12.89% chance for Stoke City.

It is very likely that there will be goals in this match. 80.93% chance for more than 1.5 goals. But less than 4.5 goals in the match remains probable at 78.35%.

Recent home matches of Southampton are not reassuring. Recent away matches of Stoke City are more encouraging.

In conclusion, the match seems to promise goals, but Southampton’s victory is not guaranteed.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistical analysis and recent performance observation of both teams support the idea that Southampton will win the match, but it is not impossible that the match will end in a draw or a Stoke City victory. It is also likely that there will be over 2.5 goals in the match and both teams will score. An interesting bet in terms of value could be “draw or Stoke City”, considering the recent performances of each team and the odds offered. For those looking to bet on the exact score, a prediction of 1-1 seems consistent with the statistics. Ultimately, the prediction is only theoretical, as football is an unpredictable sport. It is up to each bettor to determine the best strategy taking into account the information presented.